SPDE Methods for Nonparametric Bayesian Posterior Contraction and Laplace Approximation

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are a popular class of Bayesian hierarchical models that include Gaussian processes, as well as certain spatial models and mixed-effect models. Efficient Bayesian inference of LGMs often requires marginalizing out the latent variables. For LGMs with a non-Gaussian likelihood, exact marginalization is not possible and a popular approach is to do approximate marginalization with an integrated Laplace approximation (ILA). Using ILA produces an approximate posterior which, in some settings, can differ significantly from the correct posterior, which impacts downstream applications. We propose an importance sampling scheme to correct the error introduced by ILA. By increasing the number of samples in importance sampling, the posterior with ILA converges to the correct posterior. This idea is realized with various techniques, including pseudo-marginalization, quasi-Monte Carlo and randomized quasi-Monte Carlo. We implement our methods in an automatic differentiation framework to support gradient-based algorithms when doing inference on the hyperparameters. For the latter, we specifically consider the use of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. We demonstrate the benefits of reduced error in various applied models.

We propose latent-space diffusion posterior sampling (L-DPS), an approximate Bayesian framework for high-dimensional inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The method addresses three challenges in PDE-constrained inversion: implicit sample-based priors without tractable densities, high-dimensional spatially distributed parameters, and the high cost of repeated forward-model evaluations during posterior sampling. L-DPS combines a variational autoencoder, an unconditional latent diffusion model, diffusion posterior sampling, and a differentiable neural surrogate. The VAE maps the parameter field to a lower-dimensional latent space, the diffusion model learns an implicit prior score in this latent space, and DPS combines this learned prior with likelihood-based guidance. The likelihood gradient is evaluated through the decoder-surrogate composition, avoiding repeated calls to the full numerical PDE solver. We evaluate the method on an inverse Darcy flow problem with an unknown spatially distributed permeability field inferred from sparse and noisy pressure observations. L-DPS produces accurate and robust inverse solutions, reduces inference cost relative to full-space DPS, and outperforms amortized inverse baselines such as conditional latent diffusion and inverse FNO in sparse and noisy regimes. We further compare L-DPS with a KLE-MAP baseline and study mixed-prior generalization and the sensitivity of inversion accuracy to surrogate forward-model error.

This paper addresses infinite-dimensional Bayesian inference for inverse problem of partial differential equations with model parameters in infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. To effectively incorporate prior information, we propose a novel continuous normalizing flows based infinite-dimensional model. Specifically, by introducing a well-defined neural ordinary differential equation in infinite-dimensional space, a simple reference measure can be transformed into a more complex measure which encodes the prior information. A corresponding theoretical framework is established to ensure the well-posedness of our proposed Bayesian prior in infinite-dimensional space. We also provide training methods of the prior for two distinct data settings, along with two sampling algorithms for the resulting Bayesian posterior. The proposed framework is applied to three representative inverse problems: the simple smooth inverse problem, inverse scattering problem, and the inverse heat conduction problem. Numerical experiments support the theoretical analysis and demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed algorithms.