Selective Test-Time Compute Scaling for Click-Through Rate Prediction via Uncertainty-Triggered Feature Path Exploration

Test-time scaling (TTS) improves large language models (LLMs) by allocating additional compute at inference time. In practice, TTS is often achieved through parallel scaling: generating multiple candidate responses and selecting the best via a Best-of-N (BoN) strategy. Its effectiveness therefore hinges on the scoring function. Learned scorers such as process reward models (PRMs) can be strong, but they are expensive to train and run. Lightweight confidence heuristics based on token log-probabilities are much cheaper, yet we find that they often perform substantially worse. To improve on lightweight confidence heuristics without incurring the full cost of stronger learned scorers, we introduce SCATR, a simple and efficient BoN ranking method that learns a lightweight scorer from a small calibration set using hidden representations from the base model. Across coding and mathematical reasoning benchmarks, SCATR improves over prior confidence-based baselines by up to 9%. Relative to LoRA fine-tuning on the same calibration data, it achieves comparable accuracy with up to 8000x fewer trainable parameters and much lower compute, reducing training and inference latency by up to 150x and 1000x, respectively. SCATR is also competitive with strong PRM baselines, and in several settings improves accuracy by up to 7.8% on math and 4.2% on coding while enabling up to 1000x faster inference. Overall, SCATR offers a strong accuracy-efficiency trade-off for scalable test-time selection.

Scaling test-time compute has emerged as a powerful mechanism for enhancing Large Language Model (LLM) performance. However, standard post-training paradigms, Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) and Reinforcement Learning (RL), optimize the likelihood of individual samples under a base policy, creating a misalignment with test time procedures that rely on aggregated or filtered outputs. In this work, we propose Compute Aligned Training, which aligns training objectives with test-time strategies. By conceptualizing inference strategies as operators on the base policy, we derive new loss functions that maximize performance when said strategies are applied. We instantiate such loss functions for SFT and RL across common test time strategies. Finally, we provide empirical evidence that this training method substantially improves test time scaling over standard training.

An effective way to scale up test-time compute of large language models is to sample multiple responses and then select the best one, as in Grok Heavy and Gemini Deep Think. Existing selection methods often rely on external reward models, which requires training a strong reward model and introduces additional computation overhead. As an alternative, previous approaches have explored intrinsic signals, such as confidence and entropy, but these signals are noisy with naive aggregation. In this work, we observe that high-entropy tokens tend to cluster into consecutive groups during inference, providing a more stable notion of model uncertainty than individual tokens. Together, these clusters reveal temporal patterns of model uncertainty throughout the inference process. Motivated by this observation, we propose to use the temporal structure of uncertainty as an intrinsic reward. To this end, we first formalize the basic unit of segment-level uncertainty as the High Entropy Phase (HEP), a variable-length segment that begins at a high-entropy token and ends when consecutive low-entropy tokens appear. We then define the Entropy Centroid, inspired by the concept of the center of mass in physics, as the weighted average position of all HEPs along the trajectory. Intuitively, a lower centroid indicates early exploration followed by confident generation, which we find often corresponds to higher response quality. Based on this insight, we propose the Lowest Centroid method, which selects the response with the lowest entropy centroid among multiple candidates. Experiments on mathematics, code generation, logical reasoning, and agentic tasks, across model scales ranging from 14B to 480B, show that Lowest Centroid consistently outperforms existing baselines and delivers stable gains as model size increases. Code is available at https://github.com/hkust-nlp/entropy-centroid.