Privacy-Preserving Federated Learning via Differential Privacy and Homomorphic Encryption for Cardiovascular Disease Risk Modeling

Cardiovascular disease risk prediction models often rely on data from a single institution or centrally pooled datasets. Extending these models across institutions could be limited by privacy regulations and constraints on sharing patient-level data. Federated learning enables collaborative model development without transferring sensitive patient data, but its application in healthcare remains challenging because datasets often differ in size, population characteristics, and outcome definitions. In this study, we present a federated deep learning approach for privacy-preserving cardiovascular disease risk prediction that integrates two population-based cohorts with different characteristics: Lifelines, including 148,230 participants meeting the study inclusion criteria with self-reported outcomes, and the Rotterdam Study, including a smaller cohort of 10,155 participants with digitally linked clinical outcomes. Model performance was primarily evaluated on the Rotterdam Study because of its complete follow-up. Deep survival models trained using federated learning achieved higher predictive performance than models trained locally without federation. For the Rotterdam Study, the C-statistic increased from 0.728 (95% CI: 0.717-0.739) to 0.739 (95% CI: 0.728-0.749). For Lifelines, the C-statistic increased from 0.783 (95% CI: 0.775-0.791) to 0.787 (95% CI: 0.780-0.792). These findings suggest that federated deep learning across heterogeneous cohorts can improve cardiovascular disease risk prediction while preserving the privacy of individual-level patient data.

Social media text data are often used to train Machine Learning (ML) models to identify users exhibiting high-risk mental health behaviors. However, sharing this sensitive data poses privacy risks and limits the growth of benchmark datasets. We comprehensively evaluate whether privacy-preserving ML techniques can enable safer data sharing while preserving performance. Specifically, we apply federated learning (FL) and Differentially Private FL for two widely-studied mental health prediction tasks: depression detection on X (Twitter) and suicide crisis detection on Reddit. We simulate realistic data-sharing scenarios by treating each user as a client in a non-IID setting, evaluating across different client fractions, aggregation strategies, and privacy budgets. While FL achieves comparable performance to centralized training (centralized F1 = 85.63; best FL model F1 = 83.16) on depression identification, we find that Differentially Private FL has a large performance-privacy trade-off (up to F1 = 27.01 drop) even with low levels of noise (epsilon = 50). This is due to the distortion of highly informative yet sparse mental health linguistic markers related to mental health, like health topics and emotion words. This research empirically demonstrates the potential and limitations of current privacy preservation techniques for mental health inference tasks.

Background: Federated learning (FL) enables collaborative training of clinical AI models without centralizing patient data, but adoption is limited by privacy concerns, heterogeneous institutional compliance, and resource disparities; standard differential privacy (DP) applies uniform noise to all clients, penalizing well-compliant or under-resourced institutions. Objective: We introduce a compliance-aware FL framework that adapts DP to institutional compliance, letting lower-compliance sites participate without uniformly penalizing others. Methods: A compliance scoring tool aligned with HIPAA, GDPR, NIST, ISO, and HL7/FHIR maps each client score to a per-step Gaussian noise scale for server-side DP-SGD on a small aggregator dataset. The formal $(ε,δ)$ bound applies to the aggregator dataset under a semi-honest aggregator; client-level DP needs secure aggregation (future work). We evaluate five FL strategies on PneumoniaMNIST and BreastMNIST (16 clients, 50 rounds, five seeds); the cumulative aggregator-dataset $ε$ is about 1434 (Breast) and 513 (Pneumonia) at $δ=10^{-5}$. Results: Including 12 lower-compliance clients (Experiment 1) versus a compliant-only baseline (Experiment 4) changed BreastMNIST accuracy by +4.5 (FedAvg), +6.8 (FedMedian), +5.2 (FedProx), +1.6 (FedYogi), and -4.1 (FedAdam) percentage points (pooled +2.8 pp; not significant at n=5; up to +17 pp per configuration); compliance-weighted allocation matched uniform server-side DP at equal mean noise (+0.1 pp), carrying no utility penalty, and first-round noise cost 1.3 pp (Breast) and 2.5 pp (Pneumonia, FedAvg). Conclusions: Compliance-weighted server-side DP lets lower-compliance institutions join FL without degrading performance, giving auditable per-site noise control at no utility cost; formal guarantees apply to the aggregator dataset, with client-level DP requiring secure aggregation.