Hierarchical ODE: Learning Continuous-Time Physical Prototypes for Early Link Failure Detection

Spatiotemporal forecasting in physical systems, such as large-scale traffic networks, requires modeling a dual dynamic: continuous macroscopic rhythms and discrete, unpredictable microscopic shocks. While Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) excel at capturing smooth evolution, their inherent Lipschitz continuity constraints inevitably cause severe over-smoothing when confronting abrupt anomalies. Recent physics-informed methods attempt to bypass this by penalizing numerical integration errors to enforce manifold smoothness. However, we mathematically reveal that such rigid regularization inherently triggers gradient conflicts and ``attention collapse,'' stripping the model of its sensitivity to anomalies. To resolve this continuity-shock dilemma, we propose Local Truncation Error-Guided Neural ODEs (LTE-ODE). Rather than treating numerical error as a nuisance to be eliminated, we innovatively repurpose the Local Truncation Error (LTE) as an unsupervised forward inductive bias. By mapping the LTE into a dynamic spatial attention mask, our architecture gracefully preserves high-precision continuous ODE evolution in stable regions, while adaptively triggering a discrete compensation branch exclusively at shock points. Trained purely end-to-end without manifold penalties, LTE-ODE achieves state-of-the-art performance on multiple large-scale benchmarks, exhibiting exceptional robustness against highly non-linear fluctuations. Furthermore, our ablation on integration steps demonstrates high deployment flexibility, allowing the model to seamlessly adapt to varying hardware memory constraints in real-world applications.

Recovering continuous-time dynamics from discrete observations is difficult because local supervision (e.g., pointwise regression targets, derivative approximations, or equation residuals) loses fidelity as the observation interval grows. We replace local supervision with a global structural constraint: any flow representing autonomous dynamics must satisfy the semi-group property under time translation. We train a time-conditioned secant velocity field whose deviation from this property, which we call Symmetry Rupture, serves two purposes. As a training regularizer, it confines the hypothesis space to flows that compose consistently across temporal scales. As an inference oracle, it lets the solver select the largest step size that preserves internal consistency, replacing the local truncation error that conventional adaptive solvers depend on. On the diffusion-reaction benchmark under time-informed inference, our method reduces rollout RMSE by 87% while using 5x fewer function evaluations than a Neural ODE baseline. In the more demanding direct auto-regressive setting, where the model must predict distant future frames without intermediate temporal cues, our adaptive solver allocates compute based on local geometric complexity -- maintaining the lowest rollout RMSE on two of three PDE benchmarks while baselines either diverge or require up to an order of magnitude more function evaluations to remain stable.

Standard continuous-depth models, such as Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs), offer significant advantages in modeling physical systems by learning continuous vector fields rather than discrete temporal steps. However, when applied to complex dynamical systems, standard NODEs frequently struggle with highly nonlinear dynamics. This paper investigates the Frequency-domain Neural ODE (FNODE), an architecture that projects continuous temporal dynamics into the frequency domain using the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT). By operating in the frequency domain, the model provides better generalization to the dynamical system. The architecture is empirically evaluated against discrete models, specifically Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTMs), and other continuous-depth variants, including Augmented Neural ODE (ANODE), across four distinct dynamical systems: the Lotka-Volterra model, the forced Duffing oscillator, the Van der Pol oscillator, and the Lorenz system. To rigorously assess generalization and robustness, curriculum and ensemble learning are used to evaluate the model's convergence by estimating confidence intervals across different ensemble models. The empirical results demonstrate that the FNODE architecture achieves better generalization while exhibiting remarkable convergence stability.