MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound

Bagging-based ensembles, most notably Adaptive Random Forests, are among the strongest performers for learning from data streams. A common denominator across these methods is their reliance on Hoeffding Trees as base learners, which grow decision trees incrementally by testing whether a candidate split is significantly better than its alternatives using concentration inequalities. Despite their empirical success, existing variants lack valid statistical guarantees. Current analyses rely on fixed-sample concentration bounds, while split decisions are made using data-dependent stopping rules, which invalidates their guarantees and can drive the probabilty of incorrect splits to one. We introduce a principled alternative based on anytime-valid inference. Our method provides: (i) anytime-valid control of false splits under arbitrary data streams, including non-stationary settings; (ii) finite commitment time under a predictive advantage; and (iii) under stationary i.i.d. data, risk is monotone decreasing and strictly improves at every split. Empirically, we evaluate both standalone trees and their use within Adaptive Random Forests on non-stationary streams. Our method improves performance while producing substantially smaller trees.

Continual learning must balance the learning of new knowledge with the retention of previously learned knowledge to incrementally learn tasks from a data stream without catastrophic forgetting. While leveraging pretrained models has significantly advanced continual learning, existing methods exhibit a scalability bottleneck when trained sequentially on many tasks, suffering from performance degradation due to inter-task interference and loss of plasticity. Inspired by evidence that sparse fine-tuning achieves performance comparable to full fine-tuning, this paper presents a novel sparsity-driven continual learning framework. Our continual learning method, termed CLARE, operates in two stages: it first identifies a sparse, task-critical parameter mask via a sparsity-inducing objective, then performs mask-constrained fine-tuning by only optimizing parameters selected by the mask. This two-stage sparse adapter mechanism enables all tasks to be accumulated within a shared adapter space while reducing destructive interference across tasks. Extensive experiments demonstrate the scalability of CLARE. On the long task-sequence benchmark Omnibenchmark-1k, CLARE outperforms strong baselines in final accuracy by a large margin, e.g, improving EASE by 4.64% and 13.34% after learning 100 tasks, respectively.

Continual learning is an online paradigm where a learner continually accumulates knowledge from different tasks encountered over sequential time steps. Importantly, the learner is required to extend and update its knowledge without forgetting about the learning experience acquired from the past, and while avoiding the need to retrain from scratch. Given its sequential nature and its resemblance to the way humans think, continual learning offers an opportunity to address several challenges which currently stand in the way of widening the range of applicability of deep models to further real-world problems. The continual need to update the learner with data arriving sequentially strikes inherent congruence between continual learning and Bayesian inference which provides a principal platform to keep updating the prior beliefs of a model given new data, without completely forgetting the knowledge acquired from the old data. This survey inspects different settings of Bayesian continual learning, namely task-incremental learning and class-incremental learning. We begin by discussing definitions of continual learning along with its Bayesian setting, as well as the links with related fields, such as domain adaptation, transfer learning and meta-learning. Afterwards, we introduce a taxonomy offering a comprehensive categorization of algorithms belonging to the Bayesian continual learning paradigm. Meanwhile, we analyze the state-of-the-art while zooming in on some of the most prominent Bayesian continual learning algorithms to date. Furthermore, we shed some light on links between continual learning and developmental psychology, and correspondingly introduce analogies between both fields. We follow that with a discussion of current challenges, and finally conclude with potential areas for future research on Bayesian continual learning.