HCLSM: Hierarchical Causal Latent State Machines for Object-Centric World Modeling

Embodied world models learn to predict future physical dynamics from visual observations and control signals, where physical knowledge is implicitly entangled within latent representations. We introduce CausalWM, a 16B embodied world model that performs explicit causal chain-of-thought reasoning before future video prediction. CausalWM organizes useful variables into a reasoning trajectory, allowing the model to progressively capture causal dependencies underlying physical evolution. To train CausalWM, we collect 31K hours embodied data and develop a three-stage paradigm consisting of large-scale video pre-training, causal CoT mid-training, and multi-objective RL post-training. Despite using only a limited set of supervised CoT variables, CausalWM exhibits emergent in-context learning capabilities, enabling contextual visual feature guidance and efficient few-step generation. CausalWM achieves state-of-the-art performance across language-conditioned, action-conditioned, single-view and multi-view benchmarks, including Top-1 performance on TriWorldBench leaderboard.

Deploying generative World-Action Models for manipulation is severely bottlenecked by redundant pixel-level reconstruction, $\mathcal{O}(T)$ memory scaling, and sequential inference latency. We introduce the Causal Latent World Model (CLWM), which employs DINOv3 features as generative targets to disentangle interaction semantics from visual noise, yielding highly robust domain generalization. To overcome memory scaling, CLWM features a Dual-State Test-Time Training (TTT) Memory that guarantees a strict $\mathcal{O}(1)$ footprint for long-horizon tasks. To overcome deployment latency, we propose Speculative Asynchronous Inference (SAI) to mask partial diffusion denoising behind physical execution, cutting blocking latency by about $50\%$. To scale robust policies, we present EmbodiChain, an online framework that establishes the Efficiency Law by injecting an infinite flow of physics-grounded trajectories during training. Extensive experiments validate that CLWM achieves state-of-the-art performance in complex dual-arm simulation and unprecedented zero-shot sim-to-real transfer on physical robots, outperforming baselines explicitly finetuned on real-world data.

The central challenge of world modeling is to learn representations that capture how the world evolves. However, existing world models predominantly represent future states without explicitly capturing the latent causes underlying their evolution, limiting their ability to reason about why and how the world changes. To address this limitation, we propose Abductive World Modeling (AWM), a framework that learns structured causal representations by abductively inferring latent causes from predicted futures. Specifically, we realize AWM through the Hierarchical Abductive State Pyramid (HASP), which organizes the inferred world state into three complementary components - Entity, Dynamic, and Relation - capturing what exists, how it changes, and how entities interact, respectively. By jointly reasoning over the current observation and its predicted future, HASP abductively infers these latent factors and integrates them into a structured state representation for downstream reasoning. To the best of our knowledge, AWM is the first framework to introduce abductive state inference into latent-space world modeling for learning structured representations of world dynamics. Experiments across physical prediction, causal reasoning, and action understanding demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. Compared with V-JEPA, a state-of-the-art latent-space world model, AWM improves physical prediction AUROC by 10.7%, causal reasoning accuracy by 16.8%, and action Top-1 accuracy by 68.0%.