One Scale at a Time: Scale-Autoregressive Modeling for Fluid Flow Distributions

Spatiotemporal flows govern diverse phenomena across physics, biology, and engineering, yet modelling their multiscale dynamics remains a central challenge. Despite major advances in physics-informed machine learning, existing approaches struggle to simultaneously maintain long-term temporal evolution and resolve fine-scale structure across chaotic, turbulent, and physiological regimes. Here, we introduce Uni-Flow, a unified autoregressive-diffusion framework that explicitly separates temporal evolution from spatial refinement for modelling complex dynamical systems. The autoregressive component learns low-resolution latent dynamics that preserve large-scale structure and ensure stable long-horizon rollouts, while the diffusion component reconstructs high-resolution physical fields, recovering fine-scale features in a small number of denoising steps. We validate Uni-Flow across canonical benchmarks, including two-dimensional Kolmogorov flow, three-dimensional turbulent channel inflow generation with a quantum-informed autoregressive prior, and patient-specific simulations of aortic coarctation derived from high-fidelity lattice Boltzmann hemodynamic solvers. In the cardiovascular setting, Uni-Flow enables task-level faster than real-time inference of pulsatile hemodynamics, reconstructing high-resolution pressure fields over physiologically relevant time horizons in seconds rather than hours. By transforming high-fidelity hemodynamic simulation from an offline, HPC-bound process into a deployable surrogate, Uni-Flow establishes a pathway to faster-than-real-time modelling of complex multiscale flows, with broad implications for scientific machine learning in flow physics.

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) provides high-fidelity simulations of fluid flows but remains computationally expensive for many-query applications. In recent years deep learning (DL) has been used to construct data-driven fluid-dynamic surrogate models. In this work we consider a different learning paradigm and embrace generative modelling as a framework for constructing scalable fluid-dynamics surrogate models. We introduce FluidFlow, a generative model based on conditional flow-matching, a recent alternative to diffusion models that learns deterministic transport maps between noise and data distributions. FluidFlow is specifically designed to operate directly on CFD data defined on both structured and unstructured meshes alike, without the needs to perform any mesh interpolation pre-processing and preserving geometric fidelity. We assess the capabilities of FluidFlow using two different core neural network architectures, a U-Net and diffusion transformer (DiT), and condition their learning on physically meaningful parameters. The methodology is validated on two benchmark problems of increasing complexity: prediction of pressure coefficients along an airfoil boundary across different operating conditions, and prediction of pressure and friction coefficients over a full three-dimensional aircraft geometry discretized on a large unstructured mesh. In both cases, FluidFlow outperform strong multilayer perceptron baselines, achieving significantly lower error metrics and improved generalisation across operating conditions. Notably, the transformer-based architecture enables scalable learning on large unstructured datasets while maintaining high predictive accuracy. These results demonstrate that flow-matching generative models provide an effective and flexible framework for surrogate modelling in fluid dynamics, with potential for realistic engineering and scientific applications.

Fast surrogate modeling for high-dimensional physical dynamics requires more than low short-term error: useful models must roll out efficiently while preserving the statistical structure of long trajectories. Neural operators provide inexpensive autoregressive forecasts but can drift in turbulent regimes, whereas rolling diffusion and latent generative surrogates can represent stochastic transitions at the cost of multi-step denoising, noise-schedule design, or auxiliary compression models. We propose MeanFlow Long-term Invariant Spatiotemporal Consistency Autoregressive Models (MeLISA), a latent-free autoregressive generative surrogate built on pixel-space MeanFlow. MeLISA defines a blockwise stochastic transition kernel that generates each forecast block with a single model evaluation, avoiding latent encoders and iterative diffusion solvers at inference time. To stabilize long-horizon rollouts, MeLISA combines a Window-Consistency MeanFlow objective that learns conditional spatiotemporal generation from partially observed temporal windows with a Time Increment Consistency loss that constrains multi-lag finite increments and targets temporal-correlation structure. We evaluate MeLISA with compact UNet and scalable DiT backbones on two high-resolution benchmarks, extended 2D Kolmogorov flow at $256 \times 256$ and turbulent channel-flow slice at $192 \times 192$. MeLISA outperforms neural-operator baselines on short-term forecasting accuracy and long-horizon statistical metrics, including energy spectra, turbulent kinetic energy, and mixing-rate-related dynamics, while achieving inference speeds comparable to, and in some cases faster than, neural operators. Compact 3.7-5.7M-parameter variants already deliver strong parameter efficiency, and DiT variants provide a scalable path up to 150M parameters. Overall, MeLISA benefits both rollout efficiency and long-horizon statistical accuracy.