MIDST Challenge at SaTML 2025: Membership Inference over Diffusion-models-based Synthetic Tabular data

Tabular data plays an important role in many fields and industries, including those with elevated privacy considerations and risks. As such, there is a rising interest in generating high-quality synthetic proxies for real tabular data as a means of reducing privacy risk and proprietary data exposure. With tabular diffusion models (TDMs) demonstrating leading performance in synthesizing such data, understanding and measuring the privacy risks associated with these models is imperative. Leveraging state-of-the-art membership inference attacks for TDMs in both black- and white-box settings, this work quantifies the impact of training setup, synthesis choices, and attacker knowledge on privacy leakage. Moreover, the results demonstrate that adversaries need not have perfect knowledge of the training setup, identical data distributions, or massive compute resources to construct successful attacks. Finally, the pitfalls associated with applying heuristic privacy metrics, such as distance-to-closest record, are revealed.

The use of synthetic data has become increasingly popular as a privacy-preserving alternative to sharing real datasets, especially in sensitive domains such as healthcare, finance, and demography. However, the privacy assurances of synthetic data are not absolute, and remain susceptible to membership inference attacks (MIAs), where adversaries aim to determine whether a specific individual was present in the dataset used to train the generator. In this work, we propose a practical and effective method to quantify membership disclosure risk in tabular synthetic datasets using kernel density estimators (KDEs). Our KDE-based approach models the distribution of nearest-neighbour distances between synthetic data and the training records, allowing probabilistic inference of membership and enabling robust evaluation via ROC curves. We propose two attack models: a 'True Distribution Attack', which assumes privileged access to training data, and a more realistic, implementable 'Realistic Attack' that uses auxiliary data without true membership labels. Empirical evaluations across four real-world datasets and six synthetic data generators demonstrate that our method consistently achieves higher F1 scores and sharper risk characterization than a prior baseline approach, without requiring computationally expensive shadow models. The proposed method provides a practical framework and metric for quantifying membership disclosure risk in synthetic data, which enables data custodians to conduct a post-generation risk assessment prior to releasing their synthetic datasets for downstream use. The datasets and codes for this study are available at https://github.com/PyCoder913/MIA-KDE.

Diffusion models are the leading approach for tabular data synthesis and are increasingly used to share sensitive records. Whether they actually protect privacy has become a pressing question. Membership inference attacks are the standard tool for this purpose, yet existing attacks assume a single-table setting and ignore the multi-relational structure of real sensitive data. A core challenge in assessing privacy risks from membership inference attacks in multi-table settings is how to leverage auxiliary information from relations associated with the target table, such as its parent tables. Particularly, we study a practical setting in which such auxiliary information is available only when training the attack model. At inference time, the attacker observes only the attribute values of the target record from the target table. We propose FERMI (FEature-mapping for Relational Membership Inference), which resolves this gap by enriching single-table features with relational membership signal. Across three tabular diffusion architectures and three real-world relational datasets, FERMI consistently improves attack performance over single-table baselines, with TPR@$0.1$FPR rising by up to 53% over the single-table baseline in the white-box setting and 22% in the black-box setting.