Learning Interface Breakup: A Geometry-Conditioned Latent Surrogate for Spray Formation

A flow surrogate validated on a simple regime is often taken as evidence that the approach will carry to a richer one. We test this assumption on two transient flows under time-varying boundary conditions emulating the process startup: the three-dimensional slurry film in chemical-mechanical planarisation (CMP), a core semiconductor-manufacturing process, and the two-dimensional Karman vortex street (KVS) behind a cylinder. Eight surrogate models are compared on one shared evaluation pipeline, differing in whether they learn the full field or a latent representation, and whether they predict trajectories in one shot or step by step. No single architecture wins both regimes. On the film, a one-shot full-field model reconstructs the process-relevant cumulative wall shear stress to 3.2% relative error. On the wake, a latent autoregressive DeepONet retains 96% of the shedding power that direct and one-shot models damp to almost zero. The deciding axis is the treatment of time. The self-sustained wake requires the phase memory that autoregressive feedback provides, while the boundary-driven film rewards a direct map. Pointwise RMSE picks the wrong model in both regimes, so the evaluation scores five physical questions instead, the field, its structure, invented motion, amplitude, and timing. The trained surrogates answer queries $10^3$ to $10^4$ times faster than the finite-element solver, but the offline cost of the training simulations means they pay off from the first query beyond the training set for CMP and the third for the KVS. The choice of surrogate should follow the dynamical character of the target flow, and its validation should use failure-mode-resolved metrics, since neither the winning architecture nor its validation transfers.

Aerodynamic surrogate models are increasingly used to replace repeated high-fidelity CFD evaluations in many-query design settings, but current approaches still face two important limitations: they often scale poorly to the very large fields arising in realistic 3D aerodynamics, and they rarely produce latent representations that are directly useful for analysis and design. We introduce AeroJEPA, a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture for aerodynamic field modeling that addresses both issues. Rather than predicting the full flow field directly from geometry, AeroJEPA predicts a target latent representation of the flow from a context latent representation of the geometry and operating conditions, and optionally reconstructs the field through a continuous implicit decoder. This formulation decouples latent prediction from field resolution while encouraging the latent space to organize semantically. We evaluate AeroJEPA on two complementary datasets: HiLiftAeroML, which stresses the method in a high-fidelity regime with extremely large boundary-layer fields, and SuperWing, which tests large-scale generalization and latent-space optimization over a broad family of transonic wings. Across these benchmarks, AeroJEPA is competitive as a continuous surrogate for aerodynamic fields, scales naturally to high-resolution outputs, and learns context and predicted latents that encode geometry and aerodynamic quantities not used directly as supervision. We further show that the resulting latent space supports controlled interpolation, linear probing, concept-vector arithmetic, and a constrained design latent-optimization experiment. These results suggest that predictive latent learning is a promising direction for scalable and design-meaningful aerodynamic surrogate modeling.

Fast surrogates for tokamak boundary-plasma simulation are typically deterministic regressors mapping a global operating point to a flattened vector of cell values. Near the divertor detachment transition the steady state is not reliably single-valued. A point estimate must average over qualitatively different plasma states, and it arrives with no statement of confidence. Moreover, the flattened vector representation discards the geometric structure of the SOLPS-ITER mesh. This work addresses both problems. We unroll the curvilinear mesh into three fixed-size image tensors whose layout preserves cell adjacency and inverts exactly, letting a convolutional network act on the geometry without loss of information. A conditional flow matching model, well suited to highly sensitive systems, is then trained on this representation. The result is an efficient, scalable surrogate that captures multiple plausible outcomes even at sensitive operating points. Along a gas-puff scan, the predictive distribution splits into a hot and a cold mode across an early regime transition. A further check on synthetic data with an injected bifurcation of known size confirms the model recovers both branches rather than their average.