Overview

Scaling laws study how performance changes as models, datasets, compute budgets, or inference resources grow, helping predict results and allocate limited resources. Researchers fit power-law relationships to controlled training runs, compare compute-optimal trade-offs such as model size versus training data, and use theory from high-dimensional regression, optimization, and attention to explain observed patterns. These methods are applied across language, multimodal, scientific, and structured-data models, with growing attention to training steps, batch size, numerical precision, and test-time compute. A central open tension is whether a small set of scaling forms can generalize across tasks and training regimes, since data quality, model architecture, optimizer, and experimental design can change both the fitted laws and the best allocation of resources.

Latest papers

CardsList

74 papers15 papers in the last four weeks, up 88% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

  1. Depth Improves Training-Time Scaling for Difficult Tasks in Deep Linear Networks

    Oct 26, 2026Taishi Watanabe, Ryo Karakida, Jun-nosuke TeramaeScaling LawsNeural Network Training Dynamics

  2. Ambiguous Fits: The Rashomon Effect and Challenges in Scaling Law Estimation

    Oct 25, 2026Bruno Mlodozeniec, Spencer FreiNeural Scaling LawsScaling Laws

  3. Scaling Laws for Generative Reward Models

    Oct 22, 2026Angel Raychev, Nathan Lile, Rafael RafailovReward ModelingRL for Language Models

  4. Foundations of the Scaling Law

    Oct 20, 2026Tianyu Zhao, Zhixiang RenScaling LawsTest-Time Scaling

  5. Predictable Scaling: Efficient Model Exploration via Scaling-Law Prediction

    Oct 16, 2026Aishwarya Wesanekar, Sheng-Tao Yang, Jiawei Zang +20Model SelectionScaling Laws

  6. Native Geometry vs. Linear Recoverability: How Alignment Changes Platonic Scaling

    Oct 15, 2026Angus Hoy, Austin Lutterbach, Jasper Chong +2Neural Representation GeometryLatent Space Geometry

  7. Exact Scaling Laws for a Random-Features Bigram Model

    Oct 13, 2026Julian Enoch, Elvis DohmatobZipf's LawRandom Feature Methods

  8. Emergent Inverse-Depth Scaling From Nonlinearity In Attention

    Oct 8, 2026Zirui Peng, Yizhou Liu, Ziming Liu +1Neural Scaling LawsScaling Laws

  9. How to scale your HEP ML models: A recipe for robust architecture comparisons at scale

    Oct 5, 2026Matthias Vigl, Nikita Pond, Jackson Barr +5High-Energy PhysicsScaling Laws

  10. Writing as a Self-Organized Critical Process

    Oct 4, 2026Nikolay MikhaylovskiyScaling Laws

  11. Less is more: error-distance scaling relation for data-efficient kilometer-scale downscaling of extreme heat

    Sep 30, 2026Ahmed Marey, Henry Lu, Abhishek Gaur +6Spatial GeneralizationScaling Laws

  12. When do data mixtures improve scaling laws? Insights from high-dimensional regression

    Sep 29, 2026Diyuan Wu, Lehan Chen, Theodor Misiakiewicz +1High-Dimensional Linear RegressionData Mixture Optimization

  13. Search Dimension in Unlabeled Projection Pursuit: A Scaling Law for Subspace Restriction

    Sep 29, 2026Rares Dimitrie Grozavescu, Mark GirolamiScaling Laws

  14. Paired Multimodal Scaling Laws

    Sep 28, 2026Marcus Ma, Shrikanth NarayananMultimodal ClassificationScaling Laws

  15. ScAn-Bench: Evaluating Scaling Analysis Methodology

    Sep 28, 2026Artin Sermaxhaj, Nastaran Alipour, Donat Sinani +5VLM EvaluationLLM Evaluation

  16. Emergent One-Third Scaling Law as Attention Tries to Concentrate

    Sep 26, 2026Yizhou Liu, Sara Kangaslahti, Jeff GoreLanguage Model Scaling LawsScaling Laws

  17. The Capability Manifold and ML Scaling Laws

    Sep 23, 2026Syed Ali Raza Zaidi, Maryam HafeezScaling LawsNeural Scaling Laws

  18. Scaling Laws for Physics-Aware ACOPF Surrogate Learning

    Sep 14, 2026Yijiang Li, Emon Dey, Stefano Fenu +3Neural Surrogate ModelingOptimal Power Flow

  19. One Spectrum, Two Resources: Data-Memory Scaling in Autoregressive Prediction

    Sep 11, 2026Chiwun Yang, Xiaoyu LiScaling LawsAutoregressive Modeling

  20. Hyperparameter Scaling Laws Across MoE Sparsity

    Sep 8, 2026Changxin Tian, Kunlong Chen, Jia Liu +3Language Model Scaling LawsSparse Mixture-of-Experts

  21. SGD in Multiclass Logistic Regression: Sequential Learning and Scaling Laws

    Sep 7, 2026Konstantinos Christopher Tsiolis, Denny Wu, Christos Thrampoulidis +1Logistic RegressionMulticlass Classification

  22. On the Recall Scaling Laws in Mamba: A Theoretical and Mechanistic Study via Hashing

    Sep 7, 2026Yuval Koren, Assaf Ben-Kish, Raja Giryes +2Mechanistic InterpretabilityScaling Laws

  23. Scaling Laws, Tabular Data and Actuarial Ratemaking Models

    Sep 2, 2026Ronald RichmanTabular MLScaling Laws

  24. Deriving Scaling Laws for OpenEuroLLM Models: Learning Rate, Batch Size and Loss

    Aug 28, 2026Niccolò Ajroldi, Diana Alexandra Onutu, Haider Al-Tahan +4Language Model PretrainingLearning Rate Scheduling

  25. Optimal Training-Time Scaling in Gradual Adaptation

    Aug 5, 2026Zonghuan Xu, Krishna HarishDomain AdaptationScaling Laws

  26. Bridging Compute- and Data-Optimal Pretraining

    Jul 28, 2026Tian Qin, Kimia Hamidieh, David Alvarez-MelisLanguage Model PretrainingLanguage Model Scaling Laws

  27. Scaling Native Multimodal Pre-Training From Scratch

    Jul 24, 2026Haoyuan Wu, Aoqi Wu, Hai Wang +3Cross-Modal LearningMultimodal Pretraining