From Sampled Outcomes to Capability Distributions: Rethinking Supervision for LLM Routing
Authors: Guannan Lai, Haoran Hu, Long Chen, Zhenguo Li, Han-Jia Ye
Organizations: School of Artificial Intelligence, Nanjing University · National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University · Hong Kong University of Science and Technology · Frontier Robotics
Existing LLM routing methods typically treat a model's single response to a query as its capability label for training routers. However, because LLM generation is inherently stochastic, such single-shot supervision provides only a noisy observation of a query-model pair's behavior rather than a reliable capability estimate. We show that this assumption introduces systematic noise into routing supervision, making learned routing policies less reliable. To address this issue, we propose DARS (Distribution-Aware Routing Supervision), a framework that constructs routing supervision from a distributional view of model behavior. Instead of relying on a single generated response, DARS considers uncertainty from both the input side and the output side, capturing how semantically equivalent query formulations and stochastic generations affect model performance. Based on these distribution-aware observations, DARS builds more reliable supervision signals for routing. Experiments across diverse tasks show that single-shot labels can be misleading for model selection, while distribution-aware supervision provides more stable labels and improves learned routing behavior. Our results suggest that reliable LLM routing should move beyond single-response observations and be grounded in query-level model capability distributions.
No single large language model (LLM) is optimal across all queries and budget constraints, making model routing essential for cost-effective deployment. Existing routers adopt diverse formulations and implementations, making fair comparison and extension difficult. We present a unified formulation of LLM routing as a sequential decision process characterized by five components: context encoders, model encoders, scoring functions, decision rules, and learning signals, covering single-turn, multi-turn, and personalized routing. Based on this formulation, we develop an automated pipeline for constructing routing supervision and evaluating routers jointly on response quality and inference cost. The resulting benchmark, xRouteBench, spans generic LLM, memory-augmented, vision, time-series, and personalized routing tasks. We further introduce LLMRouter, an open-source modular infrastructure with more than 16 representative routers. Our empirical study shows that learned routers outperform the strongest fixed-model baseline by 14.6% relatively, lightweight routers become more competitive under tight cost constraints, and user-conditioned routing consistently improves personalization.
Large language models (LLMs) achieve impressive performance across multiple domains, but using the most capable model for every query is prohibitive at scale. LLM routing exploits diversity in model capability and cost by assigning each query to a suitable model to balance utility and budget. Current methods have two limitations: (i) they either use heuristics that do not always enforce the budget constraint or impose a fixed per-query budget that cannot adapt across the workload and leads to suboptimal performance; (ii) they require supervised learning on a dense dataset with statistics for every query-model pair, which is expensive to collect. To address these challenges, we formulate LLM routing as a constrained contextual multi-armed bandit problem and introduce WISERouter (WR for short), a framework that supports offline learning from historical interactions as well as online learning with exploration. We further prove that WR-Online achieves a sublinear regret bound of O(T) over a time horizon T. Empirical results on RouterBench and SWE-Bench demonstrate that (i) WR-Offline surpasses existing baselines in performance under a fixed budget and adheres more closely to budget constraints, and (ii) WR-Online achieves comparable performance to the baselines, while using substantially less exploration data.
Large language models are increasingly used in practical systems, making efficient model selection important for reducing deployment cost. LLM routing has emerged as a practical solution for allocating each input query to an appropriate model under a desired cost-performance trade-off. Existing routing methods often estimate model suitability from the surface semantics or embedding similarity of the input query. However, such methods may ignore the underlying difficulty of a query, leading to suboptimal routing decisions. To address the challenge, we propose VDAR-Router, a difficulty-aware retrieval-based routing framework. For each input query, VDAR-Router first generates an explicit difficulty analysis. It then retrieves historical examples with similar difficulty profiles. Based on the retrieved records, it estimates candidate model suitability and selects the model using a reward function that considers both performance and cost. Experiments on three datasets show that VDAR-Router consistently achieves better cost-performance trade-offs than existing baselines. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of difficulty-aware retrieval for training-free LLM routing. Case studies further show that explicit query analysis helps retrieve more relevant examples and supports more reliable routing decisions.