3D Temporal Analysis for Autism Spectrum Disorder Screening During Attention Tasks

Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) affects over 75 million individuals worldwide, yet scalable computational methods for remote behavioral screening remain limited. This study addresses two complementary challenges in automated detection of autism-related self-stimulatory behaviors from video: (1) identifying the optimal sequence-based neural network architecture and temporal sampling rate, and (2) characterizing data augmentation strategies for training on small behavioral datasets. For the first objective, long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) models were trained on pose-derived features from the Self-Stimulatory Behavior Diagnosis (SSBD) dataset at frame sampling intervals of 1, 5, 15, 30, 45, and 90 frames. Both architectures exceeded prior convolutional neural network (CNN) baselines (62-76% accuracy), with peak accuracies of 97.5% (LSTM) and 98.75% (GRU) at a sampling interval of every 15 frames. For the second objective, ten data augmentation strategies were applied to an I3D transfer learning pipeline, with an ablation study quantifying the marginal contribution of each technique. Horizontal flip achieved the highest standalone accuracy (48.78%), while exclusion of upsampling from the augmentation pipeline produced the largest performance degradation, indicating its necessity for complex behavioral video augmentation. A personalized machine learning approach, in which per-subject models were trained and tested on temporally split segments of each video, produced consistent predictions (mean loss 1.84, SD 0.79). These results provide practitioners with concrete guidance on architecture selection, sampling rate, and augmentation strategy for video-based behavioral classification in data-scarce clinical domains.

The clinical management of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) faces a bottleneck in early screening, mainly because trained specialists are scarce and conventional assessment tools are subjective. Here, we introduce ASDchat, a multimodal large language model designed for evidence-based ASD screening, which takes video, audio, and dialogue as input. ASDchat adopts a dual-branch architecture, where the decision branch generates screening probabilities and the evidence branch generates traceable, timestamped behavioral evidence aligned with standardized clinical criteria (ADOS-2). The model was trained and evaluated on a dataset of 1,035 participants from 27 sites in China, which covered typically developing (TD) children, children with ASD, and children with other disorders. For ASD versus TD, ASDchat reached an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.953 $\pm$ 0.021. On 9 held-out sites that were not used for training, the mean AUC was 0.932. Furthermore, unsupervised clustering of the behavioral dimensions split the ASD cases into six subtypes with different phenotypic profiles, and ASDchat suggests an intervention for each subtype. ASDchat provides a feasible path for large-scale, evidence-based early ASD screening in clinical practice.

Automated ASD screening tools remain limited by single-architecture evaluations, axis-restricted assessment, and near-exclusive focus on adult cohorts, obscuring age-specific diagnostic patterns critical for early intervention. We introduce ASD-Bench, a systematic tabular benchmark evaluating ML, deep learning, and foundation model configurations across three age cohorts (children 1-11 yr, adolescents 12-16 yr, adults 17-64 yr) on four axes: predictive performance, calibration, interpretability, and adversarial robustness. Applied to a curated v3 dataset of 4,068 AQ-10 records, our benchmark spans classical models (XGBoost, AdaBoost, Random Forest, Logistic Regression), neural networks (MLP), deep tabular transformers (TabNet, TabTransformer, FT-Transformer), and TabPFN v2. We introduce the Heuristic Aggregate Penalty (HAP): a cost-sensitive metric penalising false negatives more heavily and incorporating cross-validation variance for deployment stability. Adult classification yields high performance (10/17 models achieve perfect F1 and AUC), while adolescents present a harder task (F1 ceiling 0.837 vs. 0.915 for children). Feature hierarchies shift across cohorts: A9 (social motivation) dominates for children, A5 (pattern recognition) leads for adolescents, and adults exhibit a flatter importance profile consistent with developmental social masking. Accuracy and calibration are dissociated: AdaBoost achieves F1=1.000 on adults with ECE=0.302, confirming single-metric evaluation is insufficient for clinical AI. Cohort-specific deployment recommendations are provided. All findings should be interpreted as proof-of-concept evidence on questionnaire-derived labels rather than clinically validated diagnostic performance.