BOxCrete: A Bayesian Optimization Open-Source AI Model for Concrete Strength Forecasting and Mix Optimization

Establishing quantitative relationships among mix design, raw material properties, curing conditions, and performance remains a long-standing challenge in cementitious materials, particularly for alkali-activated materials with variable precursor and activator chemistry. Here, we curated the largest literature-derived alkali-activated slag (AAS) dataset to date, comprising over 3100 compressive strength records, 155 chemically distinct ground granulated blast-furnace slags (GGBSs), and 24 attributes incorporating precursor chemistry, fineness, and reactivity. Multiple machine learning (ML) algorithms were benchmarked across progressively enriched feature scenarios, demonstrating that integrating GGBS compositions, fineness, curing conditions, and specimen geometry improves predictive performance. The average metal oxide dissociation energy (AMODE), a physically interpretable representation of precursor reactivity, provides a compact alternative descriptor to explicit oxide compositions while enabling comparable predictive performance. Model interpretation revealed physically consistent trends from heterogeneous data, including non-monotonic effects of Na2O dosage and silicate modulus, reduced predicted strength at higher water content and larger specimen size, and coupled oxide-level effects more coherently represented by AMODE than by individual oxide contents. Statistically constrained design space exploration reveals reactivity-dependent trade-offs among strength, embodied CO2 emissions, and cost. The design maps identify high-strength regions with substantially lower CO2 emissions than OPC-based references at similar cost. Overall, this work demonstrates how reactivity-informed ML can extract physically meaningful trends from heterogeneous AAS data and guide source-dependent binder design. The curated dataset is publicly accessible to support advances in cement and concrete research.

The promise of data-driven materials discovery remains constrained by the scarcity of large, high-quality, and accessible experimental datasets. Here, we introduce a generalizable large language model (LLM)-powered pipeline for automated extraction and structuring of materials data from unstructured scientific literature, using concrete materials as a representative and particularly challenging example. The pipeline exhibits robust performance across a broad range of LLMs and achieves an $F_1$ score of up to 0.98 for diverse composition--process--property attributes. Within one hour, it extracts nearly 9,000 high-quality records with over 100 attributes from a corpus screened from more than 27,000 publications, enabling the construction of the largest open laboratory database for blended cement concrete. Machine learning analyses underscore the importance of large, diverse, and information-rich datasets for enhancing both in-distribution accuracy and out-of-distribution generalization to unseen materials. The proposed pipeline is readily adaptable to other materials domains and accelerates the development of scalable data infrastructures for materials informatics.

Small-data inverse design is challenging in engineering informatics when observations are heterogeneous, mixed-type, and constrained by physical relations among design variables. This work proposes a topology-aware surrogate framework guided by an Incremental Transformer (INCRT) for physics-constrained inverse design, applied to geopolymer mixture design. The method integrates intrinsic-dimensionality analysis, mixed-variable design-space representation, tabular surrogate prediction, INCRT-based manifold rationalisation, and constrained inverse optimisation. Using a public benchmark of fly-ash and slag-based geopolymer concrete mixtures with compressive-strength and carbon-emission targets, the high-dimensional design space proves strongly redundant, organising around fewer effective mixture regimes. Compressive strength requires nonlinear tabular surrogates, while carbon emission is largely determined by composition and well recovered by regularised linear models. INCRT thus acts not as a replacement for tabular predictors but as a rationalisation layer providing prototype regimes and a manifold-support score for inverse design. Three strategies are compared: unconstrained surrogate optimisation, physics-constrained optimisation, and topology-aware physics-constrained optimisation. Unconstrained optimisation can match target strength but may yield physically invalid or off-manifold candidates; physics-only constraints do not always ensure data support. The topology-aware strategy yields candidates balancing target compliance, carbon reduction, physical admissibility, and proximity to the learned feasible manifold. The framework aims not to replace experimental validation but to support screening of credible candidate mixtures from small, mixed, physically constrained engineering datasets.