stat.MLMay 14, 2026

Harnessing Unimodality in Semiparametric Contextual Pricing via Oracle Price Map Learning

Authors: Yingying FanYuxuan HanJinchi LvXiaocong XuZhengyuan Zhou

Organizations: Data Sciences and Operations Department, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California 90089, USA · Stern School of Business, New York University, New York, NY 10003, USA

Abstract

We study contextual dynamic pricing in a semiparametric scalar-index valuation model where the latent value is vt=μ(ct)+ξtv_t=μ_\ast(\mathsf c_t)+ξ_t, with an unknown utility map μμ_\ast and an unknown additive noise distribution. The key decision object is the one-dimensional oracle price map up(u)u\mapsto p^\ast(u) induced by the scalar index u=μ(c)u=μ_\ast(\mathsf c) and the noise tail. Under the ββ-Hölder smoothness of the tail function for β2β\geq 2 and a revenue-geometry condition that gives a unique, stable, interior maximizer, this oracle map is itself (β1)(β-1)-smooth. We exploit such structure through ORBIT\mathsf{ORBIT}, a modular coarse-to-fine policy that takes a scalar pilot index as input, localizes a benchmark price in each active bin, and learns a local polynomial approximation of the oracle map inside a trust region via bandit convex optimization. For the baseline linear utility model μ(c)=cθμ_\ast(\mathsf c)=\mathsf c^\topθ_\ast, an adaptive elliptical exploration scheme constructs the required scalar pilot online without distributional assumptions on the contexts. The resulting policy achieves regret O~(T2β14β3+dT)\widetilde{O}\big(T^{\frac{2β-1}{4β-3}}+\sqrt{dT}\big). For fixed dd, we establish a matching lower bound in the horizon dependence, unveiling that the nonparametric oracle-map learning term is minimax sharp. The same scalar-pilot interface also yields extensions to sparse high-dimensional linear utility and nonparametric Hölder utility.

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