SUMMIR: A Hallucination-Aware Framework for Ranking Sports Insights from LLMs

Large language models (LLMs) increasingly support decisions about uncertain future events, yet evaluating their ability to forecast real-world outcomes remains difficult. In particular, existing benchmarks are typically static and retrospective, and therefore cannot test how information is synthesized by LLMs to predict future events under uncertainty. We introduce LLM-SoccerArena (https://llm-soccerarena.com), a prospective live benchmark that evaluates how well LLMs forecast real-world sports events before the outcomes are known. LLM-SoccerArena provides (1) a prospective live benchmark protocol, (2) a public open-source platform, and (3) a factorial benchmark design together with tournament-related questions (e.g., which team will win). LLM-SoccerArena automatically records timestamped, schema-validated forecasts of unresolved events, together with prompts, model versions, tool traces, and costs. The factorial design varies along four dimensions: (1) model version (e.g., GPT-5.5, Claude Opus 4.8); (2) information access; (3) prompting strategy, and (4) forecast horizon. We demonstrate LLM-SoccerArena through a large-scale evaluation of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, in which seven LLMs generated forecasts for all 104 matches and 15 tournament-related questions. We provide a detailed analysis of model performance across information access, prompting strategy, and forecast horizon. As a result, LLM-SoccerArena provides new evidence about the forecasting performance of state-of-the-art LLMs. For example, LLMs with web access outperform those without, but only by a small margin (i.e., a 0.023 improvement in Brier score). Overall, LLM-SoccerArena provides a flexible, open-source platform for prospective benchmarking of unresolved events. LLM-SoccerArena will be continuously updated, and can be directly applied to future national and international tournaments and league competitions.

Generating sports game reports from structured tables is a complex table-to-text task that demands both precise data interpretation and fluent narrative generation. Traditional model-based approaches require large, annotated datasets, while prompt-based methods using large language models (LLMs) often struggle with hallucination due to weak table comprehension. To overcome these challenges, we propose Tree-of-Text, a tree-structured prompting framework that guides LLMs through a three-stage generation process: (1) Content Planning, where relevant operations and arguments are selected from the input tables; (2) Operation Execution, which breaks down large tables into manageable sub-tables; and (3) Content Generation, where short textual outputs are merged and rewritten into a cohesive report. Experiments show that our method outperforms existing methods on ShuttleSet+, leads in RG and CO metrics on RotoWire-FG, and excels in CS and CO on MLB with roughly 40% of the time and cost of Chain-of-Table. These results demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of Tree-of-Text and suggest a promising direction for prompt-based table-to-text generation in the sports domain.

Sports have witnessed growing global enthusiasm in recent years, serving as a vital force for physical health, cultural exchange, social connection, and economic growth. The rapid advancement of large models, particularly (multimodal) large language models (M)LLMs, has demonstrated transformative potential to reshape sports understanding, analysis, and interaction across diverse domains. This paper presents a comprehensive survey of large models in sports, including (i) an overview of tasks and applications across different participant groups; (ii) a detailed analysis of sports-related datasets and benchmarks; and (iii) a critical discussion of current challenges and future directions. Our goal is to establish a foundation for advancing research and practical development of large-model-driven sports intelligence. An open-source GitHub repository is maintained at: https://github.com/Road2Redemption/Awesome_Large_Models_In_Sports1.