We present a non-asymptotic theory of generalization in deep learning where the empirical neural tangent kernel partitions the output space. In directions corresponding to signal, error dissipates rapidly; in the vast orthogonal dimensions corresponding to noise, the kernel's near-zero eigenvalues trap residual error in a test-invisible reservoir. Within the signal channel, minibatch SGD ensures that coherent population signal accumulates via fast linear drift, while idiosyncratic memorization is suppressed into a slow, diffusive random walk. We prove generalization survives even when the kernel evolves O(1) in operator norm, the full feature-learning regime. This theory naturally explains disparate phenomena in deep learning theory, such as benign overfitting, double descent, implicit bias, and grokking. Lastly, we derive an exact population-risk objective from a single training run with no validation data, for any architecture, loss, or optimizer, and prove that it measures precisely the noise in the signal channel. This objective reduces in practice to an SNR preconditioner on top of Adam, adding one state vector at no extra cost; it accelerates grokking by 5×, suppresses memorization in PINNs and implicit neural representations, and improves DPO fine-tuning under noisy preferences while staying 3× closer to the reference policy.
Delayed generalization (\ie~grokking) refers to the phenomenon in which a neural network fits its training data early in training but only begins to generalize after a prolonged delay, often through an abrupt transition. Despite extensive empirical study, its underlying mechanism remains poorly understood. In this work, we first theoretically characterize a shell--core topological configuration of the reachable solution space induced by Adam's optimization dynamics with weight-shrinkage regularization, supported by empirical evidence. This optimization-induced topological configuration gives rise to grokking. In model's parameter space, random initialization solutions concentrate on a thin outer spherical shell, enclosing another spherical shell of memorization solutions, which in turn contains a core corresponding to the generalization solutions. Leveraging stopping-time theory, we then analyze the geometry of this topological configuration and the solution transition time at which optimization trajectories escape the memorization manifold and first reach the boundary of the generalization manifold. Our theoretical analysis derives grokking scaling laws for the learning rate, batch size, and ℓ2 regularization coefficient, which are further validated through experiments and shown to recover results from prior literature.
Understanding generalization remains a central challenge in machine learning because it requires jointly considering data, architecture, and training dynamics. In this paper, we develop a theoretical framework that characterizes how these factors jointly shape generalization performance throughout training. More precisely, we study a broad class of neural networks trained under the ℓ2 loss by gradient descent (GD) with weight decay, and prove the convergence of GD to a neighbourhood of the global minimizers of the empirical loss. By partitioning the space based on the input data, we then decompose the population error into data error, optimization error, and prediction variation error, and bound them separately. In particular, for the prediction variation error, which measures the oscillations of the learned function, we propose (local) approximate homogeneity and derive explicit cellwise and layerwise bounds for its evolution along the training trajectory. These bounds yield two important implications: a necessary condition of improved generalization explains differences in layerwise generalization behavior; a sufficient condition describes delayed generalization and provides a theoretical characterization of grokking.
Yuqing Wang, Ioannis G. Kevrekidis, Mikhail Belkin
Understanding the generalization performance of over-parameterized neural networks has become a central topic in deep learning theory. While recent advances, particularly works under the Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) regime, have shed light on the behavior of shallow architectures, the statistical generalization properties of deep neural networks (DNNs), especially in regression tasks, remain far less understood. In this paper, we make significant progress toward closing this gap by providing a comprehensive generalization analysis of DNNs trained using gradient-based methods. First, we establish, for the first time, a crucial connection between the learning dynamics of a DNN with smooth activation functions trained via gradient-based methods and those of kernel methods, showing that gradient-based methods on over-parameterized DNNs can fully inherit the favorable learning dynamics of their kernel counterparts. Building on this connection and the well-established optimality of kernel methods, we derive the first known minimax-optimal rates for the excess population risk of both gradient descent (GD) and stochastic gradient descent (SGD), under the assumption that network width scales polynomially with the sample size. Our results demonstrate that, with sufficient width, DNNs trained by GD or SGD can achieve generalization performance comparable to kernel-based methods.