Real-world regression often exhibits shortcuts: attributes that are spuriously correlated with continuous targets in training, yet unreliable under deployment shifts; regressing targets using such shortcuts may fail catastrophically at test time. Existing studies on spurious correlations focus primarily on classification, where labels are categorical and groups are naturally defined. However, many real-world tasks require continuous prediction, where hard label boundaries or discrete group-label pairs do not exist. We define Deep Spurious Regression (DSR) as learning from regression data with attribute-label confounding, addressing continuous spurious correlations, and generalizing to all attribute-label combinations at test time. Motivated by the intrinsic difference between classification and regression shortcuts, we propose to exploit the similarity among spurious attributes in both label and feature spaces, thereby accounting for nearby targets and related groups while calibrating both label and learned feature distributions across attributes. Extensive experiments on common real-world DSR datasets that span computer vision, environmental sensing, and large language model (LLM) regression verify the superior performance of our strategies. Our work fills the gap in benchmarks and techniques for studying spurious correlations in continuous prediction.
Shortcut mitigation strategies commonly rely on training data annotations, group-balanced held-out data or the presence of all groups, i.e., all combinations of (spurious) attributes and classes, in the training data. However, these requirements are rarely met in practice. We instead propose a method for targeted model analysis to identify a small set of instances in which the model relies on spurious attributes. Using that set and following ``this feature should not be used for prediction'' reasoning, we identify highly relevant neurons in an intermediate layer and regularize their impact. This ensures that models learn to depend on informative features rather than being right for the wrong reasons, thereby improving robustness without requiring additional balanced held-out data or annotations.
Symbolic regression (SR) discovers analytical equations from data, yielding glass-box models with directly interpretable formulas, unlike black-box methods that rely on unstable post-hoc tools such as SHAP or LIME. This transparency is crucial in clinical medicine and social science, but SR faces three challenges: high-dimensional inputs, principled selection of Pareto-front formulae, and data irregularities such as multicollinearity and class imbalance. We introduce DeepPySR, which addresses these issues with a dynamic variable-pruning schedule to remove irrelevant features during search, an exponential Pareto selection criterion that eliminates trade-offs between accuracy and complexity, and a multi-layer architecture for hierarchical symbolic composition. On four Feynman physics benchmarks and seven biomedical and social-science datasets, DeepPySR outperforms PySR and baselines on body fat (R2: 0.794 vs.\ 0.702), heart disease (F1: 0.898 vs.\ 0.787), student performance (R2: 0.964 vs.\ 0.948), and Raine BMI (R2: 0.525 vs.\ 0.370), producing interpretable formulas aligned with domain risk factors.
Deep Imbalanced Regression (DIR) addresses a common failure mode of regression models: target distributions are highly non-uniform, causing models to perform best in densely populated target regions even when reliable performance is required across the full target range. Despite rapid methodological progress, DIR evaluation remains constrained by three blind spots: it is dominated by image-based benchmarks, its standard many-/medium-/few-shot protocol is diagnostic but not decision-complete, and tail-region stability across random seeds has not been systematically evaluated. We revisit DIR evaluation along these three axes. First, we broaden the data domain by evaluating DIR on a multimodal virtual sensing benchmark (\textsc{MuViS}) with nine time-series extrinsic regression tasks across six physical domains, where rare target values often correspond to operationally meaningful regimes. Second, we adopt balanced MAE (\emph{bMAE}) and introduce balanced Mean Absolute Scaled Error (\emph{bMASE}), a scale-normalized metric for decision-complete comparison across methods and datasets. Third, through a repeated reevaluation of six representative DIR methods across multiple random seeds, we show that the tail regions targeted by DIR exhibit particularly high sensitivity to seed-level variability. Our results show that standard virtual-sensing models exhibit substantial tail degradation hidden by global MAE, that existing DIR methods can improve balanced performance but transfer unevenly to multimodal time-series data, and that tail-region instability remains a largely hidden failure mode under current DIR evaluation practice. Together, these findings and our publicly available code provide a reproducible basis for future DIR research toward regression systems that capture rare target regimes as reliably as common ones.