Covariance-Regulated Recursive Koopman Learning for Nonlinear Systems with Uncertain Time-Varying Dynamics

This paper presents a model-based reinforcement learning (RL) framework for optimal closed-loop control of nonlinear robotic systems. The proposed approach learns linear lifted dynamics through Koopman operator theory and integrates the resulting model into an actor-critic architecture for policy optimization, where the policy represents a parameterized closed-loop controller. To reduce computational cost and mitigate model rollout errors, policy gradients are estimated using one-step predictions of the learned dynamics rather than multi-step propagation. This leads to an online mini-batch policy gradient framework that enables policy improvement from streamed interaction data. The proposed framework is evaluated on several simulated nonlinear control benchmarks and two real-world hardware platforms, including a Kinova Gen3 robotic arm and a Unitree Go1 quadruped. Experimental results demonstrate improved sample efficiency over model-free RL baselines, superior control performance relative to model-based RL baselines, and control performance comparable to classical model-based methods that rely on exact system dynamics.

Koopman operator theory provides a powerful framework for representing nonlinear dynamics through a linear operator acting on lifted observables, enabling the use of linear control techniques for nonlinear systems. However, Koopman models are typically learned from data and often degrade in performance under model uncertainty and distributional shifts between training and deployment. Although several works have explored online adaptation to address this issue, many rely on neural network-based updates that introduce significant computational overhead and lack formal safety guarantees, limiting their suitability for real-time and safety-critical robotic applications. In this work, we propose a unified framework for continual adaptive Koopman learning that enables safe and efficient online refinement of learned models during task execution. An autoencoder-based Koopman model is first learned offline and subsequently refined online through a contractive adaptation law, which provides theoretical convergence guarantees under distributional shifts and model uncertainty. To improve data efficiency and accelerate model refinement, the adaptation mechanism is integrated with an active learning strategy that drives the system to collect informative data while accomplishing task objectives. The resulting control problem is formulated as a nonconvex optimization problem incorporating both active learning objectives and safety constraints. We further derive theoretical bounds on model approximation error and show how these bounds can be incorporated within a robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework to provide formal safety guarantees. The proposed approach unifies learning, excitation, and safety within a single control framework without sacrificing real-time feasibility. Extensive simulation and experimental studies demonstrate superior performance compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Modeling and forecasting nonlinear dynamics under distribution shifts is essential for robust decision-making in real-world systems. In this work, we propose MetaKoopman, a Bayesian meta-learning framework for modeling nonlinear dynamics through linear latent representations. MetaKoopman learns a Matrix Normal-Inverse Wishart (MNIW) prior over the Koopman operator, enabling closed-form Bayesian updates conditioned on recent trajectory segments. Moreover, it provides a closed-form posterior predictive distribution over future state trajectories, capturing both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty in the learned dynamics. We evaluate MetaKoopman on a full-scale autonomous truck and trailer system across a wide range of adverse winter scenarios, including snow, ice, and mixed-friction conditions, as well as in simulated control tasks with diverse distribution shifts. MetaKoopman consistently outperforms prior approaches in multi-step prediction accuracy, uncertainty calibration, and robustness to distributional shifts. Field experiments further demonstrate its effectiveness in dynamically feasible motion planning, particularly during evasive maneuvers and operation at the limits of traction. Project website: https://mahmoud-selim.github.io/MetaKoopman/