Sleep EEG Signal Criticality as a Non-Invasive Predictor of Cognitive Decline in Dementia
Authors: Stanisław Narębski, Tomasz Komendziński, Tomasz M. Rutkowski
Organizations: Academia Copernicana Nicolaus Copernicus University Toru´n, Poland · Department of Cognitive Science Nicolaus Copernicus University Toru´n, Poland · The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan · Nicolaus Copernicus University, Toru´n, Poland · Araya Inc., Tokyo, Japan
Early detection of neurodegeneration remains a critical clinical challenge. This study investigates whether sleep EEG signal criticality, quantified via Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA), serves as a non-invasive biomarker for future cognitive decline. We analyzed longitudinal data from the National Sleep Research Resource (NSRR) Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF) cohort, comparing baseline sleep EEG dynamics between women who remained cognitively normal and those who later progressed to dementia-related impairment (3MS<78).Our results reveal significant group-level differences in Hurst exponent H(q) distributions, particularly during non-REM stages N2 and N3. Cognitively healthy individuals exhibited signal dynamics significantly closer to an optimally critical state across all electrode locations (p⩽0.001), supporting the Brain Criticality Hypothesis. Supervised UMAP projections confirmed clear spatial separation between groups throughout the overnight sleep architecture.The dementia group demonstrated a shift in DFA exponents toward 1.0, suggesting that a reconfiguration of scale-free neural dynamics during sleep precedes clinical symptoms. These findings highlight the potential for MFDFA-derived measures to be integrated into automated, sleep-based screening tools, enabling earlier preventative interventions during the prodromal window of dementia.
Automated sleep staging is a fundamental application of passive Brain-Computer Interfaces (pBCI), decoding spontaneous neural states to enable closed-loop interventions independent of user intent. This study evaluates criticality features derived from Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) for the specific identification of deep sleep (N3). We analyzed 347,232 EEG epochs from 290 older women using UMAP manifold learning to visualize state transitions. Subsequently, six classifiers were benchmarked via 10-fold cross-validation, using balanced accuracy to determine the optimal "state-sensing" engine for neurofeedback.Naive Bayes achieved the highest mean balanced accuracy (87.17%±0.24%), significantly outperforming a fully connected deep neural network (FNN: 81.58%) and Random Forest (80.97%). Linear models (LDA: 57.21%; SVM: 51.01%) performed poorly, indicating that DFA-derived criticality features reside on a distinct, non-linear manifold. Probabilistic decoding of EEG criticality provides a high-accuracy sensing mechanism for pBCIs. This robust classification pipeline supports the development of state-dependent neurofeedback, such as targeted auditory stimulation, to enhance cognitive recovery.
Stanisław Narębski, Tomasz Komendziński, Tomasz M. Rutkowski
Patients with dementia typically exhibit cognitive impairment, which is routinely assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). Concurrently, their underlying neurophysiological abnormalities are reflected in Electroencephalography (EEG), providing a basis for joint modeling. However, traditional multi-task approaches suffer from feature entanglement, which leads to inter-task interference when handling heterogeneous objectives.To address this challenge, we propose a task-guided spatiotemporal network (TGSN) with diffusion augmentation for EEG-based dementia diagnosis and MMSE prediction. Specifically, TGSN integrates a multi-band feature fusion module to capture complementary spectral information from EEG. Meanwhile, a pre-trained data augmentation module utilizing a diffusion process is introduced toincrease sample diversity. To model the complex spatiotemporal patterns of EEG, we propose a gated spatiotemporal attention module that captures long-range spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. Moreover, we design a task-guided query module to achieve task-specific feature extraction, thereby mitigating task interference. The effectiveness of TGSN is evaluated on the XY02 dataset. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed network outperforms several state-of-the-art methods, achieving classification accuracies of 97.78% for Alzheimer's Disease (AD)/Frontotemporal Dementia (FTD) and 83.93% for AD/FTD/Vascular Cognitive Impairment (VCI), which exceed the best baselines by 16.39% and 8.28%, respectively. In parallel, it reduces the RMSE for MMSE prediction to 1.93 and 2.38, achieving significant error reductions of 1.44 and 1.43 compared to the best baselines. Additionally, validation on the DS004504 dataset demonstrates strong cross-dataset generalization...
Dementia disorders such as Alzheimer's disease (AD) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD) exhibit overlapping electrophysiological signatures in EEG that challenge accurate diagnosis. Existing EEG-based methods are limited by full-band frequency analysis, which hinders the precise differentiation of dementia subtypes and severity stages. To address this limitation, we propose a Variational Mixture of Graph Neural Experts (VMoGE) framework that integrates multi-band EEG analysis with variational graph neural networks and a mixture-of-experts architecture. Each expert specializes in a specific EEG frequency band and models brain connectivity using a Gaussian Markov random field prior, while a variational gating mechanism adaptively integrates the expert outputs. This design enables the model to learn frequency-specific brain network representations while modeling latent uncertainty through variational inference. Experimental results on two EEG dementia datasets show that VMoGE achieves strong performance, with an AUC of 0.89 for HC vs. AD classification in the main comparison and competitive results across dementia subtyping and CDR staging tasks. Clinically, VMoGE offers three key translational values: the expert gating weights correlate with MMSE scores and CDR severity; slow-wave δ- and θ-band contributions are associated with AD-related EEG slowing and disease progression; and spatially localized activation maps reveal posterior θ- and α-band alterations and region-specific β-band changes, providing neurophysiologically interpretable markers aligned with known AD neuropathology.