MIOFlow 2.0: A unified framework for inferring cellular stochastic dynamics from single cell and spatial transcriptomics data

Inferring continuous system evolution from sparse temporal snapshots is a key challenge in generative modeling and single-cell omics. While Optimal Transport (OT) is popular, existing frameworks are largely restricted to first-order dynamics, assuming memoryless velocity fields. This limits expressiveness, as first-order systems fail to account for regulatory momentum and time-delayed responses inherent in processes like cell differentiation. Here, we introduce TracingFlow, a simulation-free Flow Matching framework generalizing to second-order dynamics. By using neural networks to regress the acceleration field, TracingFlow provides an exact, efficient solution to the Dynamical Optimal Acceleration Transport (DOAT) problem. Unlike first-order methods yielding over-smoothed trajectories, our second-order formulation captures high-curvature transitions and nonlinear evolutions by learning the underlying force fields. Evaluated on complex synthetic and large-scale scRNA-seq datasets, TracingFlow achieves superior accuracy in distributional reconstruction and trajectory faithfulness. Moreover, by integrating lineage tracing priors, it recovers dynamical structures that are both mathematically optimal and biologically plausible.

Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) provides high-dimensional profiles of cellular states, enabling data-driven modeling of cellular dynamics over time. In practice, time-resolved scRNA-seq is collected at only a few discrete time points as unpaired snapshot populations, leaving substantial temporal gaps. This motivates trajectory inference at unmeasured time points. Existing methods mainly follow two directions, optimal-transport (OT) alignment provides distribution-level matching between observed snapshots, while continuous-time generative models support forecasting via learned dynamics. However, two challenges remain: (i) unpaired snapshots render local transitions between adjacent time points ambiguous, leading to unstable supervision; and (ii) long-horizon prediction relies on repeated integration, where small modeling errors compound and cause distribution drift. To address these challenges, we propose single-cell Flow Matching (scFM), a latent generative framework based on coupling-conditioned flow matching. First, we compute entropically regularized OT couplings between adjacent snapshots and use them to construct soft, weighted flow-matching targets for learning time-dependent velocity fields. Second, we learn bidirectional velocity fields and leverage their consistency to refine couplings and improve temporal coherence under sparse supervision. Third, we introduce distribution-level alignment and latent dynamic regularization to anchor long rollouts and mitigate drift. Experiments on real-world time-series scRNA-seq datasets show that scFM consistently improves distributional prediction performance for both temporal interpolation and extrapolation. Moreover, scFM yields more accurate trajectory reconstruction and temporally coherent visualizations where intermediate time points are absent, indicating a more faithful recovery of underlying temporal gene expression dynamics.

Single-cell RNA sequencing provides insights into gene expression at single-cell resolution, yet inferring temporal processes from these static snapshot measurements remains a fundamental challenge. Current approaches utilizing neural differential equations and flows are sensitive to overfitting and lack careful considerations of biological variability. In this work, we propose a generative framework that models population trends using a latent heteroscedastic Gaussian process (GP) approximated by Hilbert space methods. To address the absence of genuine cell trajectories, we leverage an optimal transport (OT) objective that aligns generated and observed population distributions. Our method explicitly captures biological heterogeneity by incorporating cell-specific latent time and cell type conditioning to disentangle temporal asynchrony and trajectories to different cell types. We demonstrate state-of-the-art performance on complex interpolation and extrapolation benchmarks and introduce a novel gradient-based strategy for inferring perturbation trajectories.