Phys-JEPA: Physics-Informed Latent World Models for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting
Authors: Weizhi Nie, Weichao Liu, Honglin Guo, Yuting Su
Organizations: Tianjin University
Abstract
Multivariate forecasting in physical systems requires models that predict coupled temporal variables while preserving meaningful state evolution. Deep forecasters can fit temporal correlations, and physics-informed models can regularize predictions with scientific constraints, but these directions are often connected only at the decoded-output level. As a result, the hidden predictive state that generates future trajectories may remain statistically useful but physically unstructured. We introduce Phys-JEPA, a physics-informed joint-embedding predictive architecture for multivariate time-series forecasting. Phys-JEPA learns a latent world model in which predictive states are decomposed into physical and residual components, and physical consistency is imposed directly on latent states and latent transitions rather than only on decoded forecasts. This formulation uses known physical variables to organize the representation space while retaining residual capacity for unresolved dynamics. On Jena Climate 2009--2016, Phys-JEPA reduces aggregate MSE from 0.12482 to 0.12273 and temperature MSE from 0.01892 to 0.01831 at H=24. On Traffic, full Phys-JEPA improves aggregate MSE over the supervised baseline across all tested horizons, reducing H=192 MSE from 0.800784 to 0.773873. On Electricity, the best variant depends on horizon: static latent consistency is strongest at H=24 and H=48, while full Phys-JEPA gives the best aggregate and target-variable MSE at H=192. These initial results suggest that moving physics-informed learning from output space to latent predictive state space is a promising direction for interpretable temporal world models.
We propose PhyLatent, a dynamics-relevant training objective for JointEmbedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) world models. Our key observation is that preventing global latent collapse does not ensure that a representation preserves physical states and action consequences. We identify three failure modes in JEPA world models: physical invariance collapse, physical identifiability collapse, and counterfactual dynamics collapse. PhyLatent addresses them through three training pathways: physical invariance, physical identifiability, and counterfactual dynamics, implemented with physical state grounding, future representation alignment, static visual invariance, counterfactual branch separation, and latent denoising. On OGBench-Cube, PhyLatent reduces the three failure rates from 15.60%, 6.71%, and 8.41% to 7.53%, 0.95%, and 4.62%, respectively, and improves model predictive control (MPC) success from 70.0% to 78.1%. With the same architecture and planner, it further improves success from 81.0% to 98.0% on TwoRooms and remains competitive on Reacher and PushT. These results show that global non-collapse alone is insufficient for learning a reliable JEPA worldmodel state space.
Learning structured and control-relevant latent representations remains a key challenge for world models. Recent JEPA-based world models learn action-conditioned predictive latent dynamics from observation sequences. However, their forward-prediction objectives do not explicitly enforce reliable identifiability of robot-centric physical state from individual latents or state changes from latent pairs, which can limit downstream planning and policy performance. We propose PSG-JEPA, a physically grounded JEPA world model that shapes its latent space with two complementary grounding objectives beyond forward prediction: grounding individual latents in robot proprioceptive state, and grounding latent pairs in multi-horizon joint-angle changes. Both objectives are applied only during training, leaving the inference architecture and computational cost unchanged. To comprehensively evaluate PSG-JEPA, we conduct experiments at three levels: (1) latent identifiability via probing, (2) goal-conditioned planning on frozen latents, and (3) policy learning in simulation and on a real robot. Experiments demonstrate that our PSG-JEPA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art latent world-model baselines at all three levels.
Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) world models learn a compact latent representation of the world that supports prediction and planning, but their capability to learn physics and generate physically realistic dynamics remains hitherto untested. In this work, we introduce SemiGroup-JEPA (SG-JEPA), which extends the LeWorldModel framework by supplying the parameter governing the physics to the temporal model via action-conditioning and jointly training an encoder and predictor through an autoregressive latent rollout. To evaluate the model's ability to generalize out of distribution, we design dynamical tasks under different gravitational fields that, despite obeying the same physical law, exhibit qualitatively different dynamics, ranging from floating motion in weak gravitational fields to rapid bouncing in strong ones. In contrast to DINO-WM, SG-JEPA reduces open-loop prediction error by up to 2 times on two-dimensional datasets, and increases control success rate up to 2.5 times for three-dimensional robotic datasets, for which we train independent diffusion policies. To explain this advantage, we develop a linear feature model that separates local law-conditioned error from its recursive amplification under rollout. Guided by this model, we find that back-propagating the multi-step rollout loss into the representation trains the encoder to keep the features that the predictor can carry forward, and that those are the features the dynamics depend on, so most of the gain comes from the encoder learning better features rather than from the predictor learning better dynamics. See project page at https://sg-jepa.github.io.