Organizations: Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China · Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China · Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, China
Large Language Models are increasingly being considered for deployment in safety-critical military applications. However, current benchmarks suffer from structural blindspots that systematically overestimate model capabilities in real-world tactical scenarios. Existing frameworks typically ignore strict legal constraints based on International Humanitarian Law (IHL), omit edge computing limitations, lack robustness testing for fog of war, and inadequately evaluate explicit reasoning. To address these vulnerabilities, we present WARBENCH, a comprehensive evaluation framework establishing a foundational tactical baseline alongside four distinct stress testing dimensions. Through a large scale empirical evaluation of nine leading models on 136 high-fidelity historical scenarios, we reveal severe structural flaws. First, baseline tactical reasoning systematically collapses under complex terrain and high force asymmetry. Second, while state of the art closed source models maintain functional compliance, edge-optimized small models expose extreme operational risks with legal violation rates approaching 70 percent. Furthermore, models experience catastrophic performance degradation under 4-bit quantization and systematic information loss. Conversely, explicit reasoning mechanisms serve as highly effective structural safeguards against inadvertent violations. Ultimately, these findings demonstrate that current models remain fundamentally unready for autonomous deployment in high stakes tactical environments.
Figures & tables
Figure 1
Benchmark
Ethical
Edge / Time
Fog of War
CoT
Real Source
CMDEF ( Doumanas et al., 2026 )
∼
✗
✗
✗
∼
WGSR-Bench ( Yin et al., 2025 )
∼
✗
∼
∼
✗
TextStarCraft II ( Ma et al., 2024 )
✗
✓
∼
✗
✗
TMGBench ( Wang et al., 2024 )
✗
✗
✗
✗
✗
GT-HarmBench ( Cobben et al., 2026 )
∼
✗
✗
✗
✗
WarAgent ( Hua et al., 2023 )
✗
✗
✗
✗
∼
Table 1. Comparison of evaluation dimensions across contemporary benchmarks. ✓ = Full coverage, ∼ = Partial or proxy coverage, ✗ = No coverage.
Characteristic
Count
Percentage
Total Scenarios
136
100.0%
Operational Environment
Mountainous / Forested
58
42.6%
Mixed / Littoral
32
23.5%
Urban
28
20.6%
Open / Desert
18
13.2%
Table 2. WARBENCH Dataset Characteristics. The dataset consists of 136 multi-source verified historical conflicts, reflecting the natural distribution of modern asymmetric and intrastate warfare.
Evaluation Dimension
Scenario Sub-type
Closed-Source APIs
Open-Source Large
Edge-Optimized Small
Claude 4.6
GPT-5.4
Gemini 3.1
DeepSeek
Qwen-397B
Llama-4
Phi-3
Qwen-4B
Llama-3.2
Operational Environment
Open / Desert (n=18)
0.94
0.91
0.88
0.85
0.83
0.79
0.39
0.36
0.33
Mixed / Littoral (n=32)
0.87
0.83
0.80
0.75
0.74
0.71
0.24
0.21
0.19
Mountainous / Forested (n=58)
0.81
0.76
0.75
0.68
0.64
0.60
0.18
0.16
0.14
Urban (n=28)
0.80
0.74
0.71
0.64
0.63
0.59
0.16
0.13
0.11
Conflict Type
Interstate (n=19)
0.93
0.89
0.86
0.84
0.82
0.77
0.36
0.33
0.32
Table 3. Baseline Decision Quality (DQ) across Structural Scenario Factors. Sample sizes (n) correspond to the 136-scenario dataset characteristics defined in Section 3.2 .
Model Category
Model
CS (%)
CIR (%)
Refusal Rate (%)
Closed-Source APIs
Claude Opus 4.6
92.0
90.4
8.1
GPT-5.4 Pro
88.5
84.1
18.4
Gemini 3.1 Pro
85.0
82.5
10.3
Open-Source Large
DeepSeek-V3.2
82.2
78.3
4.4
Qwen3.5-397B-A17B
79.0
75.4
2.9
Llama-4-Maverick-17B
75.6
70.1
5.1
Table 4. Legal Compliance and Refusal Metrics across 136 Scenarios. CS represents Compliance Score, and CIR represents Constraint Identification Rate. Higher CS and CIR values indicate better legal and ethical reasoning.
Model
Precision
Avg Dec. Time
Dec. Quality
CS (%)
Phi-3 Mini
16-bit
28.5s
0.22
35.0
Phi-3 Mini
8-bit
22.1s
0.18
23.5
Phi-3 Mini
4-bit
18.4s
0.12
12.0
Qwen3.5-4B
16-bit
31.2s
0.19
38.5
Qwen3.5-4B
8-bit
24.5s
0.18
27.0
Qwen3.5-4B
4-bit
20.3s
0.15
14.5
Table 5. Edge Deployment Performance across 136 Scenarios evaluated without forced time truncation. Avg Dec. Time represents Average Decision Time in seconds. CS represents the IHL Compliance Score.
Figure 1. Decision Quality under Information Degradation. (a) Missing Information illustrates the non-linear collapse as tactical elements are obscured. (b) Contradictory Intelligence demonstrates the steep degradation curve when conflicting reports are injected.
Model
DQ (CoT)
DQ Impr.
CS (CoT)
CS Impr.
Claude Opus 4.6
0.85
+0.01
94.5%
+2.5%
GPT-5.4 Pro
0.82
+0.03
91.5%
+3.0%
Gemini 3.1 Pro
0.79
+0.02
89.1%
+4.1%
Qwen3.5-397B
0.72
+0.03
84.5%
+5.5%
Qwen3.5-4B
0.20
+0.01
42.4%
+3.9%
Average
-
+0.02
-
+3.8%
Table 6. Reasoning Prompting Performance. DQ represents Decision Quality on a scale of 0 to 1. CS represents the Compliance Score. Impr. denotes the absolute improvement over the standard baseline.
Appendix figures & tables3 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
Category
Points
Criteria
Target Selection
0 to 3
0: Incorrect priority targets; 1: Partial targets identified; 2: Majority of targets identified; 3: All priority targets correctly identified
Table 8. Ablation Study: Expert Rubric versus Open Evaluation. Accuracy indicates the exact match rate with human expert ground truth on a 27-case dataset.
Characteristic
Cold War Era (1945–1989)
Post-Cold War (1990–2001)
Modern Warfare (2002–Present)
Count (n=38)
Percentage
Count (n=66)
Percentage
Count (n=32)
Percentage
Operational Environment
Mountainous / Forested
17
44.7%
28
42.4%
13
40.6%
Mixed / Littoral
10
26.3%
14
21.2%
8
25.0%
Urban
7
18.4%
15
22.7%
6
18.8%
Open / Desert
4
10.5%
9
13.6%
5
15.6%
Appendix
Table 9. Comparative Analysis of Conflict Characteristics by Time Period.
LLM decision-making studies how language models choose, act, seek information, and allocate resources under goals, uncertainty, constraints, and social pressures.
Large language models (LLMs) are now being explored for defense applications that require reliable and legally compliant decision support. They also hold significant potential to enhance decision making, coordination, and operational efficiency in military contexts. These uses demand evaluation methods that reflect the doctrinal standards that guide real military operations. Existing safety benchmarks focus on general social risks and do not test whether models follow the legal and ethical rules that govern real military operations. To address this gap, we introduce ARMOR 2025, a military aligned safety benchmark grounded in three core military doctrines the Law of War, the Rules of Engagement, and the Joint Ethics Regulation. We extract doctrinal text from these sources and generate multiple choice questions that preserve the intended meaning of each rule. The benchmark is organized through a taxonomy informed by the Observe Orient Decide Act (OODA) decision making framework. This structure enables systematic testing of accuracy and refusal across military relevant decision types. This benchmark features a structured 12-category taxonomy, 519 doctrinally grounded prompts, and rigorous evaluation procedures applied to 21 commercial LLMs. Evaluation results reveal critical gaps in safety alignment for military applications.
Sydney Johns, Heng Jin, Chaoyu Zhang +2
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Virginia, United States
We introduce Age of LLM, a turn-based 1v1 benchmark in which two LLMs face off on a 13x7 grid to destroy the enemy base. Three stressors are deliberate: fog of war, full diplomacy (messages, ceasefires, ultimatums; uranium kept secret), and a reliability dimension where every turn must follow a strict JSON schema and an illegal action is silently discarded. The engine is private and each match uses a fresh random map seed and opponent, mitigating the data contamination that affects public benchmarks. Models receive a (near) rule-only prompt with no build-order advice (two tactical seed phrases were present during data collection; see Section 2.7). We benchmark 15 reasoning models across 54 matches and 5,258 actions. Findings: (1) the nuclear rush dominates (78% on the rules-coherent v0.11+ sub-corpus; 85% corpus-wide) with a sole-launcher signature that is largely mechanical under secret-simultaneous launch rules, not a cognitive deterrence failure; (2) military conquest is rare but faster (12.3 vs 18.9 turns); (3) diplomacy is prolific yet almost never consummated; (4) ~58% of illegal actions are fog/state errors, making the illegal-action rate a measure of belief-tracking; (5) -- the least established, and the only one we label exploratory -- a weak link associates reliability with winning. The corpus is small, unbalanced and not side-swapped, so the ranking is a preliminary descriptive view, not a contribution. Beyond ranking, the turn-by-turn traces of actions and messages make the corpus a lens on how LLMs reason under adversarial uncertainty -- their belief-tracking, spontaneous deception, and per-model cognitive "personas" -- which we frame as a future research direction. We release the replay format, an isometric viewer and all replays; engine source on request.
Military Large Language Models (LLMs) must provide accurate information to the warfighter in time-critical and dangerous situations. However, today's LLMs are imbued with safety behaviors that cause the LLM to refuse many legitimate queries in the military domain, particularly those related to violence, terrorism, or military technology. Our gold benchmark for assessing refusal rates, which was developed by veterans of the US Army and special forces, is to our knowledge the first dataset of its kind. We present results for refusal and deflection rates on 31 public models and 3 military models. We observe hard rejection rates as high as 98.2% and soft deflection rates ranging from 0% to 21.3%. We also present results on two additional synthetic datasets and show their correlations with the gold dataset. Finally, we perform abliteration using the Heretic library on a military-tuned gpt-oss-20b model, showing an absolute increase in answer rate of 66.5 points but an average relative decrease of 2% on other military tasks. In our concluding remarks, we argue for deeper specialization, including with mid-training and end-to-end post-training, to achieve zero refusals and maximum military task accuracy for closed military models.
Jack FitzGerald, Dylan Bates, Aristotelis Lazaridis +17