Uncertainty Decomposition via Cyclical SG-MCMC and Soft-label Learning for Subjective NLP

Emotion annotation is inherently subjective, yet most NLP pipelines still assume "gold" labels, typically produced by majority voting, and treat annotator variation as noise. In this paper, we present a multilabel emotion annotation case study and use it to examine how annotator behavior and aggregation choices affect both agreement estimates and downstream emotion classifiers. Rather than collapsing disagreement into a single label, we represent targets as soft vote-share labels (including an intensity-weighted variant) and evaluate models using both thresholded metrics (macro-/micro-F1) and probabilistic alignment (Bernoulli cross-entropy SoftBCE), alongside data-derived disagreement diagnostics. Across annotation regimes, we show that disagreement is structured and leaves measurable traces in model behavior: hard labels may maximize F1 metrics, while soft supervision yields predictions that better reflect empirical annotator variance and uncertainty. Our results provide practical guidance for designing, aggregating, and evaluating multilabel emotion datasets when multiple interpretations are plausible.

Subjective NLP tasks often exhibit systematic annotator disagreement, requiring models that represent uncertainty rather than collapse it. We introduce Ensemble Diversity Optimization (EDO), a prediction-space framework that jointly optimizes ensemble weights, effective cardinality, and calibration through a unified differentiable objective. EDO learns ensemble composition and size end-to-end via Gumbel-Softmax relaxation and incorporates a signed diversity regularizer, tuned on validation data, to steer optimization toward either preserving or suppressing disagreement. This regularization prevents ensemble collapse and enables controlled navigation of the utility-calibration trade-off. The framework integrates a soft F1 surrogate, class-weighted cross-entropy to address imbalance, and reliability-weighted diversity to regulate intra-ensemble variability. Experiments on four subjective text-classification benchmarks (ArMIS, ConvAbuse, HS-Brexit, MD-Agreement) show that EDO substantially improves probabilistic calibration, reducing cross-entropy (40-78% depending on baseline) and lowering Brier scores relative to Soft-CE, Soft-MD, Top-5 Voting, and WEL, while maintaining competitive F1 and better alignment with annotator distributions. These results demonstrate that jointly optimizing ensemble structure with a signed diversity regularizer provides an efficient, model-agnostic approach for modeling human subjectivity in supervised learning.

Speech emotion recognition (SER) often relies on hard consensus labels that collapse annotator disagreement. We study distribution-based supervision for 9-class SER on MSP-Podcast 2.0 using a WavLM-Base multitask model for categorical emotion and dimensional VAD. Hard-label training is compared with targets from primary and merged primary--secondary annotator vote distributions. Distributional objectives improve alignment with human vote distributions, reducing JSD/KLD relative to hard-label training. Analysis shows that hard supervision partly benefits from assigning ambiguous utterances to the residual Other class, whereas distributional supervision redistributes uncertainty across emotion categories. Entropy-stratified evaluation shows that high-ambiguity utterances remain challenging, but distribution-based supervision better captures perceptual uncertainty. These findings support moving beyond hard labels toward targets that reflect listener disagreement.