Associations between echocardiographic traits and AI-ECG predictions of heart failure

Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) assessment depends on echocardiography, limiting access in primary care and resource-constrained settings. We developed a multimodal machine-learning framework that combines engineered 12-lead ECG timeseries features with structured EHR variables to classify LVEF into four clinically used strata: normal (>50%), mildly reduced (40-50%), moderately reduced (30-40%), and severely reduced (<30%). To support model explainability, we identified the most influential ECG and EHR features via SHAP attributions. Using retrospective data from Hartford HealthCare, we trained XGBoost models on 36,784 ECG-echocardiogram pairs from 30,952 outpatients and evaluated temporal generalizability on 19,966 ECGs from a subsequent period. The multimodal model achieved one-vs-rest AUROCs of 0.95 (severe), 0.92 (moderate), 0.82 (mild), and 0.91 (normal), outperforming ECG-only and EHR-only baselines, and maintained performance under temporal validation. This work supports ECG-based, multimodal LVEF stratification as a practical screening and triage aid to prioritize confirmatory imaging where resources are limited.

Electrocardiography (ECG) is central to cardiovascular care, but conventional AI models are often restricted to common arrhythmias and may generalize poorly across populations or clinically subtle diseases. We developed ECG Contrastive Language-Image Pre-training (ECGCLIP), a signal-language contrastive learning framework that aligns ECG waveforms with expert diagnostic reports. ECGCLIP was pre-trained on 2,837,962 ECG studies from 1,324,856 patients and evaluated on a held-out internal test set plus nine independent external cohorts comprising about 1.5 million ECGs. Evaluation covered 89 downstream tasks, including 45 ECG diagnoses, 39 echocardiographic targets, and 5 rare cardiac diseases, using PRAUC as the primary metric. ECGCLIP consistently improved performance over random initialization and Merl-R18 baselines. On the internal test set, ECGCLIP-R34 achieved strong performance for atrial fibrillation (PRAUC 0.900) and ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (PRAUC 0.383), with robust generalization across all external cohorts. It also improved low-prevalence and diagnostically elusive diseases, including Ebstein anomaly, constrictive pericarditis, dextrocardia, and cardiac amyloidosis, with internal PRAUC values of 0.253, 0.175, 0.121, and 0.201, respectively. ECGCLIP was data efficient, matching or exceeding full-dataset baseline performance with only 10% of training data. Feature visualization and saliency analysis suggested clinically meaningful representations aligned with established electrocardiographic criteria. These findings indicate that large-scale ECG-report contrastive pre-training can expand routine ECG interpretation beyond common arrhythmias toward broad cardiovascular assessment and opportunistic screening of echocardiographic and rare conditions.

Transthoracic echocardiography is the reference standard for confirming structural heart disease (SHD), but first-line screening is limited by cost, workflow burden, and specialist availability. We evaluated whether open pretrained electrocardiogram (ECG) foundation models can support echo-confirmed multi-label SHD detection using the public EchoNext Mini-Model benchmark. Six echocardiography-derived abnormalities were targeted: reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, increased left ventricular wall thickness, aortic stenosis, mitral regurgitation, tricuspid regurgitation, and right ventricular systolic dysfunction. Under a common pipeline, we compared engineered ECG features with gradient boosting, end-to-end waveform learning from scratch, and transfer from open ECG foundation models. We then applied in-domain self-supervised adaptation of an ECG foundation model (ECG-FM) on EchoNext waveforms followed by selective supervised fine-tuning, and evaluated trade-offs between discrimination and adaptation cost. Adapted ECG-FM models achieved the best overall performance: peak macro-AUROC 0.8509 and macro-AUPRC 0.4297, while a parameter-efficient operating point preserved AUROC (0.8501) and attained the highest fixed-threshold macro-F1 0.3691. Late fusion with covariates did not improve threshold-independent discrimination, and evaluated LoRA, alternative backbones, and mixture-of-foundations strategies did not surpass the best adapted single-backbone models. These results indicate that for ECG-based case finding and echocardiography triage, combining target-domain self-supervised adaptation with selective supervised updating of a pretrained ECG backbone is the most effective transfer strategy.