RADIUS: Ranking, Distribution, and Significance - A Comprehensive Alignment Suite for Survey Simulation
Organizations: Amazon Luxembourg, Luxembourg · Amazon Barcelona, Spain
Abstract
Simulation of surveys using LLMs is emerging as a powerful application for generating human-like responses at scale. Prior work evaluates survey simulation using metrics borrowed from other domains, which are often ad hoc, fragmented, and non-standardized, leading to results that are difficult to compare. Moreover, existing metrics focus mainly on accuracy or distributional measures, overlooking the critical dimension of ranking alignment. In practice, a simulation can achieve high accuracy while still failing to capture the option most preferred by humans - a distinction that is critical in decision-making applications. We introduce RADIUS, a comprehensive two-dimensional alignment suite for survey simulation that captures: 1) RAnking alignment and 2) DIstribUtion alignment, each complemented by statistical Significance testing. RADIUS highlights the limitations of existing metrics, enables more meaningful evaluation of survey simulation, and provides an open-source implementation for reproducible and comparable assessment.
Figures & tables
| LLM-based | Normal | Rand. | Uni. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | W34 | W50 | W92 | GSS | W34 | W50 | W92 | GSS | GSS | GSS |
| TRM ( ) | * | * | * | * | * | * | ||||
| RC ( ) | * | * | * | * | * | * | ||||
| TVD ( ) | * | * | * | |||||||
| DH ( ) | ||||||||||
| CV ( ) | * | * | * | |||||||
| ID | Question | Human/Agent Distr. |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 | How long have you been in your current romantic relationship? | [56, 52, 75, 179, 91, 197, 4] / [2, 0, 0, 1, 8, 510, 412] |
| Q2 | If a person decides to move in with a partner without being married, how important is for that person to be financially stable before moving in with their partner? | [2335, 2159, 273, 113, 27] / [405, 517, 13, 0, 0] |
| Q3 | As far as the people running Supreme Court are concerned, would you say you have a great deal of/only some/hardly any confidence in them? | [360, 935, 850] / [4, 871, 60] |
| Q4 | Is there any area right around here–that is, within a mile–where you would be afraid to walk alone at night? | [766, 1457] / [301, 634] |
| Q5 | Do you favor or oppose the death penalty for persons convicted of murder? | [1243, 824] / [188, 747] |
| Q6 | Do you think foods with genetically modified ingredients are generally… | [30, 236, 373, 17] / [0, 703, 232, 0] |
Large Language Model-Based Social Simulation
Large language model-based social simulation studies how language-model agents represent people and interact to produce social behavior.
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