A Multi-Stage Warm-Start Deep Learning Framework for Unit Commitment
Authors: Muhy Eddin Za'ter, Anna Van Boven, Bri-Mathias Hodge, Kyri Baker
Organizations: University of Colorado Boulder Boulder, CO, USA
Abstract
Maintaining instantaneous balance between electricity supply and demand is critical for reliability and grid instability. System operators achieve this through solving the task of Unit Commitment (UC),ca high dimensional large-scale Mixed-integer Linear Programming (MILP) problem that is strictly and heavily governed by the grid physical constraints. As grid integrate variable renewable sources, and new technologies such as long duration storage in the grid, UC must be optimally solved for multi-day horizons and potentially with greater frequency. Therefore, traditional MILP solvers increasingly struggle to compute solutions within these tightening operational time limits. To bypass these computational bottlenecks, this paper proposes a novel framework utilizing a transformer-based architecture to predict generator commitment schedules over a 72-hour horizon. Also, because raw predictions in highly dimensional spaces often yield physically infeasible results, the pipeline integrates the self-attention network with deterministic post-processing heuristics that systematically enforce minimum up/down times and minimize excess capacity. Finally, these refined predictions are utilized as a warm start for a downstream MILP solver, while employing a confidence-based variable fixation strategy to drastically reduce the combinatorial search space. Validated on a single-bus test system, the complete multi-stage pipeline achieves 100% feasibility and significantly accelerates computation times. Notably, in approximately 20% of test instances, the proposed model reached a feasible operational schedule with a lower overall system cost than relying solely on the solver.
AC Optimal Power Flow (ACOPF) and Security-Constrained Unit Commitment (SCUC) are fundamental optimization problems in power system operations. ACOPF serves as the physical backbone of grid simulation and real-time operation, enforcing nonlinear power flow feasibility and network limits, while SCUC represents a core market-level decision process that schedules generation under operational and security constraints. Although these problems share the same underlying transmission network and physical laws, they differ in decision variables and temporal coupling, and prior learning-based approaches address them in isolation, resulting in disjoint models and representations.We propose a learning framework that jointly models ACOPF and SCUC through a shared graph-based backbone that captures grid topology and physical interactions, coupled with task-specific decoders for static and temporal decision-making. Training includes solver supervision with physics-informed objectives to enforce AC feasibility and inter-temporal operational constraints. To evaluate generalization, we assess cross-case transfer on unseen grid topologies for ACOPF and SCUC without retraining, and systematic generalization on the UC-ACOPF problem using unsupervised, physics-based objectives and a power-dispatch consensus mechanism. Experiments across multiple grid scales demonstrate improved performance and transferability relative to existing learning-based baselines, indicating that the model can support learning across heterogeneous power system optimization problems.
AC optimal power flow determines the minimum-cost generation dispatch under nonlinear power balance constraints and is solved thousands of times daily in electricity market operations. Learning a direct mapping from load conditions to OPF solutions can accelerate this computation, yet with deepening renewable penetration, a single optimal dispatch is no longer sufficient. Operators require a characterization of the distribution of feasible near-optimal solutions for risk quantification, sensitivity analysis, and multi-objective trade-off assessment. Supervised neural networks provide fast point predictions but cannot capture this conditional distribution. Diffusion-based generative models can sample diverse solutions in principle, yet existing methods operating in the raw state space exhibit degraded solution quality and fail to scale beyond medium-sized systems. We identify the root cause as the conflation of two distinct tasks within a single model. Compressing the high-dimensional OPF solution manifold is one task, and learning the conditional mapping from loads to that manifold is another. This paper presents FMOPF, a framework that resolves this conflation by decoupling compression from generation through latent flow matching and by explicitly modeling load-state coupling through a Constraint-Aware Interaction Prior Network. Experiments on four IEEE test systems demonstrate that FMOPF provides the most effective Newton-Raphson warm starts, achieves the lowest tail risk among generative methods, and is the first such method to scale to systems with several hundred buses while preserving full feasibility. Ablation studies confirm that the latent generation pipeline is a necessary condition for physical feasibility and that the interaction prior functions as a late-stage tail-risk controller.
Foundation models are transforming business workflows and boosting productivity, yet they remain largely absent from engineering domains such as power system analysis, where strict physical consistency must be enforced. We present GENCO (GEometric Neural Corrective Optimizer), a unified neural solver for steady-state transmission grid analysis that handles power flow (PF), optimal power flow (OPF), and state estimation (SE) within a single architecture and shared network representation. To support advances in neural power system solvers, we introduce the open-source GridFM Development Framework, which standardizes synthetic data generation and training in a low-code environment. We also release large-scale datasets with millions of PF and OPF scenarios across diverse grid topologies to support reproducible benchmarking. We evaluate GENCO on the PFDelta and OPFData benchmarks against state-of-the-art neural solvers and classical solvers, including Newton-Raphson and IPOPT, as well as on real-world Hydro-Québec SCADA data. For large-scale PF, GENCO recovers the full AC operating state, including voltage magnitudes and reactive power that DC-PF cannot provide, while matching DC-PF-level active power-balance residuals. It achieves up to 30x speedups over Newton-Raphson at only 2x the runtime of DC-PF. For OPF, it achieves up to 85x speedups over IPOPT while improving feasibility, optimality, and runtime over DC-OPF. For SE, GENCO is more robust than classical weighted least squares to noisy measurements and network parameter errors, and always returns a high-quality estimate even when weighted least squares fails to converge. Together, the unified architecture and development framework provide a new approach to large-scale steady-state grid analysis, lowering the barrier to entry for power system engineers and marking a step toward Grid Foundation Models.
Alban Puech, Matteo Mazzonelli, Tamara R. Govindasamy +19