Bypassing Minimization Bias: A Shift-Invariant Variance Estimator for Off-Equilibrium Local Learning Coefficients

Local loss-landscape stabilization under sample growth is typically measured either pointwise or through isotropic averaging in the full parameter space. Despite practical value, both choices probe directions that contribute little to the dominant local deformation of strongly anisotropic neural landscapes. We recast stabilization as an observational problem and introduce a unified family of criteria parameterized by an aggregation order and a probing distribution; within this family we propose a curvature-aligned criterion $Δ_2^{(D)}$ that probes the loss increment field in the top-$D$ eigenspace of the empirical Hessian near a trained solution. Solely from a local quadratic model, we prove that $Δ_2^{(D)}$ preserves the $O(k^{-2})$ mean-squared rate of the full-space criterion while replacing ambient-dimension curvature dependence with dependence on the subspace dimension $D$; a corollary gives a closed-form spectral expression and a proposition identifies the top-$D$ eigenspace as extremal within the eigenspace-aligned family. We also derive scalable estimators based on Hessian-vector products, subspace Monte Carlo, and a closed-form Gaussian-moment proxy. On a decoder-only transformer, a curvature-aligned probe occupying a tiny fraction of parameter space already reproduces the full-space mean-squared signal to within numerical noise throughout the validated local regime, and the closed-form estimator is orders of magnitude faster than direct Monte Carlo after subspace construction.

A widely held intuition in deep learning is that stochastic gradient descent (SGD) implicitly favors flat minima and that flat minima generalize better, but standard Euclidean measures of flatness such as the trace or maximum eigenvalue of the loss Hessian are not invariant under reparametrizations that preserve the network function, which undermines the theoretical foundations of this narrative. In this study we resolve this issue by grounding flatness in the Riemannian geometry of the statistical manifold induced by the Fisher Information Matrix (FIM). We define Riemannian sharpness mathematically and prove that it is invariant under smooth, function-preserving reparametrizations, which directly addresses the critique of Dinh et al. in the paper ``Sharp minima can generalize for deep nets''.We note that this invariance is a property of the true FIM; the diagonal empirical estimator used in practice (and in all experiments below) inherits invariance only approximately, and exact invariance under arbitrary reparametrizations would require structured estimators such as K-FAC. We formalize the gradient noise of mini-batch SGD as having a covariance structure proportional to the FIM, derive the stationary distribution of the resulting stochastic differential equation, and then show that the probability mass is exponentially concentrated at Riemannian-flat minima. A PAC-Bayes generalization bound controlled explicitly by SR formally links this geometric bias to test performance. Our experiments on MNIST and CIFAR-10 confirm that SR reliably tracks generalization in ways that Euclidean sharpness does not, and that its scaling with $η/B$ matches the theoretical predictions. Together these results provide a rigorous, reparametrization-invariant account of why flat minima generalize.

Deep neural network training often exhibits highly anisotropic loss geometry, where a few sharp dominant Hessian directions coexist with a large flatter bulk. Gradients tend to align disproportionately with these dominant directions, although stable progress often requires movement through flatter bulk directions. Estimating the dominant subspace is therefore useful but costly with direct Hessian-based methods. We show that standard Local SGD exposes this geometry through worker disagreement. We theoretically show that the worker-average gap covariance is shaped by stochastic-gradient noise and Hessian curvature, causing workers to disagree along sharp, curvature-sensitive directions. Thus, worker-average gaps provide a cheap Hessian-free estimator of the dominant subspace. Experiments on MLPs, CNNs, and Transformers show that subspaces formed by worker-average gaps capture a substantial fraction of the gradient component lying in the dominant Hessian eigenspace.