Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

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9 papers in the last four weeks, up 80% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

Jul 13Week of Sep 28

Latest papers 56

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WaveGSSM: Graph Wave State Space Models for Propagating Spatio-Temporal Patterns
Oct 5, 2026Junyou Zhu, Fenying Cai, Ping Xiong +5Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Temporal Graph Neural Networks
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany · Machine Learning Group, Technical University of Berlin, Germany · Department of Computer Science, University of Illinois at Chicago, USA +2
Physics-Refined Spatiotemporal Forecasting on Open-Boundary Hydrologic Graphs
Oct 1, 2026Haoyang Jiang, Zhengui Wang, Shenghan Gao +3Probabilistic Basin-Scale Runoff Lstms Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
William & Mary, Williamsburg, VA, USA · Virginia Institute of Marine Science, William & Mary, Gloucester Point, VA, USA · Florida Atlantic University, Boca Raton, FL, USA
STCFormer: Adaptive Spatio-Temporal Modeling with Dynamic Cluster Transformer for Station-based Weather Forecasting
Sep 30, 2026Rongwen Li, Haixin Xie, Mingyang Wang +5Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Spatio-Temporal Transformers
Hunan University · China Meteorological Administration · Hunan Provincial Meteorological Bureau
M $^2$ Weather: A Benchmark for Joint Multi-Station and Multi-Variable Weather Forecasting
Sep 30, 2026Rongwen Li, Xiao Wang, Mingyang Wang +4Weather Prediction Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Hunan University · China Meteorological Administration
AdaST: Adaptive Coupling for Spatial-Temporal Forecasting
Sep 28, 2026Zhenyu Lei, Chenghao Liu, Yushun Dong +2Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Temporal Dynamics
University of Virginia Charlottesville, VA, USA · Datadog Paris, France · Florida State University Tallahassee, FL, USA +1
Spatiotemporal Kronecker Covariance Neural Networks
Sep 21, 2026Andrea Cavallo, Athanasios Georgoutsos, Elvin IsufiSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Spatiotemporal
Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands
MGRD: Compact morphology-gated residual diffusion for variance-aware cross-domain neurite forecasting
Sep 21, 2026Tsung Yeh Hsieh, Cosmin Anitescu, Chunghwan Kim +2Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Neurons
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Ave, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA · Department of Biomedical Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Ave, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA · Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Ave, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA
The Operational Value of Spatial Dependence in Renewable Forecast Scenarios for Single-Period Economic Dispatch: A Controlled Ablation Study
Sep 21, 2026Jayakumar ManoharanEnergy Forecasting Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), Charlotte, NC, USA
AsyncCouple-Flow: Asynchronous Cross-Modal Coupling and Flow Matching for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Sep 15, 2026Zhixiang Wu, Yining Liu, Bo Zhao +4Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion
Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China · Emory University, USA · University of California, Berkeley, USA +3
Statistical versus machine learning-based spatial interpolation of post-processed ensemble weather forecasts
Sep 7, 2026Mária LakatosSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Weather Prediction
Faculty of Informatics, University of Debrecen, Hungary
Network-Aware Forecasting on Wireless Access Points
Sep 2, 2026Niloo Bahadori, Swadhin Pradhan, Peiman AminiWifi Inference Workloads
Cisco Systems
LLMODE: Aligning ODEs with LLMs via Gated Token Injection for Irregular Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Aug 30, 2026Di Zhang, Jingyang Zhang, Ziqian Wang +4Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Latent Trajectories
Beihang University Beijing, China
A Critical Audit of Spatiotemporal Forecasting Benchmark Datasets and Models
Aug 21, 2026Kenneth Martin, Simon Heilig, Asja Fischer +3Temporal Graph Neural Networks Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Ruhr University Bochum Bochum, Germany · Ben-Gurion University of the Negev Beersheba, Israel
StationPDE: Station-Oriented Surface PDE Learning for Multi-Station Multivariate Weather Forecasting
Aug 20, 2026Xiao Wang, Changjian Chen, Rongwen Li +3Weather Prediction Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Hunan University.
F2STNet: Fair and Federated Spectral-Temporal Modeling for Graph Forecasting
Aug 10, 2026Jiayi Zhang, Jinfeng Xu, Hewei Wang +7Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Temporal Graph Neural Networks
University of Nottingham · The University of Hong Kong · Carnegie Mellon University +1
Multi-Source Dynamic Graph Learning for Compound-Flood Forecasting in Managed Coastal Systems
Aug 3, 2026Liangjun You, Min Wu, Orlando Woods +1Accurate Flood Prediction Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
City University of Hong Kong (Dongguan) China · A*STAR Singapore · Singapore Management University Singapore
Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Transformer for Coherent Emergency Department Forecasting
Jul 29, 2026Filipa Lino, Bárbara Tavares, Carlos Santiago +2Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Emergency Departments
Institute for Systems and Robotics, LARSyS, Instituto Superior Técnico, Portugal · NOVA School of Science and Technology, Caparica, Portugal
Every Client Is an Environment: Federated De-confounding for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Jul 27, 2026Qingxiang Liu, Anqi Liang, Heng Wang +1Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Latent Confounders
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou) · Shanghai Jiao Tong University · Harbin Engineering University
STKAN: Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Jul 14, 2026Sicong Lai, Yuehong Hu, Siru Zhong +3Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou) · Chang’an University · China University of Geosciences
TSCoNet: A Two-Stage Copula CNN-LSTM for Uncertainty-Aware Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Jul 11, 2026Jongwook Kim, Jong-Min KimSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Predictive Uncertainty
Statistics Discipline, Division of Science and Mathematics, University of Minnesota-Morris
Relational and Sequential Conformal Inference for Energy Time Series over Graphs via Foundation Models
Jun 30, 2026Keivan Faghih Niresi, Alice Cicirello, Olga FinkElectricity Price Forecasting Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Intelligent Maintenance and Operations Systems (IMOS) Laboratory EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland · Data, Vibration, and Uncertainty (DVU) Group, Department of Engineering University of Cambridge, United Kingdom · Intelligent Maintenance and Operations Systems (IMOS) Laboratory2026 EPFL, Lausanne, Switzerland
RainODE: Continuous-Time Precipitation Forecasting with Latent Neural ODEs
Jun 29, 2026Yeeun Seong, Doyi Kim, Minseok Seo +1Precipitation Nowcasting Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Daejeon, South Korea
LAMP: Lane-Aligned Motion Primitives for Feasible Trajectory Prediction
Jun 25, 2026Sangjin Han, Hoseong Jung, Jeongtae Her +2Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Motion Primitives
Seoul National University · Hyundai Motor Company, Republic of Korea
Otter Weather: Skillful and Computationally Efficient Medium-Range Weather Forecasting
Jun 24, 2026Cristiana Diaconu, Jonas Scholz, Aliaksandra Shysheya +4Artificial Intelligence Weather Models Numerical Weather Prediction
University of Cambridge
TopoCast: A Topological Fidelity Framework for Evaluating Transformer-Based Time Series Forecasting
Jun 24, 2026Sandeepa Weerasekara, Sandareka WickramanayakeForecasting Backbone Time Series Forecasting
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Moratuwa, Katubedda, Moratuwa, 10400, Sri Lanka.
FDN: Interpretable Spatiotemporal Forecasting with Future Decomposition Networks
Jun 23, 2026Nicholas Majeske, Ariful AzadSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Retrieval-Augmented Forecasting
Department of Intelligent Systems Engineering, Indiana University Bloomington, USA · Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Texas A&M University, USA
MVG-KAN: Multi-View Geo-Wind Guided KAN for PM $_{2.5}$ Forecasting
Jun 23, 2026Cheng Huang, Muyao Guan, Jairus Yougui Railey +6Air Pollution Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
College of Artificial Intelligence, Taizhou University, Taizhou 318000, China · College of Computer Science and Technology, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou 310023, China
Beyond Time Series: Spatial Reasoning for Epidemic Forecasting via Multimodal Learning
Jun 20, 2026Diana Guadalupe Gomez, Chenwei Wu, Zhiyi Wang +2Epidemiological Models Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
University of Michigan Ann Arbor, MI, USA
OmniPMNet: Bridging discrete and gridded PM10 forecasts via omni-query neural processes
Jun 12, 2026Shuangshuang He, Shuo WangAir Pollution Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
ColorfulClouds Technology Co., Ltd., 100875 Beijing, China. · School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, 100875 Beijing, China. · D-ITET, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.
Nonlocal Bayesian Modeling of Continuous Spatio-Temporal Dynamics
Jun 12, 2026Jaeyeong Lee, Heeyoung KimSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Bayesian Inference
Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Daejeon, Republic of Korea
MP3: Multi-Period Pattern Pre-training for Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Jun 11, 2026Lilan Peng, Yandi Liu, Qingren Yao +2Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Temporal Graph Neural Networks
School of Computing and Artificial Intelligence, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 611756, China · Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven 5612 AZ, Netherlands
SPDM: Geometry-Modulated State Space Modeling with Manifold Constraints for Time Series Forecasting
Jun 6, 2026Xingsheng Chen, Siu-Ming YiuState Space Models Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
School of Computing and Data Science, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
KFTD: Koopman-Fourier Time-Differentiable Network for Continuous Ocean Spatiotemporal Forecasting
Jun 6, 2026Qinghui Chen, Zekai Zhang, Hailong Liu +2Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Ocean
Shandong University School of Control Science and Engineering Jinan, China · Laoshan Laboratory Qingdao, China · Chinese Academy of sciences Institute of Atmospheric Physics Beijing, China +1
DSFNet: Learning Dual-Domain Spectral Operators for Multi-Modality Spatio-Temporal Forecasting in Urban Transportation Systems
Jun 5, 2026Yongchao Li, Yang Li, Zhuoxuan Li +4Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Temporal Dynamics
School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China · Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies, Nanjing 211189, China · Department of Data Science, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 999077, China +6
Spatio-temporal stochastic graph-based learning for infectious disease forecasting
May 28, 2026Luz Stefani Sotomayor Valenzuela, Susanna Cramb, Darren WraithEpidemiological Models Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
School of Public Health and Social Work, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia · QUT Centre for Data Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia
Do Physics Foundation Models Learn Generalizable Physics? A Bias-Aware Benchmark Across Physical Regimes and Distribution Shifts
May 28, 2026Mengdi Chu, Yang Liu, Ayan Biswas +1Wireless Foundation Models Distribution Shifts
The Ohio State University · Los Alamos National Laboratory
PHGNet: Prototype-Guided Hypergraph Construction for Heterogeneous Spatiotemporal Forecasting
May 25, 2026Ruiwen Gu, Yahao Liu, Zhenyu Liu +2Accurate Traffic Forecasting Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Shenzhen Ubiquitous Data Enabling Key Lab Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, China · School of Computer Science and Engineering University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China
Bridge: Retrieval-Augmented Spatiotemporal Modeling for Urban Delivery Demand
May 18, 2026Yihong Tang, Tong Nie, Junlin He +3Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Spatiotemporal
McGill University · The Hong Kong Polytechnic University · University of Toronto +1
Nested Spatio-Temporal Time Series Forecasting
May 15, 2026Yinghao Ai, Yukai Zhou, Ruoxi Jiang +8Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
National Key Laboratory for Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University, China · Shanghai Academy of AI for Science, Shanghai · Department of Computer Science and Technology, Nanjing University +3
PnP-Corrector: A Universal Correction Framework for Coupled Spatiotemporal Forecasting
May 9, 2026Hao Wu, Fan Xu, Yuxu Lu +9Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Global Climate Models
Tsinghua University · Tencent · Shenzhen Loop Area Institute +6
PIMSM: Physics-Informed Multi-Scale Mamba for Stable Neural Representations under Distribution Shift
May 8, 2026Sangyoon Bae, Shinjae Yoo, Jiook ChaTime Series Foundation Models Wireless Foundation Models
Interdisciplinary Program in Artificial Intelligence Seoul National University Seoul, South Korea, 08826 · Department of Psychology Seoul National University Seoul, South Korea, 08826
Dual-Scale Temporal Fusion Reveals Structured Predictability in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Temperature Prediction
May 7, 2026Elnaz Bashir, Jiali Wang, Lin YanSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion
Department of Computer Science, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011, USA · Environmental Science Division, Argonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL 60439, USA
SpatialEpiBench: Benchmarking Spatial Information and Epidemic Priors in Forecasting
May 7, 2026Ruiqi Lyu, Alistair Turcan, Bryan WilderEpidemiological Models Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
1Carnegie Mellon University
SWIFT: Spatio-temporal Wavelet Integrated Forecasting Framework for Workload Traces
May 7, 2026Zeyuan Ding, Lingfeng Zheng, Dian Ding +1Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Wavelets
1Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China · 2Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an, China
Delving into Non-Exchangeability for Conformal Prediction in Graph-Structured Multivariate Time Series
May 6, 2026Ruichao Guo, Xingyao Han, Luo Wenshui +3Online Conformal Prediction Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
School of Automation and Intelligent Sensing, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
GraphSVR: A Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression Framework for Robust Spatiotemporal Air Pollution Forecasting
May 5, 2026Nourin Jahan, Muhammed Navas T, Tanujit Chakraborty +1Air Pollution Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Department of Mathematics, School of Advanced Sciences, Vellore Institute of Technology, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India · SAFIR, Sorbonne University, Abu Dhabi, UAE · SCAI - Sorbonne Cluster for Artificial Intelligence, Paris, France +1
Local Truncation Error-Guided Neural ODEs for Large Scale Traffic Forecasting
May 5, 2026Xiao Zhang, Yafei Li, Ruixiang Wang +3Neural Ordinary Differential Equations Ordinary Differential Equations
Zhengzhou University · Northwestern Polytechnical University
StormNet: Improving storm surge predictions with a GNN-based spatio-temporal offset forecasting model
Apr 22, 2026Noujoud Nader, Stefanos Giaremis, Clint Dawson +3Accurate Flood Prediction Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Center for Computation and Technology, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, 70803, LA, US. · Department of Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, 54124, Greece. · Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, 78712, TX, US.
Spatio-temporal modelling of electric vehicle charging demand
Apr 21, 2026Kaoutar Bouaachra, Yvenn Amara-Ouali, Yannig Goude +1Electric Vehicles Accurate Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting
École Polytechnique de Paris · EDF Lab Paris-Saclay Palaiseau, France · INRIA Paris, DYOGENE/MATHNET Team
Forecasting Ionospheric Irregularities on GNSS Lines of Sight Using Dynamic Graphs with Ephemeris Conditioning
Apr 20, 2026Mert Can Turkmen, Eng Leong Tan, Yee Hui LeeSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Global Navigation Satellite System
Nanyang Technological University Singapore
Reversible Residual Normalization Alleviates Spatio-Temporal Distribution Shift
Apr 17, 2026Zhaobo Hu, Vincent Gauthier, Mehdi NaimaSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Temporal Graph Neural Networks
SAMOVAR, Télécom SudParis · Institut Polytechnique de Paris · CNRS – LIP6 +1
Spatio-temporal probabilistic forecast using MMAF-guided learning
Mar 16, 2026Leonardo Bardi, Imma Valentina Curato, Lorenzo ProiettiSpatio-Temporal Forecasting Bayesian
Department of Mathematics TU Chemnitz Reichenhainer Straße 41
UniMamba: A Unified Spatial-Temporal Modeling Framework with State-Space and Attention Integration
Mar 6, 2026Xingsheng Chen, Xianpei Mu, Deyu Yi +6Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
School of Computing and Data Science, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China · School of Information Engineering, Beijing Institute of Graphic Communication, Beijing, China · Innovation Engineering College, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macau, China +1
UniST-Pred: A Robust Unified Framework for Spatio-Temporal Traffic Forecasting in Transportation Networks Under Disruptions
Feb 15, 2026Yue Wang, Djellel Difallah, Areg Karapetyan +1Accurate Traffic Forecasting Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
New York University Abu Dhabi
DRAN: A Distribution and Relation Adaptive Network for Spatio-temporal Forecasting
Apr 2, 2025Xiaobei Zou, Luolin Xiong, Kexuan Zhang +2Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Distributions
Key Laboratory of Smart Manufacturing in Energy Chemical Process, Ministry of Education, East China University of Science and Technology, Shanghai 200237, China · Faculty of Informatics, Università della Svizzera italiana, 69000 Lugano, Switzerland · Department of Electronics, Information and Bioengineering, Politecnico di Milano, 20133 Milan, Italy
Spatio-Temporal Partial Sensing Forecast for Long-term Traffic
Aug 2, 2024Zibo Liu, Zhe Jiang, Zelin Xu +5Accurate Traffic Forecasting Spatio-Temporal Forecasting
Department of Computer & Information Science & Engineering, University of Florida · Department of Computer Science, University of Kentucky

Oct 5, 2026, cs.LGJ/K move · Enter open · S save

WaveGSSM: Graph Wave State Space Models for Propagating Spatio-Temporal Patterns

Junyou Zhu, Fenying Cai, Ping Xiong, Christian Nauck+4

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany · Machine Learning Group, Technical University of Berlin, Germany · Department of Computer Science, University of Illinois at Chicago, USA+2

Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Temporal Graph Neural Networks State Space Models

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Spatio-temporal graph models typically encode each snapshot with a GNN and then connect the resulting representations through a temporal module. This space-then-time design is effective, yet it does not explicitly represent how a pattern moves across the graph. We show empirically that, for a propagating process, the same present field can lead to different futures when its recent rate of change differs, motivating an explicit representation of motion in the predictive state. We introduce WaveGSSM, a second-order graph state-space model that maintains two coupled latent states at each node, one for the current pattern and one for its temporal rate of change. A graph-wave transition updates the motion state through graph interactions and uses it to advance the pattern state, coupling spatial propagation and temporal evolution within a single rollout. We evaluate WaveGSSM on four temporal-graph benchmarks and global weather forecasting. It consistently achieves the best mean performance across the temporal-graph benchmarks and reduces the geopotential RMSE by 20.2% on average for 1- to 5-day weather forecasts relative to a backbone-matched snapshot model, while better preserving large-scale atmospheric patterns.

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