Temporal-Decay Shapley: A Time-Aware Data Valuation Framework for Time-Series Data

Data valuation quantifies the intrinsic quality of individual samples to enable principled data curation, quality control, and robust learning. For time series in critical domains such as healthcare, finance, and industrial monitoring, effective valuation methods are essential yet fundamentally lacking. Existing approaches are either model-dependent, limiting their generalizability, or designed for i.i.d. data and thus fail to capture temporal dependencies, multi-scale patterns, and non-stationary dynamics inherent to sequential data. We introduce TimeLAVA, a learning-agnostic framework that values temporal segments by their marginal contribution to minimizing distributional discrepancy between evaluated and reference data. At its core is a novel Selective Wavelet-based Wasserstein discrepancy combining multi-scale wavelet transforms for temporal localization with unbalanced optimal transport for robustness to distributional shifts. Segment values are efficiently computed via sensitivity analysis without requiring model training and aggregated into point-wise scores. We provide theoretical guarantees linking valuation to model-agnostic generalization and prove bounded sensitivity to outlier contamination. Extensive experiments across anomaly detection, data pruning, and label noise detection demonstrate that TimeLAVA produces significantly more informative value scores than existing methods on diverse real-world datasets.

Shapley-based data valuation provides a principled way to quantify the contribution of training data, but its high computational cost makes it impractical in dynamic settings where tasks and training players evolve. Existing methods treat Shapley computation as a one-shot process and collapse contributions into aggregated scores, preventing reuse and requiring recomputation under any change. We introduce a new perspective that represents Shapley values as a player-by-task matrix and formulates dynamic valuation as a structured matrix maintenance problem. We exploit the fact that each task depends on a small subset of training players and that similar tasks yield similar valuations, leading to utility locality and coalition locality. Based on these insights, we propose D-Shap, a dynamic valuation framework that enables efficient updates by modifying only a small portion of the matrix: new task valuations are inferred via structure-aware interpolation, while updates induced by new players are confined to affected local matrix blocks. To eliminate the need for pre-specified evaluation tasks, we introduce self-valuation, which constructs the initial matrix directly from training data, supported by scalable subset reuse and coverage-aware anchor selection. Experiments across diverse models show that D-Shap performs task updates in milliseconds and reduces the cost of player updates by up to three orders of magnitude, while achieving valuation quality competitive with full recomputation.

Shapley values are widely used to attribute value to training data based on their marginal contribution to performance on a validation set. Existing practice often assumes these values are stable once the training data and model are fixed. In this work, we uncover a systematic vulnerability: even modest changes to the validation set, such as introducing noises, cause directional shifts in Shapley distributions. As noises are added, Shapley values of training samples compress toward zero. We trace this to a noise-induced neighborhood reshuffling effect: perturbations alter the local rank order between validation and training samples, flattening the valuation landscape. Using the KNN-Shapley framework, we show through synthetic and real data that these shifts are consistent and reproducible. Our findings challenge the assumption of Shapley stability and reveal a new axis of fragility in data valuation. We propose normalization and boundary-aware validation strategies to mitigate these distortions and enable more robust, interpretable valuation in machine learning marketplaces.