A Standardized Framework For Evaluating Gene Expression Generative Models

Predicting cellular responses to genetic perturbations helps prioritize experiments in single-cell genomics, where exhaustive measurement is infeasible. While computational models increasingly predict these responses, three evaluation deficiencies obscure what their scores demonstrate. First, absolute metrics cannot separate target-specific predictions from a shared background response. Second, common metrics remain high under gene shuffling, so gene-level accuracy is never verified. Third, a score at one training size says nothing about coverage, which depends on representation-space proximity and response-constraining power. We propose AmbiModBench, a specificity-aware, gene-resolved and coverage-aware benchmark. It pairs every score with a training-mean reference fitted on the same split, screens each readout by gene-coordinate permutation, and links embedding distance to response variation. Across K562, RPE1 and Norman, strong absolute scores largely reflect shared background rather than target-specific learning. Widely used readouts track response magnitude distributions rather than the affected genes. Detectable gain follows representation-space coverage rather than training-set size. Nonetheless, on RPE1 the protocol yields a reproducible target-specific gain across five additional splits and three gene selections, which absolute scores alone cannot distinguish from shared background.

Gene perturbation models aim to predict transcriptional responses to unseen genetic interventions, but comparisons rely on heterogeneous evaluation metrics and differentially-expressed (DE) gene subsets. We investigate the consequences of these choices using eight methods across six single-gene perturbation datasets under a unified evaluation protocol. Varying the number of top DE genes reveals substantial instability in Precision-based rankings, with the winning method changing $86.7\%$ of the time, while rankings based on the rest of the metrics remain comparatively stable. Investigating this discrepancy exposes that repeating a single predicted expression profile across cell-level rows, a standard practice for many methods, can inflate significance estimates and produce excessively large predicted significant-DE sets. Specifically we found that $67.1\%$ of tested perturbation--gene pairs pass the significance threshold despite some of them having minuscule effects. We derive an inflation factor showing that replicated predictions can amplify the standardized Mann--Whitney statistic even after correction for tied ranks, without adding independent information. This artifact changes Precision mainly as the number of DE genes increases because for smaller cutoffs, most of the genes are already significant due to the effect-based ordering. Taking this pitfall into account in our benchmark comparison, we find that a random forest using Gene Ontology features achieves the best overall results.

Modeling single-cell gene expression across diverse biological and technical conditions is crucial for characterizing cellular states and simulating unseen scenarios. Existing methods often treat genes as independent tokens, overlooking their high-level biological relationships and leading to poor performance. We introduce SAVE, a unified generative framework based on conditional Transformers for multi-condition single-cell modeling. SAVE leverages a coarse-grained representation by grouping semantically related genes into blocks, capturing higher-order dependencies among gene modules. A Flow Matching mechanism and condition-masking strategy further enhance flexible simulation and enable generalization to unseen condition combinations. We evaluate SAVE on a range of benchmarks, including conditional generation, batch effect correction, and perturbation prediction. SAVE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods in generation fidelity and extrapolative generalization, especially in low-resource or combinatorially held-out settings. Overall, SAVE offers a scalable and generalizable solution for modeling complex single-cell data, with broad utility in virtual cell synthesis and biological interpretation. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/fdu-wangfeilab/sc-save