Confidence is the key: how conformal prediction enhances the generative design of permeable peptides
Authors: Laura van Weesep, Sunay Chankeshwara, Leonardo De Maria, Florian David, Ola Engkvist, Gökçe Geylan
Organizations: Molecular AI, Discovery Sciences, Biopharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Mölndal, Sweden. · Department of Information Technology, Uppsala University, Sweden · Institute for Complex Molecular Systems (ICMS), Eindhoven University of Technology, The Netherlands. · Hit Discovery, Discovery Sciences, Biopharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca, Mölndal, Sweden. · Department of Life Sciences, Chalmers University of Technology, SE-41296 Gothenburg, Sweden. · Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Chalmers University of Technology & University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
Generative models coupled with reinforcement learning (RL), such as REINVENT and PepINVENT, have emerged as a powerful framework for de novo molecular design. During the ideation process these generative frameworks utilize various predictive models as part of the optimization objectives. However, the utility of the predictive models can be limited by their domain of applicability. When RL is used to explore the chemical space with predictive models, it can suggest molecules that lie outside the predictor's domain of applicability. As a result, the predictions may become less reliable, potentially steering designs into high reward but also high uncertainty chemical spaces. This is particularly pronounced for cyclic peptides which show therapeutic promise due to their modifiability and large interaction surfaces but are understudied compared to small molecules. While passive membrane permeation in cyclic peptides has attracted interest, identifying optimal permeable designs remains challenging yet crucial for targeting intracellular sites. We present an RL-guided generative framework that designs permeable cyclic peptides using an uncertainty-aware permeability predictor as the scoring component. To address predictive uncertainty, especially impacted by novel chemistry, we integrate conformal prediction (CP) as our uncertainty quantification method. CP assesses designs based on the calibrated model under a user-defined confidence level. We demonstrate that rewarding generated peptides with CP-informed predictions improves both reliability and efficiency of peptide optimization process. This also discourages exploration outside the predictor's applicability domain. This approach bridges the gap between predictive uncertainty and RL-guided exploration, showing how generative modelling and conformal prediction can be combined for the first time.
Cyclic peptides represent a promising class of therapeutic compounds in modern drug discovery, often offering improved stability and binding affinity. However, the de novo design of cyclic peptides remains challenging because methods must identify pocket-adaptive cyclization patterns and linkage sites while simultaneously controlling drug-relevant properties. This challenge is particularly pronounced for recent generative models trained predominantly on linear peptide data, which may fail to capture cyclization-specific constraints. To address the limitation, we introduce APCyc, a target-aware de novo cyclic peptide generation framework that explicitly models cyclization and jointly optimizes multiple essential physicochemical properties. By using an expanded residue vocabulary and explicitly encoding cyclization-site and linkage-type information, APCyc learns cyclization-aware representations and leverages Bayesian posterior guidance to steer sampling toward cyclic peptides satisfying multiple property objectives. Experimental results demonstrate that our model learns target-dependent cyclization preferences, and enables effective and controllable multi-property optimization for cyclic peptide design. The source code of this paper is available at https://github.com/HKUSTGZ-ML4Health-Lab/APCyc.
Macrocyclic peptides are promising therapeutic candidates for intracellular targets, but their design requires simultaneous control over non-natural monomer chemistry, ring topology, membrane permeability, and target binding. Existing SMILES- or HELM-string generative models either operate in long atom-level sequence spaces or treat monomers as symbolic tokens with limited chemical grounding. We introduce PepALD, an Autoregressive Latent Diffusion (ALD) foundation model for \textit{de novo} macrocyclic peptide generation. The model represents HELM monomers with structured chemical embeddings, generates each residue through context-conditioned diffusion in chemically informed latent space, predicts R-group-aware ring closures during autoregressive generation, and aligns the denoiser to affinity rewards using winner-protected diffusion-adapted preference optimization. In silico experiments demonstrate PepALD's generation quality and reward-optimization performance against representative peptide generation baselines.
Therapeutic peptides occupy a valuable design space between small molecules and biologics, but their development requires satisfying several competing constraints at once: solubility, hemolytic activity, and nonspecific surface fouling are governed by overlapping sequence features, so improving one property often degrades another. Computational design addresses this by pairing generative models with sequence-based property predictors, iteratively proposing and refining candidates. However, these components are typically wired together as monolithic scripts that are difficult to inspect, extend, or reuse, and they often refine sequences by natural-language reasoning rather than by tracking the evolving multi-property state of each candidate. We present Pepti-Agent, a closed-loop, peptide-specific framework that exposes generation, property prediction, and single-residue mutation as independently inspectable Model Context Protocol (MCP) tools. A large language model controller invokes these tools and consults live predictor output between calls, so refinement is guided by each sequence's current property profile rather than by language reasoning alone. Task-specific PeptideGPT models generate candidates, ProtBERT-based classifiers score solubility, hemolysis, and non-fouling, and two interchangeable mutation operators propose sequence edits. By recording a per-step trace of controller decisions, predictor outputs, and accepted mutations, Pepti-Agent offers a reproducible substrate for benchmarking multi-objective design strategies and for prioritizing candidates for experimental validation.
Houxu Chen, Achuth Chandrasekhar, Amir Barati Farimani