cs.LGJun 10, 2026

Multimodal Ordinal Modeling of Alzheimer's Disease Severity Using Structural MRI and Clinical Data

Authors: Boris-Stephan Rauchmann, Jonathan Laib, Buse Ercik, Robert Perneczky, Sergio Altares-López

Abstract

Neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease (AD) require accurate and scalable tools for assessing disease severity, yet current clinical staging remains time-intensive and prone to variability. We propose an attention-enhanced multimodal machine learning framework with ordinal regression for automated and interpretable AD severity staging. The framework integrates T1-weighted MRI with demographic and genetic variables and compares unimodal and multimodal architectures using ordinal and non-ordinal prediction heads. Models were trained and validated using cohort-stratified splits derived from the ADNI, AIBL, and NIFD datasets. A strictly held-out test set was constructed using subjects excluded from all training, validation, preprocessing, and hyperparameter tuning procedures, with subject-level splitting employed throughout to prevent data leakage. Among unimodal approaches, the T1-weighted MRI model achieved slightly higher adjacent-stage accuracy (0.963) and agreement with clinical staging (QWK 0.444) than the tabular model (QWK 0.433). Integrating imaging, demographic, and genetic information improved overall performance. The multimodal non-ordinal baseline achieved the lowest prediction error (MAE 0.340), whereas the ordinal multimodal model achieved the highest adjacent-stage accuracy (0.970) and strongest agreement with clinical staging (QWK 0.549). These findings indicate that ordinal formulations better capture the ordered structure of the CDR scale and yield predictions more consistent with clinical staging. Explainability analyses using Grad CAM++ and SHAP demonstrated anatomically and clinically plausible model behavior, supporting transparent decision-making. Overall, attention-based multimodal learning with ordinal regression represents a robust, interpretable, and scalable approach for automated AD severity staging and AI-assisted clinical decision support.

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Sep 14, 2026cs.CV

A Multimodal Explainable Deep Learning Framework for Alzheimer's Disease Diagnosis using 3D Magnetic Resonance Imaging and Clinical Data

Dementia is a major and growing global health burden, with Alzheimer's disease (AD) accounting for most cases. Timely and accurate diagnosis is central to managing this burden and increasingly depends on integrating complementary clinical and imaging information. Multimodal deep learning can combine these modalities for AD diagnosis, but how its explanations behave across modalities, fusion strategies, and cohorts remains unclear. We developed an explainable multimodal framework pairing a 3D CNN encoder for T1-weighted MRI with a feedforward network for harmonized clinical and demographic data, comparing varied model setups on three-way and pairwise diagnostic tasks using 6,479 internal records from the ADNI and 1,703 independent records from the OASIS-3. On ADNI, the tabular-only model achieved the highest three-class AUC-ROC of 0.879 and best discriminated cognitively normal (CN) versus mild cognitive impairment (MCI; 0.903), while cross-attention performed best for MCI versus AD (0.861); CN versus AD was highly discriminative overall. On OASIS-3, the vision-only model performed best (three-class AUC-ROC 0.910); CN versus MCI remained difficult, and no fusion strategy consistently outperformed single modalities across tasks and cohorts. SHAP and Integrated Gradients identified the MMSE as the dominant tabular feature in both cohorts, with global feature rankings agreeing strongly in ADNI (ρ=0.94\rho=0.94) and OASIS-3 (ρ=0.96\rho=0.96); CAM-based explanations, however, changed with model configuration and cohort. These findings show that multimodal performance and explanations are task, modality, fusion, and cohort-dependent: a dominant cognitive signal persisted across cohorts, but feature contributions and CAM explanations did not, underscoring the need to evaluate explainability under cohort shift rather than as a stable, intrinsic property.
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Jun 16, 2026cs.CV

A Quantitative Analysis of Multimodal Biomarkers in Alzheimer's Disease

Despite increasing adoption of multimodal approaches in Alzheimer's Disease (AD) research -- aimed at integrating molecular, structural, clinical, and genetic biomarkers to enhance disease characterization -- the relationships among these modalities remain poorly understood. A systematic analysis of their dynamic interaction is essential for improving disease modeling, identifying redundant assessments, and reducing patient burden and acquisition costs. In this paper, we present a quantitative analysis of multimodal AD biomarkers by integrating tau-PET, structural MRI, cognitive scores (MMSE and CDR), and APOE4 data from 789 subjects drawn from the ADNI dataset. In our analyses, we (A) quantify cross-modal mutual information and explained variance to assess redundancy and predictive dependencies; (B) examine associations between tau topologies and structural atrophy across brain regions to select informative ROIs; (C) perform a statistical decomposition of the tau-cognition association into atrophy-related and atrophy-independent components; (D) and identify a dominant neurodegenerative trajectory that aligns with cognitive decline. This study provides a systematic characterization of cross-modal relationships, improving the interpretability and selection of biomarkers in AD. Code is publicly available at: https://github.com/antonioscardace/Multimodal-AD.
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Sep 14, 2026cs.CV

Anatomical Grounding and Leakage-Aware Multimodal Contrastive Learning for Alzheimer's Disease Classification from Structural MRI

Deep networks trained on structural MRI for Alzheimer's disease (AD) staging often reach reasonable accuracy while attending to anatomically irrelevant regions, and multimodal models that add clinical tables frequently rely on variables that were used to assign the diagnostic label in the first place. We study both issues with a deliberately lightweight slice-based encoder (ResNet18 with a one-layer Transformer over slices) on 1,075 baseline T1-weighted scans from ADNI-1. First, we use FastSurfer segmentations as an anatomical reference: YOLOv8 models trained on segmentation-derived labels localize Alzheimer-relevant structures with mAP_50 above 0.96, and a Grad-CAM comparison shows that the image-only classifier frequently attends to the skull, orbits and background. Second, we adapt a CLIP-style image - tabular contrastive framework and organize ADNIMERGE variables along a label-leakage spectrum. Fusion with cognitive scores yields 87.3% three-way accuracy, which we treat as a leakage-driven upper bound rather than an imaging result; fusion with regional volumes yields 73.0%. We observe that the choice of contrastive target changes what the image encoder learns: on MCI vs. CN, the image-only head reaches 52.4% when the encoder is aligned to cognitive scores and 73.8% when aligned to volumes, although no tabular input is used at inference. Third, restricting the input to a per-subject crop of the medial temporal lobe raises image-only three-way accuracy from 58.7% to 65.1%. All results come from single runs on a small balanced test set, and we report confidence intervals and the protocol differences that prevent direct comparison with published numbers.
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