A Transport-Based Geometry of Belief-Cost

Laurent Caraffa

cs.LGJun 19, 2026

A Transport-Based Geometry of Belief-Cost

Authors: Laurent Caraffa

Organizations: Université Gustave Eiffel, LASTIG, IGN-ENSG

Abstract

A finite agent, a machine's digital twin or any bounded reasoner, infers a fixed and noisy world through finite sensors, so its coherent output is a belief: a probability density over states (the Bayes posterior). Such an agent stops short of certainty, and revising a belief carries a cost. We propose a framework for belief costs based on optimal transport, motivated by these facts. We pose two postulates. P0 (the arena): a revision cost is a scalar price on optimal transport, so beliefs live in Wasserstein space. P1 (uniform pricing): one nat of knowledge costs the same metric length everywhere, the eikonal condition. Among conceivable pricing rules we study this one. Under P0 and P1 the cost metric is optimal transport conformally reweighted by Fisher information, $\tilde g_{e,U}=2(e+U)\,g_{W_2}$ , and the Fisher family is a characterization: among continuous reliefs, uniform pricing is equivalent to $U=cJ$ . Two consequences follow on the conformal class. Certainty sits at infinite cost-distance once the relief dominates the Fisher information, so a well-posed inference has a cost floor diverging at certainty (necessity conjectural beyond power laws). On location-scale leaves the geometry is hyperbolic, and the Stam bound places the Gaussian as the most curved one (at $e=0$ ). The results are geometric, in nats, and hold up to units: a change of cost unit rescales all distances and preserves every conclusion (boundary, eikonal family, hyperbolicity, Gaussian extremum), a gauge theorem; a global change of state units at $e=0$ is an isometry; the content lies in signs, rankings and ratios. Via Landauer (one nat worth $k_BT$ ) the cost floor becomes an energy floor: revising toward certainty would demand unbounded energy. Physics anchors the unit and enters no theorem. Removing either postulate leaves the selection open.

Explore similar work

Aug 12, 2026math.OC

The Advective Fisher-Rao Geometry of Deterministic Measure Transport

A novel advective Fisher-Rao metric is introduced for optimization tasks on paths of probability measures governed by the continuity equation. This metric is shown to lead to optimal descent directions. It is then shown that this metric arises naturally from three different perspectives: As the rescaled zero-noise limit of the Fisher-Rao metric on path measures, as the expected value of the second variation of the Freidlin--Wentzell large deviation rate functional, and as the Hessian of the Benamou--Brenier action functional from dynamic optimal transport. We supplement this geometric construction with computational experiments. Here, we demonstrate empirically that the advective Fisher-Rao metric yields the desired optimal fitting of probability densities, whereas the Gauss--Newton method yields optimal fitting of velocity fields.

Benjamin Gess, Johannes Müller

Optimal Transport Fisher Information Probability Measures Fokker--Planck Equation Velocity Field

Ask PDF

Sep 3, 2026cs.AI

The Dually Flat Geometry of Planning as Inference

We present an alternative characterization of the occupancy measure of reinforcement learning, obtained by embedding the planning criterion into the dynamics through a resetting planning process. Its stationary measure, which we term visitation measure, is the object on which the information geometry of decision making is most naturally expressed. The achievable visitation measures form a dually flat statistical manifold whose two affine charts are the visitation probabilities and the log-policies, dual under the conditional entropy. This structure makes planning-as-inference generalize from linear rewards to nonlinear functionals of the visitation, each iterate solved by one natural-gradient step, and gives the temporal-difference error the interpretation of a marginal-utility estimate. We develop the geometry and its consequences for reinforcement learning and theoretical neuroscience.

Nikola Milosevic, Asaki Kataoka, Nicolas Hinrichs +2

Entropy Regularized Reinforcement Learning Planning Methods Neurophysiological Correlates

Ask PDF

Apr 16, 2026cs.LG

Wasserstein Formulation of Reinforcement Learning. An Optimal Transport Perspective on Policy Optimization

We present a geometric framework for Reinforcement Learning (RL) that views policies as maps into the Wasserstein space of action probabilities. First, we define a Riemannian structure induced by stationary distributions, proving its existence in a general context. We then define the tangent space of policies and characterize the geodesics, specifically addressing the measurability of vector fields mapped from the state space to the tangent space of probability measures over the action space. Next, we formulate a general RL optimization problem and construct a gradient flow using Otto's calculus. We compute the gradient and the Hessian of the energy, providing a formal second-order analysis. Finally, we illustrate the method with numerical examples for low-dimensional problems, computing the gradient directly from our theoretical formalism. For high-dimensional problems, we parameterize the policy using a neural network and optimize it based on an ergodic approximation of the cost.

Mathias Dus

Riemannian Optimization Wasserstein Distance Optimal Transport Gradient Flow Riemannian Manifolds State Space

Ask PDF