The Cost of Consensus: Malignant Epistemic Herding and Adaptive Gating in Distributed Multi-Agent Search
Authors: David Farr, Iain Cruickshank, Kate Starbird, Jevin West
Abstract
Distributed agents in real-world settings frequently must coordinate under uncertainty with only partial observations. Coordination is necessary to share beliefs to aid in task completion, but communication costs bandwidth, introduces latency, and if done poorly, can degrade collective reasoning. This tension is especially acute in bandwidth-constrained deployments such as distributed sensing networks, autonomous reconnaissance, and collaborative cyber defense, where excessive transmission carries direct operational costs. Existing work has focused on multi-agent exploration and communication strategies, but not on how communication frequency and content jointly shape the collective belief state. Central to this challenge is the degree to which agents maintain compatible internal beliefs about the environment, a property we term \textit{epistemic alignment}. When agents share beliefs effectively, they converge on correct hypotheses; when communication is poorly designed, agents may converge confidently on wrong ones. We formalize this distinction and show it is not detectable from coordination metrics alone such as Jensen-Shannon Divergence or rate to consensus.
Large language model-driven multi-agent systems enhance the reliability of complex reasoning tasks through multi-round deliberation, role specialization, and cross-validation. However, existing multi-agent debate and collaboration frameworks typically adopt fully connected communication, causing the number of messages, token costs, and end-to-end latency to grow approximately quadratically with the number of agents; although fixed sparse topologies reduce overhead, they cannot adapt communication relationships to different task instances or intermediate reasoning states, making them prone either to preserving low-value interactions or to losing critical error-correction information. To address this problem, this paper proposes DySCo (Dynamic Sparse Consensus), a dynamic trust-aware sparse consensus mechanism. In each round of reasoning, DySCo estimates the value of communication edges based on agent reliability, answer divergence, and task relevance, and selects a small number of high-value edges for message exchange under budget constraints; it then aggregates the answers of different agents through dynamic trust weights and terminates the discussion early once consensus stabilizes. This mechanism replaces universal broadcasting with on-demand communication, thereby reducing communication overhead while preserving essential cross-validation information. We further present analyses of communication complexity and consensus stability, and evaluate the performance of DySCo on mathematical reasoning, logical reasoning, and factual question-answering tasks.
Existing approaches to multi-agent belief combination have established mature foundations for combining uncertain beliefs under common assumptions: consensus methods use iterative averaging, logic-based methods resolve conflicting knowledge bases, and epistemic logic analyzes agents' information states. Typically, these approaches assume that the structure determining what each agent can represent remains fixed. However, in many scenarios, agents gain or lose observational capacity during execution, and what was once admissible may become structurally impossible. This paper presents a formal framework for handling such runtime changes in epistemic partitions over continuous belief profiles. A hybrid approach exploits the advantages of answer set programming in elaboration tolerance, declarative integrity constraints, and explanations, with the numerical flexibility of Python. The framework applies to domains where agents operate at heterogeneous and possibly changing levels of resolution, and provides formal guarantees of admissibility preservation under refinement, unique mass-preserving repair under coarsening, and explanation completeness. Evaluation across 100 randomly generated topology changes confirms complete violation detection and explanation coverage.
In many multi-agent applications, tasks yield rewards only when executed by a coalition meeting an unknown size threshold; otherwise, feedback is fully censored. This censorship creates an identifiability problem: agents cannot distinguish stochastic failure from insufficient coordination. We formalize this setting as the Threshold-Activated Cooperative Multi-Armed Bandit (TAC-MAB) and analyze it under both centralized and decentralized coordination. We show that a centralized algorithm (C-TAC) achieves cumulative regret O(log T), decomposed into a structural-search term that captures the cost of resolving feasibility under censored feedback and a statistical-monitoring term for value estimation. We then introduce D-TAC, a decentralized event-triggered protocol in which agents synchronize only when their structural beliefs change. Empirically, D-TAC achieves a 23x reduction in communication relative to the centralized baseline while preserving feasibility alignment under conservative belief fusion. These results characterize the coordination cost of learning under censored feedback and show that near-centralized communication efficiency is achievable without continuous synchronization.