Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

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46 papers in the last four weeks, up 39% on the four weeks before. 0.3% of all new papers.

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  1. Revisiting Identity and Spectra Dispersion in Media-Bridged Time Series Forecasting: Linking Multivariate Signals and Narrative Flows

    Oct 8, 2026Jierui Lei, Wenjian Zhang, Qingyi Yang +5Time Series ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    School of Advanced Interdisciplinary Sciences, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China · State Key Laboratory of Multimodal Artificial Intelligence Systems, Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China · School of Intelligent Systems Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518107, China +3

  2. Timer-M1: A Multivariate Time Series Foundation Model via Learning Primitives

    Oct 8, 2026Haoran Zhang, Haixuan Liu, Xingjian Su +5Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime-Series Foundation Models

    School of Software, BNRist, Tsinghua University · ByteDance, Beijing, China

  3. SteerCast: Retrieval-Based Latent Steering for Decoder-Only Time Series Forecasting

    Oct 8, 2026Van Dai Do, Huu Hiep Nguyen, Minh Hoang Nguyen +1Multivariate Time Series ForecastingRetrieval-Augmented Time Series Forecasting

    Deakin’s Applied Artificial Intelligence Initiative Deakin University, Geelong, Australia

  4. CARE: A Lightweight Plug-in Gated Correction and Uncertainty-aware Module for Long-term Time Series Forecasting

    Oct 8, 2026Guo Cheng, Changlong Lv, Jingyi HouMultivariate Time Series ForecastingLong-Term Time Series Forecasting

    School of Artificial Intelligence, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China · Institute of Artificial Intelligence, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China · Key Laboratory of Intelligent Bionic Unmanned Systems, Ministry of Education, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China

  5. WxFM-XL: Adapting Univariate Foundation Models to Multi-Station Weather Forecasting

    Oct 7, 2026Xiao Wang, Changjian Chen, Zhuo Tang +3Weather ForecastingMultivariate Time Series Forecasting

  6. Structure-Aware Graph Abstention for Reliable Selective Forecasting

    Oct 6, 2026Jianxiang Xie, Belal AlsinglawiMultivariate Time Series ForecastingLong-Term Time Series Forecasting

    University of New South Wales · Zayed University

  7. MercerFlow: Flow Matching in a Kernel-Induced Latent Space for Probabilistic Forecasting

    Oct 5, 2026Ilya Kuleshov, Egor Serov, Alexey ZaytsevMultivariate Time Series ForecastingConditional Flow Matching

    Applied AI Institute Moscow, Russia

  8. FreSia: Frequency-Semantic Instantiation and Alignment for Multivariate Time Series Analysis

    Oct 5, 2026Yubo Wang, Hui He, Hezhe Qiao +2Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    School of Computer Science and Technology, Beijing Institute of Technology, No.5 Zhongguancun South Street, Beijing, 100081, China · School of Computing and Information Systems, Singapore Management University, 80 Stamford Road, 178902, Singapore

  9. BeliefGraph-JEPA: Structured Latent World Models for Action-Conditioned Time Series

    Oct 4, 2026Yue Li, Kangqi Ni, Zhen Tan +1Multivariate Time Series ForecastingLatent Dynamics Modeling

    Carnegie Mellon University · University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · Stevens Institute of Technology

  10. Pythia: Toward Foundation World Models for Multimodal Time Series

    Oct 4, 2026Xilin Dai, Hongzhou Chen, Yifan Hu +3Multivariate Time Series ForecastingWorld Model Learning

    Ant International

  11. LogSig-SSM: Time-Series Modelling with Multi-Scale Log-Signature Compression for State-Space Models

    Oct 4, 2026Felix Oury, Nicolas Calvo Peiro, Reiko J. TanakaIrregular Time-Series ModelingMultivariate Time Series Forecasting

    Department of Computing Imperial College London · Department of Bioengineering Imperial College London

  12. Repeated-Measure Leakage, Distribution Shift, and Reliability under Partial Observation in Patient World Models

    Oct 3, 2026Arjun SubramanianWorld Model EvaluationData Leakage

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL)

  13. QiYao-I: A Manifold Based Foundation Model for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

    Oct 3, 2026Linfeng Wang, Ruitong Zhang, Kai Zhao +6Multivariate Time Series ForecastingIrregular Time-Series Modeling

    East China Normal University · Huawei Technologies Ltd.

  14. Foundations without Fundamentals: Zero-Shot Blind Spots in Time Series FMs

    Oct 1, 2026Nafiseh Ghoroghchian, Haipeng Zhang, Shuyi Han +2Multivariate Time Series ForecastingZero-Shot Time Series Forecasting

    Layer6 AI

  15. Pooling Helps, Learned Weighting Hurts In-Context: Decomposing Group Attention

    Oct 1, 2026Michael Fore, James Mason Inder, Mrishika Nair +2Multivariate Time Series ForecastingIn-Context Learning

    Amazon

  16. ProtoFlow: Prototype-Guided Flow Matching for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

    Oct 1, 2026Shibo Feng, Wanjin Feng, Yang Qiu +3Multivariate Time Series ForecastingFlow Matching

    Nanyang Technological University · Tsinghua University · Shanghai Jiao Tong University

  17. MACTS-EM: Multi-Agent Collaborative Time Series Forecasting with Emergent Memory

    Sep 30, 2026Ahmad Shahi, Mamehgol YousefiTime Series ForecastingMultivariate Time Series Forecasting

    Unitec Institute of Technology, Auckland, New Zealand

  18. Pseudo-Label-Triggered Retraining from Forecast Errors for Online Time Series Forecasting

    Sep 30, 2026Yeryeong Kwak, Yoo-Min Jung, Jonghun ParkMultivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    Seoul National University Seoul, Republic of Korea

  19. STCFormer: Adaptive Spatio-Temporal Modeling with Dynamic Cluster Transformer for Station-based Weather Forecasting

    Sep 30, 2026Rongwen Li, Haixin Xie, Mingyang Wang +5Multivariate Time Series ForecastingClustering

    Hunan University · China Meteorological Administration · Hunan Provincial Meteorological Bureau

  20. M2^2Weather: A Benchmark for Joint Multi-Station and Multi-Variable Weather Forecasting

    Sep 30, 2026Rongwen Li, Xiao Wang, Mingyang Wang +4Multivariate Time Series ForecastingForecasting Benchmarks

    Hunan University · China Meteorological Administration

  21. An Input-Frugal Deep Learning Framework for Weather-Driven National Crop-Yield Forecasting: A Case Study of Brazilian Soybean

    Sep 29, 2026Fernando Dupin da Cunha Mello, Prashant Kumar, Erick G. Sperandio NascimentoMultivariate Time Series ForecastingSpatiotemporal Forecasting

    Stricto Sensu Department, SENAI CIMATEC University, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil · Global Centre for Clean Air Research · Institute for Sustainability, University of Surrey, Guildford, GU2 7XH, United Kingdom +1

  22. GARDiff: Graph-Aligned Residual Diffusion for Probabilistic Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

    Sep 29, 2026Rui Han, Min Yang, Xu Zhang +3Multivariate Time Series ForecastingGraph Structure Learning

    Shandong University, Jinan, China · Macquarie University, Sydney, Australia · China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao, China +1

  23. Channel-Dependent State Space Model for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

    Sep 29, 2026Yu-Cheng Wu, Fan-Keng Sun, Li-Chun Lu +1Multivariate Time Series ForecastingSelective SSMs

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology · National Taiwan University

  24. GNA: Granular Neighbor Assembly for Retrieval-Augmented Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

    Sep 28, 2026Vincent UhseMultivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    CERN

  25. SpikeLite: Lightweight Spiking Neural Networks for Time-Series Forecasting

    Sep 28, 2026Bang Hu, Changze Lv, Mingjie Li +3Multivariate Time Series ForecastingEfficient Neural Network Inference

    School of Computer Science, Fudan University, Shanghai, China

  26. XMatch: Enhancing Covariate-Aware Time Series Forecasting through Tree-Structured Exogenous Matching

    Sep 28, 2026Ziyang Zhang, Hanyin Cheng, Xiangfei Qiu +3Multivariate Time Series ForecastingTime Series Forecasting

    East China Normal University

  27. QiYao-M: Multimodal Time Series Foundation Model with Role-Aware Modeling of Endogenous and Exogenous Modalities

    Sep 28, 2026Hanyin Cheng, Linfeng Wang, Zhengbo Qu +7Multivariate Time Series ForecastingMultimodal Foundation Models

    East China Normal University · Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd.

  28. Correction-space Cross-variate Interaction for Test-time Adaptation in Time Series Forecasting

    Sep 28, 2026Yuanyuan Deng, Mykola Pechenizkiy, Songgaojun DengMultivariate Time Series ForecastingFeature Interaction Modeling

    Eindhoven University of Technology Eindhoven, The Netherlands

  29. MixBench-TS: A Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Benchmark Where Channel Mixing Pays Off

    Sep 26, 2026Ibram Abdelmalak, Mischa Putzke, Jungmin Choi +3Multivariate Time Series ForecastingForecasting Benchmarks

    Information Systems and Machine Learning Lab (ISMLL) University of Hildesheim Hildesheim, 31141, Germany

  30. Rethinking Cross-Channel Importance in Time-Series Forecasting

    Sep 26, 2026Yong-Hoon Choi, Kwang-Hyun Park, Youngjin ChoMultivariate Time Series ForecastingExplainable Time Series Forecasting

    Division of Robotics, Kwangwoon University Seoul 01897, Republic of Korea