Metric differential privacy (mDP) strengthens local differential privacy (LDP) by scaling noise to semantic distance, but many machine learning (ML) systems are consumed under joint observation, where model-agnostic, per-record guarantees can miss leakage from evidence aggregation. We introduce metric-normalized posterior leakage (mPL), an attacker-aligned, distance-calibrated measure of posterior-odds shift induced by releases, and show that for single or independent releases, uniformly bounding mPL is equivalent to mDP. Under joint observation, however, satisfying mDP may still leave mPL high because learned aggregators compound evidence across correlated items. To make control practical, we formalize probabilistically bounded mPL (PBmPL), which limits how often mPL may exceed a target budget, and we operationalize it via Adaptive mPL (AmPL), a trust-and-verify framework that perturbs, audits with a learned attacker, and adapts parameters (with optional Bayesian remapping) to balance privacy and utility. In a word-embedding case study, neural adversaries violate mPL under joint consumption despite per-record mDP perturbations, whereas AmPL substantially lowers the frequency of such violations with low utility loss, indicating PBmPL as a practical, certifiable protection for joint-consumption settings.
Privacy-preserving learning is often motivated by the idea that protecting users' data can preserve trust and thus participation, improving utility in the long term. However, this claim has not been formalized so far. In parallel, performative learning provides a framework for studying learning systems whose deployment affects the data they later observe. In this work, we bring these two perspectives together and introduce performative privacy, where data leakage reduces future participation. We study a simple model where agents repeatedly contribute data for mean estimation but may leave the system when their data is leaked. Privacy is implemented through differentially private mechanisms, creating a trade-off between estimation noise and future participation. We show, through a theoretical study of the dynamics and numerical experiments, that a finite privacy budget can outperform non-private estimation in the long term when the feedback loop between leakage and participation is sufficiently strong. This provides first evidence that differential privacy can be optimal not only as a protection mechanism, but also from the perspective of long-term utility.
In machine learning, privacy requirements at inference or deployment time often evolve due to changing policies, regulations, or user preferences. In this work, we aim to construct a magnitude of models to satisfy any target differential privacy (DP) requirement without additional training, given a set of existing models trained on the same dataset with different privacy/utility tradeoffs. We propose two post-processing techniques, namely random selection and linear combination, to generate final private models satisfying any target privacy parameter. We provide privacy accounting of these approaches from the lens of R'enyi DP and privacy loss distributions on general problems, as well as on private mean estimation, where we precisely characterize the privacy/utility tradeoffs and compare the two mechanisms. Empirically, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approaches and validate our analyses on several models and both synthetic and real-world datasets.
Differential privacy (DP) ensures rigorous individual-level privacy guarantees against even the most knowledgeable attackers, but its worst-case nature can impose a costly privacy-accuracy tradeoff. We introduce privacy via predictability, a fine-grained framework that explicitly incorporates the attacker's core knowledge, a compromised portion of the dataset generated by a stochastic process, and a specified family of queries. Predictability measures privacy leakage as the incremental gain in an attacker's ability to predict sensitive information about unknown individuals after observing the algorithm's output, beyond what can already be inferred from the compromised data. We show that predictability and DP are generally incomparable: each can be small while the other is large. However, in the worst-case regime where all but one individual is compromised, and all binary queries are considered sensitive, predictability implies mutual-information DP. More generally, predictability provides a finer-grained privacy metric tailored to specific sensitive information and specific attacker models. We introduce a general framework, using the generalized method of moments (GMM), to analyze asymptotic predictability when the compromised data is generated by a stationary, ergodic, mixing process. Using this analysis, we derive a predictability-calibrated output perturbation scheme for ERM. Our approach is complementary to DP and can be used alongside DP to provide fine-grained privacy control.