Non-asymptotic estimates of the minimal risk in statistical learning

Information theory plays a central role in establishing fundamental limits on what any learning or estimation algorithm can -- and cannot -- achieve, regardless of computational power. In this chapter, we provide an introduction to these connections. End-of-chapter exercises makes the material suitable for both classroom use and self-study. We begin by introducing concentration inequalities along with the notions of covering and packing in metric spaces, and the associated concept of metric entropy. These tools are essential for our analysis. We then introduce the learning-theoretic framework and derive upper bounds on generalization error in terms of metric entropy, Rademacher complexity, and the VC dimension, as well as mutual information and relative entropy. Finally we discuss the minimax estimation framework and establish lower bounds on minimax risk using Fano's inequality, yielding bounds in terms of relative entropy and covering and packing numbers. This manuscript contains preprint of a chapter under consideration for inclusion in the forthcoming third edition of Cover and Thomas's Elements of Information Theory, posted with permission from Wiley. It would follow the chapter posted at arXiv:2605.02989 . The table of contents of the new edition can be found at: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1L-m4oQEJw1PJhoxBeMwrrBD8S_HmvzMEkPbYvS24980/edit?usp=sharing . For feedback, please contact abbas@ee.stanford.edu.

We study a general class of optimization problems with decision variable $\boldsymbolΘ \in \mathbb{R}^{p \times k}$ and cost function which is the sum of $n$ terms, each dependent on $\boldsymbolΘ$ through the $k$-dimensional projection $\boldsymbolΘ^\top \boldsymbol{x}_i$, where $\boldsymbol{x}_i$, $i \leq n$ are i.i.d. random vectors. This setting is general enough to include examples of current interest in statistical physics, high-dimensional statistics, and statistical learning theory. We consider the proportional asymptotics $n, p \to \infty$, with $n/p = Θ(1)$, and prove that, whenever there exists a minimizer satisfying a suitable generalization of a "delocalization" condition, the minimum value is universal. Namely, (for subgaussian $\boldsymbol{x}_i$) it depends on the distribution of $\boldsymbol{x}_i$ only through its asymptotic mean and covariance. This delocalization condition is essentially necessary. Earlier universality results for such problems were limited to strongly convex loss functions. We derive applications of our theory to statistical learning and prove general universality results both for train and (under additional conditions) test error. In particular, we establish universality for vectors $\boldsymbol{x}_i$ generated by random 1-layer neural networks (random features models) and first-order Taylor approximations of 2-layer networks (neural tangent models). Finally, we establish that the delocalization property holds for a class of statistical learning problems under a condition that is easy to verify.

This paper surveys recent developments at the intersection of operator learning, statistical learning theory, and approximation theory. First, it reviews error bounds for empirical risk minimization with a focus on holomorphic operators and neural network approximations. Next, it illustrates fundamental performance limits in terms of sample size by adopting a minimax perspective and considering various notions of regularity beyond holomorphy. The paper ends with a discussion on the interplay between these two perspectives and related open questions.