In wide Bayesian neural networks, Gaussian mean-field variational inference is prone to "prior dominance": the Kullback-Leibler (KL) regularization term of the ELBO outweighs the expected log-likelihood, and the variational predictive distribution collapses to the prior predictive as the width
M grows. Tempering the likelihood, by raising it to the power
1/T for a temperature
T<1, is equivalent to scaling the KL term by
T. We ask in this paper how fast
T must decrease with
M to counteract this degeneracy and strike a good balance between the two terms. For single-hidden-layer linear networks with isotropic Gaussian priors, we derive the limiting predictive distribution under schedules of the form
T=τ/Mc, with constants
τ,c>0, as
M→∞ and compare it with the untempered neural network Gaussian process (NNGP) posterior, the infinite-width limit of the exact posterior. Our main result is that the predictive expectation and variance undergo phase transitions at different scales: the limiting expectation leaves its prior value at
c=1/2, once
τ falls below an explicit threshold, and equals the least-squares prediction for
c>1/2, whereas the limiting variance keeps its prior value for
c<1, matches the NNGP's for
c=1, and vanishes for
c>1. With suitable choices of
τ,c, one can recover either the NNGP posterior expectation or its variance.