Conditional Neural Field based Reduced Order Model for Dynamic Ditching Load Prediction

Machine-learning surrogate models offer a promising alternative to high-fidelity Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations for aerodynamic analysis and design. However, constructing accurate surrogates for realistic aircraft configurations remain challenging due to complex geometries, multiple flow regimes, and limited training data. This work presents the methodology that achieved first place in the ONERA CRM Wall Distribution Regression Challenge, which focuses on predicting pressure and skin-friction coefficient distributions over the NASA Common Research Model wing-body-pylon-nacelle configuration under different operating conditions. The proposed approach formulates the problem as a conditional neural field mapping spatial coordinates, surface normals, and operating conditions to aerodynamic wall quantities. Fourier feature encoding, a relative squared error objective aligned with the challenge metric, ensemble learning, and $k$-fold cross-validation are progressively introduced to improve prediction accuracy and exploit the limited training data. Beyond presenting the final methodology, the paper documents the successive model design choices that led to the winning solution through a comprehensive ablation study and discusses several alternative approaches that were investigated but ultimately discarded. On the hidden competition test set, the proposed methodology achieves an overall score of 8.81, outperforming the strongest organizer-provided baseline, which achieved a score of 8.64, while requiring approximately three orders of magnitude fewer trainable parameters. These results illustrate that carefully designed coordinate-based neural fields constitute an efficient and robust framework for aerodynamic surrogate modeling on complex geometries under limited-data conditions.

We present CoFINN (Conservation Flux Informed Neural Networks), a physics-informed deep learning framework for predicting compressible flow fields governed by conservation laws. Unlike conventional data-driven convolutional neural networks (CNNs), which optimize only pixel-wise similarity metrics, CoFINN embeds finite-volume conservation physics directly into the training process. Unlike classical physics-informed methods which enforce differential-equation residuals at collocation points through automatic differentiation, CoFINN adopts a finite-volume perspective consistent with modern CFD methodology. CoFINN interprets CNN output fields as structured computational grids, where each pixel represents a finite-volume cell, and enforces conservation consistency through sophisticated numerical flux calculations. The framework is evaluated on transonic flow prediction around airfoils at (M=0.7, Re=6 * 10^6), including challenging conditions involving shock waves and high angles of attack. Results show that CoFINN improves aerodynamic force prediction accuracy, reducing drag prediction error by up to 34% at extreme angles of attack and by approximately 15% on average across the test set. Improvements are particularly significant in limited-data regimes, demonstrating that the conservation-based loss acts as an effective physical regularizer. The proposed approach maintains the computational efficiency advantages of CNN surrogates while significantly improving physical consistency and conservation behavior. The framework is architecture-agnostic and extensible to broader classes of conservation-law-governed physical systems.

AI-driven flood digital twins demand fast hydrodynamic surrogates for ensemble forecasting and observation assimilation. Yet even GPU-accelerated two-dimensional shallow water equation (SWE) solvers still require $\sim 55$ minutes per $96$-hour run on a $\sim 4.2$-million-active-cell metropolitan basin (the DesPlaines River basin at $30\,\mathrm{m}$ resolution), making such workloads prohibitive at native resolution. We present the Conditional Latent Dynamics Network (CLDNet): a low-dimensional latent neural ODE driven by rainfall, paired with a coordinate-based decoder conditioned on static terrain (elevation, slope, Manning roughness) that reconstructs depth and discharge at arbitrary query points. Pointwise decoding decouples memory from grid size and handles irregular watersheds natively, enabling metropolitan-scale training on a single compute node and direct queries at exact gauge coordinates without raster snapping. We evaluate CLDNet on a synthetic $250{,}000$-cell Texas benchmark and on a new DesPlaines case study of $114$ real-rainfall StageIV storms whose reference simulator we validate against United States Geological Survey (USGS) gauges at the April2013 flood-of-record (Nash--Sutcliffe efficiency $0.57$--$0.94$ on mean-recentered water-surface elevation). CLDNet roughly halves the relative root-mean-squared error of an unconditional baseline, outperforms regular-grid VAE--ConvLSTM and FNO baselines on the Texas benchmark (both presuppose a Cartesian grid and do not apply to the irregular Des~Plaines watershed), reaches a critical success index of $\approx 86\%$ at the $0.5\,\mathrm{m}$ inundation threshold, and produces a full $96$-hour basin-wide forecast in $\sim 29$ seconds -- a $\sim 115\times$ speedup.