Integration of Deep Reinforcement Learning and Agent-based Simulation to Explore Strategies Counteracting Information Disorder

Incomplete propagation data significantly hinders robust fake news detection. Recent approaches leverage large language models to simulate missing user interactions via role-playing, thereby enriching propagation with synthetic signals. However, such propagation data is intrinsically unreliable, and directly fusing it can lead to biased representations, leading to limited detection performance. In this paper, we alleviate the unreliability of synthetic propagation from the mutual information perspective and propose a novel information-theoretic propagation denoising and fusion (InfoPDF) framework to learn effective representations from both real and synthetic propagation. Specifically, we first generate attribute-specific synthetic propagation using large language models. Then we model each synthetic propagation graph as a probabilistic latent distribution to guide reliability-aware adaptive fusion with real propagation. During training, we design a mutual information-based objective to learn compressed and task-sufficient propagation representations. It jointly suppresses noisy signals across attribute-specific synthetic propagation, maintains consistency between real and synthetic propagation representations, and ensures task sufficiency for fake news detection and attribute prediction. Experiments on three real-world datasets show that InfoPDF consistently achieves superior performance across various fake news detection tasks. Further analysis demonstrates that InfoPDF can estimate attribute-level reliabilities and learn more discriminative propagation representations.

Misinformation is a growing societal threat, and susceptibility to misinformative claims varies across demographic groups due to differences in underlying beliefs. As Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human behaviors, we investigate whether they can simulate demographic misinformation susceptibility, treating beliefs as a primary driving factor. We introduce BeliefSim, a simulation framework that constructs demographic belief profiles using psychology-informed misinformation taxonomies and survey priors. We study prompt-based conditioning and post-training adaptation, and conduct a multi-fold evaluation using: (i) susceptibility alignment and (ii) counterfactual demographic sensitivity. Across both datasets and modeling strategies, we show that beliefs provide a strong prior for simulating misinformation susceptibility, with alignment up to 92%.

Agent-based social media simulators offer a controlled environment to study content moderation, yet their value hinges on how faithfully they reproduce real platform dynamics. We develop a calibrated extension of SimSoM, an agent-based model of information diffusion on social networks, grounded in a real-world dataset of online vaccine discourse during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our approach replaces ad-hoc parametrisations with empirically fitted distributions, optimised via CMA-ES (Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolution Strategy) and validated against real data across temporal, distributional, and structural dimensions. Using this validated simulator, we provide three key contributions. First, we show that the calibrated model reproduces key statistical signatures of the empirical data, including activity distributions, post/reshare ratios, and temporal patterns. Second, we apply established misinformation-spreader detection and prevention methods to both empirical and simulated data, progressively removing top-ranked users and showing that the resulting decline in low-quality content is consistent across the two. Third, comparing static (retroactive) and dynamic (in-simulation) moderation across 30 network realisations, we show that static evaluation significantly overestimates the effectiveness of user bans for the most effective detectors: when moderation is applied in real time, compensatory resharing by the remaining users dampens the expected reduction in low-quality content, so static estimates should be read as an upper bound. These findings highlight the necessity of simulation-based evaluation for content moderation policies and contribute a reusable, empirically grounded simulation framework.