Bayesian Inference Approaches

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Period ending 2026-09-14

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Period ending 2026-09-07

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  1. Prevalence Determines Precision:Silent Contamination in Detector-Defined Datasets

    Sep 12, 2026Jia Huang, Yankai Wan, Yangjun OuPrevalenceFalse Positive Rate

  2. When Agents Disagree: Bayesian Backward Reasoning as a Label-Free Anchor for Multi-Agent Collective Decision-Making

    Sep 12, 2026Ken Chen, Wei Wang, Sachith Seneviratne +2Large Language Model AgentsBayesian Inference Approaches

  3. A Unifying Perspective on Probabilities as Model Predictions

    Sep 9, 2026Benedikt HöltgenProbabilityBayesian Inference Approaches

  4. Bayesian Matrix-Valued Graphs for Context-Dependent Multivariate Relationships

    Sep 7, 2026Papri DeyCompact Matrix FactorizationBayesian Inference Approaches

  5. Thermodynamic Cyclic Processes with Markov Samplers in Bayesian Inference

    Sep 7, 2026Heinrich von Campe, Bjoern Malte SchaeferMonte Carlo SamplingBayesian Inference Approaches

  6. Learning Informative Prior with Infinite-Dimensional Continuous Normalizing Flow for Bayesian Inverse Problem

    Sep 3, 2026Yang Zhao, Junxiong Jia, Tao ZhouIll-Posed Inverse ProblemNormalizing Flows

  7. Overfitting Mitigation via Singular Value Decomposition in Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding

    Sep 1, 2026Riza Setiawan Soetedjo, Yusuke Sakai, Hidetaka Kamigaito +2Singular Value DecompositionConstrained Decoding Strategies

  8. Poisson-Gamma Dynamical Systems with Time-varying Transition Dynamics

    Sep 1, 2026Jiahao Wang, Yijun Wang, Nan Fang +1Time-Varying SystemsBayesian Inference Approaches

  9. Semi-Supervised Classification with Informative Missing Labels in Weibull Mixture Models

    Sep 1, 2026Jinran Wu, You-Gan Wang, Geoffrey J. McLachlanSemi-Supervised LearningMixture Models

  10. Consistency Without Alignment: Item-Sensitive Language Models Indistinguishable From Random

    Sep 1, 2026Cris HuynhLarge Language Model AlignmentItem Response Theory

  11. One AI Signal, Many Human Judgments: A Bayesian Cascade Analysis of AI-based Credibility Indicators in Online Information Spread

    Aug 31, 2026Zhuoran Lu, Weilong Wang, Yangyang Yu +4MisinformationArtificial Intelligence Systems

  12. Enhancing Bayesian Optimization and Active Learning Through Kernel Diversity

    Aug 25, 2026Heng Zhang, Haotian Xiang, Konstantinos D. Polyzos +2Bayesian OptimizationHyperparameter

  13. Robust Dempster-Shafer Evidence Fusion with Chaos-Conflict Measurement and Historical-Experience Weighting

    Aug 13, 2026Huiyu Li, Weibo Liu, Xinru Xu +3Uncertainty-Aware FusionConflict

  14. Foundations of MT-PDCL: Measure-Theoretic Probabilistic Definite Clause Logic

    Aug 13, 2026Costin Bădică, Amelia BădicăInductive Logic ProgrammingProbabilistic Inference

  15. Latent variable models for simultaneous EOV identification and removal in population-based SHM

    Aug 12, 2026M. D. Champneys, M. R. Jones, A. J. Hughes +3Structural Health MonitoringBayesian Inference Approaches

  16. Retry, Switch, or Abstain? Learning Strategy-Aware Tool-Use Policies via Controlled Error Injection

    Aug 12, 2026Chaoran Chen, Vy Nguyen, Ziji Zhang +7RetryingTool-Schema Quality Predicts Tool Use

  17. Proportional Analogies on Probability Distributions via Bayesian Updating

    Aug 12, 2026Pierre-Alexandre MurenaAnalogyBayesian Inference Approaches

  18. PAC-Bayes Beyond Parameter Space: Behavioral Equivalence, Z-Information, and Exact Complexity Decomposition

    Aug 11, 2026Vasant G. Honavar, Satish Kumar Keshri, Neil Ashtekar +1Bayesian Inference ApproachesPredictive Coding

  19. Hierarchical Empirical-Bayes Naive Bayes: Minimax Smoothing and Calibration with AODE Extension

    Aug 11, 2026Nguyen Thai Anh, Truong Viet Vu, Tran Thien Thanh +2Bayesian LearningBayesian Inference Approaches

  20. The Impact of Operational-Data Fidelity when Assessing Safety-Critical Autonomous-Vehicle Software

    Aug 9, 2026Kizito Salako, Rabiu Tsoho MuhammadReliabilityAutonomous Driving

  21. Opportunity Is Not Realizability: Selection-Valid Diagnostics for Multi-LLM Routing

    Aug 8, 2026Ibne Farabi Shihab, Abu Sa-Adat Mohamed Moon-Im Al Ahsan, Md Najmus SwaqeebLarge Language Model RoutingModel Selection

  22. Bayesian adaptively-weighted ensembles for few-shot abdominal segmentation

    Aug 6, 2026Abbas Al-Sabbagh, Shalom F. Mushtaq, Tomás M. da Silva +7Few-Shot SegmentationMedical Image Segmentation

  23. Beyond Relevance: Bayesian Evidence Acquisition for Agentic Whole-Slide Image Reasoning

    Aug 6, 2026Bryan Wong, Xun Xu, Huazhu Fu +2Whole-Slide Image AnalysisDiagnostic Benchmark

  24. Bayesian Expected Uncertainty Reduction (B-EUR) Model: A Computational Account of What Makes Design Options Worth Trying

    Aug 6, 2026Shimon Honda, Takuma Miyaguchi, Koji Koizumi +3Bayesian Experimental DesignBayesian Inference Approaches

  25. Sample Complexity of Multicalibration for Multilevel Properties

    Aug 4, 2026Jiuyao Lu, Krishnakumar Balasubramanian, Aleksandr Podkopaev +1Sample ComplexityOptimal Sample Complexity

  26. Divide-and-Conquer: Towards Generalizable Amortized Bayesian Inference for the Drift Diffusion Model

    Aug 4, 2026Yufei Wu, Shanqing Gao, Andreas Voss +1Bayesian Inference Approaches

  27. Leveraging System-Level Observations to Inform Bayesian Learning of Model Parameters for Quantitative Verification

    Aug 4, 2026Simos Gerasimou, Xingyu ZhaoBayesian Inference ApproachesBayesian Learning

  28. Unifying quantum measurement constructions via a relative-entropy minimum change principle

    Aug 4, 2026Nana Liu, Mark M. WildeMeasuresFlat Minima

  29. Private Generative Bootstrap via Blocking

    Aug 3, 2026Jinwon Sohn, Veronika RočkováDifferential PrivacyMultiplier Bootstrap

  30. The Label Defines the Timescale: Trait-State Limits of Temporal-Aggregate Learning

    Aug 3, 2026Xizhe ZhangTemporal LearnabilityFundamental Limits

  31. Measuring in-context algorithmic reasoning in language models against an exact Bayes-optimal standard

    Aug 3, 2026Hector Zenil, Luan OzelimAlgorithmic ReasoningCounter Turing Test

  32. BayesSeg: A Bayesian Optimization Framework for State Segmentation of Electricity Consumption Time Series

    Aug 1, 2026Zhenya Zhang, Wendi Zhu, Ping Wang +2Energy ForecastingTime Series

  33. The Bayesian Reflex: A Predictive Coding Engine for Artificial Intelligence

    Aug 1, 2026Sourabh BhattacharyaPredictive CodingProbabilistic Inference

  34. Agentic Bayesian Optimization through Surrogate-Augmented Autoresearch

    Jul 31, 2026Paul Brunzema, Louis Tiao, Nhat Le +3Bayesian OptimizationBayesian Inference Approaches

  35. A Generalized-Bayes Perspective on Counterfactual Explanations: Posterior-Based Decision-Making and Evaluation

    Jul 31, 2026Keita KinjoCounterfactual ExplanationBayesian Inference Approaches

  36. Identifying Informative Environments for Cognition Parameter Inference via Bayesian Experimental Design

    Jul 30, 2026Manisha Dubey, Rimvydas Rubavicius, N. Siddharth +1Bayesian Experimental DesignBayesian Inference Approaches

  37. Doubly Robust Functional Representation Learning for Longitudinal Causal Inference with Irregular Histories

    Jul 30, 2026Mengfei Ran, Yifeng Shen, Ruijie GuanCausal InferencesEstimators

  38. On-Policy and Off-Policy Learning for Large Action Spaces

    Jul 30, 2026Imad AoualiOff-Policy Reinforcement LearningOn-Policy

  39. Three-Photon Bayesian Imaging of Ortho-Positronium

    Jul 30, 2026L. Raczynski, W. Krzemien, A. Coussat +5Positron Emission TomographySingle-Photon Avalanche Diode

  40. Robust Wavelength Selection for Partial Least Squares Sugar Content Estimation Using Combinatorial Bayesian Optimization

    Jul 30, 2026Mitsunobu Kanebako, Ami S. Koshikawa, Masaru Hitomi +4Least SquaresSpectra

  41. BayesAME: Bayesian Active Model Evaluation

    Jul 29, 2026Paula Cordero Encinar, Taylan Cemgil, Arnaud Doucet +2Geometry-Aware Uncertainty CoresetsModel Selection

  42. ELECTRIC: Evidential Learning-Enhanced CT Reconstruction via Iterative Correction

    Jul 27, 2026Ge WangImage ReconstructionEvidential Learning

  43. PAC-DP: PAC-Bayesian Diffusion Policy Learning

    Jul 27, 2026Mohammad Hasan Yeganegi, Dian Yu, Andrea Del Prete +2Robot PoliciesBayesian Inference Approaches

  44. Cost-Aware Recovery-Pathway Identification and Bayesian Optimization for Autonomous Materials Discovery

    Jul 26, 2026Debajyoti Ray, Niranjan SrinivasBayesian OptimizationCost-Aware

  45. Inverse Bayesian Inference for Extracting Lesion Dynamics from Longitudinal Spectral CT

    Jul 25, 2026Lukas Förner, Melina Wördehoff, Julian Steffens +6Lesion SegmentationComputed Tomography

  46. Bayesian Complete-Pooling in Cross-Subject Classification for Motor Imagery Electroencephalogram

    Jul 25, 2026Ethan DavisBrain-Computer InterfaceElectroencephalogram

  47. Verbalized Particle Posterior: Bayesian Inference over Natural Language Hypotheses

    Jul 25, 2026Yan Zhang, Shikan Lian, Shibo LiBayesian LearningBayesian Inference Approaches

  48. Class-Balanced Softmax: A Bayes Theory-Based Method for Long-Tailed Recognition

    Jul 24, 2026Yi-Hang Zhu, Rajeev Raman, Shiqi Su +4Extreme Class ImbalanceBalanced Learning

  49. Simulation-Based Empirical Bayes

    Jul 23, 2026Xinwei Shen, Diana Cai, Cheng Zhang +1Bayesian Inference Approaches

  50. Reliability-Aware Bayesian Optimization of 1310 nm PCSELs with FDTD Verification

    Jul 23, 2026Jinglin Yu, Feiyang Wu, Longying Wen +3PhotonicsBayesian Optimization

  51. An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learning

    Jul 23, 2026Maximilian Dax, Theo Heimel, Gilles LouppeBayesian Inference ApproachesStatistics

  52. Transit Destination Inference from Tap-In-Only Bus Smart-Card Data: A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach

    Jul 23, 2026Gefei Zhao, Jiahe Ling, Yuelong SuTransit Network DesignAccurate Traffic Forecasting

  53. Adaptive Bayesian Online Learning via Expert Aggregation

    Jul 22, 2026Jungbin Jun, Ilsang OhnLearning-Augmented AlgorithmsBayesian Inference Approaches

  54. PAC--Bayes Bounds on Quotient Parameter Spaces: Geometry-induced Implicit-Bias Priors

    Jul 20, 2026Nicola Aladrah, Fabio AnselmiBayesian Inference ApproachesPriors

  55. The Calibration Channel Determines the Bayes-Error Proxy: An Exact Law for Temperature-Induced Distortion

    Jul 20, 2026Shreyas Pradeepkumar KhandaleTemperatureCalibrated Uncertainty

  56. A Hardware-oriented Approach for Efficient Bayesian Inference Computation and Deployment

    Jul 20, 2026Nikola Pižurica, Matteo Risso, Nikola Milović +4Bayesian Inference ApproachesVariational Inference

  57. Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimation

    Jul 20, 2026Siddharth Mishra-SharmaBayesian Inference ApproachesModel Selection

  58. Bayesian Repetition Penalty: A Principled Adjacent-Conditional Framework for Reversing Attention Collapse in Autoregressive Language Models

    Jul 17, 2026Wenjie Fan, Bin Ma, Dong LiAutoregressive Language ModelsRepetition

  59. BayesContact: Uncertain Pose Estimation via Visuo-Tactile Proposals and Simulation-based Inference

    Jul 17, 2026Aditya Kamireddypalli, Matias Mattamala, Joao Moura +3Robust Pose EstimationTactile Sensing

  60. BayesPO: Bayesian Prompt Optimization via Parallel-Tempered Gradient-Guided Discrete MCMC

    Jul 17, 2026Junjie Zhou, Zhijian OuPrior Prompt Optimization TechniquesInstruction-Tuned Large Language Models