Cyber-Resilient Digital Twins: Discriminating Attacks for Safe Critical Infrastructure Control

Digital Twins (DTs) are increasingly used to monitor and analyze Cyber Physical Systems (CPS). However, in adversarial environments, the fidelity of a DT cannot be assumed. Communication delays, data manipulation, sensor degradation, or partial information loss may cause the DT state to diverge from the physical process it represents. Such divergence creates temporal inconsistencies that may reveal cyber physical attacks. This paper proposes a detection framework that monitors temporal consistency between the physical system and a potentially degraded DT view. A DT predictor is trained exclusively on normal system behavior to model short-term system dynamics. During operation, discrepancies between predicted and observed states are transformed into multi-horizon temporal features capturing the magnitude, persistence, and evolution of prediction residuals. An unsupervised density model characterizes normal consistency patterns, while a sequential change detection mechanism identifies sustained deviations indicative of attacks. The approach is evaluated on three widely used Industrial Control System (ICS) datasets, SWaT, HAI, and BATADAL, under multiple DT degradation scenarios, including time desynchronization and partial observability loss. Results show that temporal inconsistency patterns enable reliable event-level attack detection with bounded false alarm rates and low detection latency. The proposed method achieves up to 98% detection reliability on SWaT and false alarm rates below 2%. Unlike conventional anomaly detection methods, the proposed framework does not require attack signatures or labeled attack data and remains effective even when the DT view is degraded. These results suggest that DT degradation, often treated as a limitation, can instead serve as a useful signal for cyber physical security monitoring.

Anomaly-based intrusion detection systems in industrial control systems (ICS) and operational technology (OT) environments are increasingly required to meet formal resilience criteria: absorbed adversarial disturbances, graceful degradation under sustained attack, and certified system-level guarantees. Existing resilience frameworks for cyber-physical systems define absorb-recover-adapt trajectories at the architectural level but do not treat machine learning anomaly detectors as first-class components, leaving a gap between component-level robustness evaluation and system-level resilience certification. In this paper, we establish that adversarial robustness in ICS anomaly detection is a specific instantiation of system resilience, and formalise this connection by mapping four resilience constructs, i.e. disturbance class, absorption capacity, recovery trajectory, and degradation function, onto the adversarial machine learning setting. We derive a compositional resilience bound for heterogeneous ICS detection networks, showing that the binding constraint on system-level resilience is the coupling-adjusted absorption capacity of each node along the attack path, not the per-node capacity -- so the binding node need not be the weakest one. Empirical validation on the BATADAL water distribution system benchmark demonstrates that the resulting metrics surface operationally significant phenomena invisible to standard benchmarks: the absorption-degradation divergence under adversarial training, and the paradox that hardening the binding node in isolation reduces system-level resilience. Implications for ICS architecture design and certification standards are discussed.

Anomaly detection in Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) environments is essential to protect the Industrial Control Systems (ICS) and Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) from occuring run time false data injection and other malicious attacks. The increasing complexity of sensor networks and interconnected control loops makes it difficult to identify anomalous behavior hidden within high-dimensional and time-dependent signals. To address these challenges, this article introduces Adaptive Spatio-Temporal Reinforcement Optimization ASTRO (ASTRO), a novel anomaly detection framework that pioneers the use of reinforcement learning for dynamic threshold optimization. By integrating a Deep Q-Network (DQN) with Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), temporal modelling and a Multi-Head Attention mechanism, ASTRO continuously adapts its decision boundaries to improve detection accuracy. The GNN component models the spatial relations among sensors, Temporal model captures time series dependencies and the attention layer highlights most informative time steps. The model generates continuous anomaly scores, which are transformed into binary decisions using an adaptive threshold, optimized via a Deep Q-Network (DQN). The ASTRO approach is evaluated on two real world industrial benchmarks: the Secure Water Treatment (SWaT) and Water Distribution (WADI) datasets. The proposed model achieves an exceptional performance on the SWaT with F1 score of 0.990. Moreover, on highly complex 127 end devices WADI dataset, it secures F1 score of 0.788, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines by nearly 14%. Results across multiple runs confirm consistent generalization and stability. These experiments demonstrate that the ASTRO framework is highly practical and scalable method for strengthening the large scale cyber physical infrastructures