Abstract
Vision-language-action (VLA) models have emerged as generalist robotic controllers capable of mapping visual observations and natural language instructions to continuous action sequences. However, VLAs provide no calibrated measure of confidence in their action predictions, thus limiting their reliability in real-world settings where uncertainty and failures must be anticipated. To address this problem we introduce ReconVLA, a reliable conformal model that produces uncertainty-guided and failure-aware control signals. Concretely, our approach applies conformal prediction directly to the action token outputs of pretrained VLA policies, yielding calibrated uncertainty estimates that correlate with execution quality and task success. Furthermore, we extend conformal prediction to the robot state space to detect outliers or unsafe states before failures occur, providing a simple yet effective failure detection mechanism that complements the action-level uncertainty. We evaluate ReconVLA in both simulation and real robot experiments across diverse manipulation tasks. Our results show that conformalized action predictions consistently improve failure anticipation, reduce catastrophic errors, and provide a calibrated measure of confidence without retraining or modifying the underlying VLA.
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May 28, 2026cs.RO
Confidence estimation for Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models is essential for robots to perform manipulation tasks in the open world, providing crucial signals for risk-sensitive decision-making and failure anticipation. Existing confidence estimation methods typically rely on ensemble-based paradigms or action-token probabilities to predict the likelihood of task success. However, they still encounter challenges in computational efficiency and cross-architecture generalizability. These methods usually require repeated sampling, leading to inference inefficiency, and are restricted to VLA models with discrete action outputs, making them difficult to apply to continuous action spaces. To address this issue, we propose VLAConf, a one-class discriminative confidence framework. By leveraging frozen pretrained VLA internal representations, VLAConf directly estimates step-wise anomaly scores in a single forward pass using a lightweight confidence head, thereby eliminating the overhead of exhaustive resampling. We additionally use step-conditioned modeling to encode rollout-phase information along the manipulation trajectory. Experiments on the LIBERO benchmark demonstrate that VLAConf significantly improves the quality of the confidence signal constructed for post-hoc calibration, outperforming existing baselines by a large margin in inference efficiency. The effectiveness of VLAConf is further validated in real-robot experiments. To access the source code and supplementary videos, visit https://sites.google.com/view/vlaconf.
Dehao Huang, Aoxiang Gu, Chengjie Zhang +5
Jun 18, 2026cs.RO
Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have shown strong performance in robotic manipulation, but reliable uncertainty quantification remains challenging, particularly under distribution shift. Unlike autoregressive policies, many modern VLA models generate continuous actions through regression or flow-based generation, where explicit predictive probabilities are unavailable. Moreover, stochastic action sampling primarily captures action-generation variability under a fixed model, while failure detection under distribution shift can benefit from capturing uncertainty in the model itself. Motivated by Bayesian perspectives on local model variations, we propose perturbation-based failure detection (PFD), a training-free framework for estimating epistemic uncertainty in VLA models through low-rank weight perturbations. Specifically, we inject random low-rank perturbations into selected transformer weight matrices and estimate epistemic uncertainty from disagreement across perturbed action predictions. Experiments on LIBERO-PRO show that PFD achieves the highest average AUROC and balanced accuracy among the evaluated methods while consistently outperforming stochastic action sampling across distribution shifts. Real-world robot experiments further demonstrate that PFD provides a competitive failure-detection signal under an unseen object shift.
Yousung Lee, Dongsoo Har
Jun 10, 2026cs.RO
Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models provide a natural language interface to robot control, but the mapping from language to behavior is often brittle and unintuitive: semantically similar instructions can induce drastically different behaviors, while some capabilities may not be elicitable through prompting alone. As a result, both human instructions and zero-shot language models can fail to reliably steer VLAs toward successful task execution. In this work, we propose a framework that interactively searches for language sequences that improve closed-loop VLA task performance, distills these sequences into a test-time language feedback policy (LFP), and learns an improvement head that predicts when language steering will improve performance. We conformalize this improvement head to prevent harmful steering interventions, where the LFP decreases task performance relative to the original instruction on out-of-distribution scenarios. Crucially, our approach operates on arbitrary frozen pre-trained VLAs, requiring neither access to the original training distribution nor fine-tuning of the underlying model. On seen environments, our conformalized LFP improves base VLA performance by 24.7% in simulation and 65.0% in hardware. On visual and semantic perturbations, our conformalized LFP has strong harmlessness guarantees, and produces recovery behaviors not observed with open-loop prompting.
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