Modelling and Analysis of Supply Chains using Product Time Petri Nets

This paper introduces SupplyNetPy, an open-source, well-documented Python library for modeling and discrete-event simulation of supply chain networks with arbitrary multi-echelon structures. It supports multiple replenishment policies, perishable inventory, node disruptions, and stochastic demand and lead times. All components are extensible via inheritance. Users describe a supply chain as a graph with node and link attributes, while the library handles simulation, providing logs and extensive node and network level performance reports. This paper presents the motivation, design, key features, and architecture of SupplyNetPy, along with detailed validation results (against analytical benchmarks, a commercial tool, and a published case study). A key motivation behind SupplyNetPy's development is programmatic generation and simulation of complex models, enabling design-space exploration, what-if analysis, training data generation, and supply chain digital twins.

Current approaches to simulating biological neural circuits, whether on general-purpose hardware or dedicated neuromorphic platforms, remain constrained by fixed-timestep numerical integration, hardware-imposed precision limits, and an inability to guarantee timing correctness for event-driven spiking dynamics under real-time constraints. Here, we propose a Petri net description of biological neural circuits that overcomes these limitations by modeling neurons, synapses, and spike events as a T-timed Petri net with formally verifiable timing semantics, enabling deadline-guaranteed real-time execution and analytically tractable correspondence to continuous-time leak-integrate-and-fire dynamics, independent of the underlying integration timestep. To test the model, we present the results of three simulated microcircuits: feedback inhibition, lateral inhibition, and hierarchical feature detector. The Petri neuron reproduces the expected dynamical signatures of each circuit while providing formally bounded timing guarantees throughout, with worst-case response times matching analytical predictions across all three cases.

Process model forecasting (PMF) aims to predict the process model that will characterize a future period, thereby providing a process-level view of how behavior is expected to evolve. Existing PMF methods, however, forecast directly-follows graphs, which cannot explicitly represent concurrency. We extend PMF to causal nets by forecasting time series of relation and binding counts and using these forecasts to reconstruct future process models with AND/XOR semantics. To evaluate the resulting models, we introduce a protocol that accounts for partial traces and constructs the workflow nets required for conformance checking. Experiments on four event logs show that the forecasted models achieve conformance levels close to those of models re-mined from observations in the corresponding future windows. They also outperform static discovery baselines, which retain high precision on the structurally stable log but exhibit substantial precision losses on the other three logs. Filtering infrequent bindings improves most conformance metrics, although it also removes much of the concurrent behavior captured by the models.