Featurising Pixels from Dynamic 3D Scenes with Linear In-Context Learners

Video event prediction (VEP) requires models to infer unobserved future states from partial video evidence. Existing video MLLMs usually verbalize intermediate future reasoning in text space: once visual evidence is verbalized, fine-grained motion, geometry, and interaction cues can be lost, leading to plausible but visually ungrounded hallucinations. We introduce Future-L1, an interleaved latent visual reasoning framework that lets an MLLM alternate between language tokens and continuous latent visual spans during autoregressive decoding. To train this capability, we construct Future-L1-50K by selecting examples where future visual hints help prediction and align latent states to future-frame embeddings, then further optimize sampled latent trajectories with LA-DAPO, a latent-aware RL objective with outcome-contrastive and temporal-diversity rewards. Future-L1 achieves new state-of-the-art results on both benchmarks: on FutureBench, it improves Qwen3-VL-8B from 61.0 to 85.4 and exceeds the previous best Video-CoE by 10.4 points; on TwiFF-Bench, it improves the average score from 2.44 to 3.04. These results suggest that future-oriented video reasoning benefits from preserving intermediate visual semantics in latent space rather than translating every reasoning step into text.

Acting in a physical scene requires knowing its real later state, not a plausible one. Current evaluations often accept words or a realistic-looking image, so the predicted state is never checked against the true one. We introduce DynaPix (Dynamic Pixels), a benchmark that makes prediction checkable. Given a video clip that stops before a key event and a question about a later moment, a model must pick the true future image from close candidates or a large gallery. The scenes come from a physics simulator, so the correct image and its time are known exactly and the wrong options are deliberately similar. Models often succeed when a visible event marks the target moment, but are near chance when only elapsed time marks it. Gallery search is harder still, as the true image rarely ranks first. People handle the elapsed-time items well, so the difficulty lies with the models, not the questions. Training on scene accounts drawn from the simulator's true record, not a teacher's guess, repairs much of this but not the longer elapsed time case. DynaPix thus exposes a temporal-anchoring gap: models attach a prediction to an event far better than to time itself.

Understanding motion in video is a fundamental challenge for visual learning, as frame-to-frame change entangles two sources of dynamics: camera motion and object motion. This decomposition has remained underexplored in representation learning, partly because these factors are tightly coupled in natural videos and difficult to supervise separately. Yet recovering it is important for learning robust motion representations that separate meaningful object dynamics from camera-induced variation. We study whether such structured motion representations can be recovered from frozen features of a pretrained image vision transformer. We propose the Structured Dynamics Model (SDM), which explicitly separates the dominant source of temporal change from residual dynamics through future-feature prediction, rather than representing video change with a single entangled latent or with unstructured, spatially dense transition tokens. Training combines self-supervised learning on real video with weak supervision of scene dynamics on synthetic Kubric data. We evaluate SDM on ProbeMotion, a new evaluation suite spanning synthetic and real videos with camera motion, object motion, and combined dynamics. SDM outperforms backbone baselines using global CLS or average-pooled features, and compares favorably to strongly supervised representations such as VGGT on several probes, despite using substantially weaker supervision. These results suggest that pretrained image models can be readily repurposed into structured video-dynamics representations, providing a useful inductive bias for learning and analyzing latent video dynamics.