TopBench: A Benchmark for Implicit Predictive Reasoning in Tabular Question Answering

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promising results on NLP tasks, however, their performance on tabular data still needs research attention, because Table Question-Answering (TQA) requires precise cell retrieval and multi-step structured reasoning. Existing work improves TQA either by fine-tuning or training LLMs on task-specific tabular data, but often lacks verifiable control over how the model navigates tables and derives answers. In this work, we propose a training-free TQA approach with two structured prompting frameworks: TableGrid Navigation (TGN), which iteratively navigates rows and columns via a three-module loop to locate evidence and refine answers, and Progressive Inference Prompting (PIP), which enforces columns identification for explicit progressive row selection constraint according to the query. We evaluate 17 LLMs against 6 baselines on TableBench and FeTaQa dataset. On TableBench, TGN improves over the strongest baseline by 3.8 points, and on FeTaQa, PIP achieves SOTA performance over ReAct and Chain-of-Thought. Beyond inference-time gains, PIP and TGN can also serve as supervision templates to fine-tune small models, narrowing the performance gap to much larger architectures in resource-constrained settings, offering versatile and cost-efficient solution for TQA.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown strong performance on table question answering, yet their accuracy often degrades as table size increases. We find that this degradation is not uniform across question types. Localization-sensitive questions are particularly affected by irrelevant table content, while questions requiring broader evidence may still benefit from full-table reasoning. Based on this observation, we propose a question-adaptive framework that dynamically selects between localized and full-table reasoning. The framework constructs question-specific sub-tables through operation-aware table decomposition and uses the predicted question type to determine the appropriate reasoning mode. We further introduce silver reference sub-tables for evaluating evidence selection and construct SLQA, a benchmark based on real-world long tables. Experiments on WikiTQ and SLQA show that localization is particularly effective for lookup and local reasoning questions, while adaptive selection between localized and full-table reasoning achieves the best overall performance. These results highlight that long-table QA requires deciding not only how to localize, but also when to localize. Our code and datasets will be made available upon publication of the paper.

Tabular prediction has long been dominated by gradient-boosted decision trees and specialized deep tabular models, while large language models (LLMs) remain difficult to make competitive despite their cross-task adaptability and transparent reasoning traces. We address this gap by incorporating tabular structural priors into LLM post-training. Specifically, we propose Permutation Relative Policy Optimization (PRPO), which operationalizes column-permutation invariance through label-preserving column permutations and two-level advantage estimation. This design converts sparse outcome rewards into denser and more stable optimization signals. Extensive experiments on 139 OpenML datasets show that our 8B model reaches a genuinely competitive regime against strong specialized tabular baselines. It achieves strong fully supervised performance, dominates zero-shot settings, and performs on par with 32-shot strong baselines. Moreover, it substantially outperforms much larger general-purpose and reasoning LLMs, including up to a 53.17% improvement over DeepSeek-R1 (685B). These results show that structural-prior RL post-training is an effective route for making LLMs competitive in tabular prediction.