Why Models Know But Don't Say: Chain-of-Thought Faithfulness Divergence Between Thinking Tokens and Answers in Open-Weight Reasoning Models

Chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning has been proposed as a transparency mechanism for large language models in safety-critical deployments, yet its effectiveness depends on faithfulness (whether models accurately verbalize the factors that actually influence their outputs), a property that prior evaluations have examined in only two proprietary models, finding acknowledgment rates as low as 25% for Claude 3.7 Sonnet and 39% for DeepSeek-R1. To extend this evaluation across the open-weight ecosystem, this study tests 12 open-weight reasoning models spanning 9 architectural families (7B-685B parameters) on 498 multiple-choice questions from MMLU and GPQA Diamond, injecting six categories of reasoning hints (sycophancy, consistency, visual pattern, metadata, grader hacking, and unethical information) and measuring the rate at which models acknowledge hint influence in their CoT when hints successfully alter answers. Across 41,832 inference runs, overall faithfulness rates range from 39.7% (Seed-1.6-Flash) to 89.9% (DeepSeek-V3.2-Speciale) across model families, with consistency hints (35.5%) and sycophancy hints (53.9%) exhibiting the lowest acknowledgment rates. Training methodology and model family predict faithfulness more strongly than parameter count, and keyword-based analysis reveals a striking gap between thinking-token acknowledgment (approximately 87.5%) and answer-text acknowledgment (approximately 28.6%), suggesting that models internally recognize hint influence but systematically suppress this acknowledgment in their outputs. These findings carry direct implications for the viability of CoT monitoring as a safety mechanism and suggest that faithfulness is not a fixed property of reasoning models but varies systematically with architecture, training method, and the nature of the influencing cue.

We provide evidence of performative chain-of-thought (CoT) in reasoning models, where a model becomes strongly confident in its final answer, but continues generating tokens without revealing its internal belief. Our analysis compares activation probing, early forced answering, and a CoT monitor across two large models (DeepSeek-R1 671B & GPT-OSS 120B) and find task difficulty-specific differences: The model's final answer is decodable from activations far earlier in CoT than a monitor is able to say, especially for easy recall-based MMLU questions. We contrast this with genuine reasoning in difficult multihop GPQA-Diamond questions. Despite this, inflection points (e.g., backtracking, 'aha' moments) occur almost exclusively in responses where probes show large belief shifts, suggesting these behaviors track genuine uncertainty rather than learned "reasoning theater." Finally, probe-guided early exit reduces tokens by up to 80% on MMLU and 30% on GPQA-Diamond with similar accuracy, positioning attention probing as an efficient tool for detecting performative reasoning and enabling adaptive computation.

Monitoring the chain-of-thought of reasoning artificial intelligence (AI) models remains a key approach to detecting deception and other forms of misbehavior in such models. However, semantic chain-of-thought monitoring depends on reasoning traces being legible and sufficiently faithful to the underlying computations that produced the model's behavior, not to mention accessible. Moreover, there is increasing evidence that chain-of-thought outputs may soon become illegible or unfaithful, if they even remain accessible. Based on cognitive load theory, we investigate a lower-bandwidth signal--the number of reasoning tokens generated--which does not require access to the content of the reasoning trace. Three reasoning-capable large language models answered 210 multiple-choice questions--across analytic, descriptive, and normative reasoning types as well as moral and non-moral domains--under system prompts instructing them to respond truthfully, falsely, or without regard for truth. Across all three models, truth-directed responses elicited fewer reasoning tokens than both lie-directed and truth-indifferent responses. In addition, in one model, untruthful instructions increased the likelihood of reasoning at all. These findings show that explicitly prompted untruthful response policies can produce robust group-level differences in test-time reasoning-token use. While not yet establishing reasoning-token count as a detector of spontaneous deception or general misalignment, our results are a proof of concept that it can serve as a simple, content-independent black-box candidate signal for differentiating untruthful from truthful model behavior when raw reasoning traces are unavailable or unreliable. Future work should test instance-level detection rates, out-of-distribution generalization, learned deceptive policies, hidden objectives, and robustness under adversarial pressure.