Simulating Eating Disorder Patients with LLMs: Evaluating Psychological Persona Stability in Multi-Turn Conversations
Authors: Jennifer Haase, Jana Gonnermann-Müller, See Heng Yim, Nicolas Leins, Jan Mendling, Sebastian Pokutta
Organizations: Weizenbaum Institute, Berlin, Germany · HU Berlin, Berlin, Germany · Zuse Institute Berlin, Berlin, Germany · Department of Psychology, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
Large language model (LLM)-based simulations of clinical patients are increasingly used for research and training, yet their validity requires persona stability: coherent maintenance of an assigned psychological profile across and within conversations. We evaluate this prerequisite using eating disorder personas grounded in five published case vignettes, a dual-assessment framework (self-report + independent observer ratings), and validated psychometric instruments (EDE-Q) with known ground-truth scores. Across six LLMs and two experiments (between-conversation stability (Exp. I) and within-conversation stability (Exp. II)), we find that LLMs are paradoxically too stable and too inaccurate: variability is negligible, yet all models systematically overshoot ground-truth severity by 12-30% of the scale range (0.7-1.8 points on a 0-6 scale). The mechanism is selective stereotyping: models differentiate cases on behavioural items (dietary restraint) but maximise cognitive-affective items (body dissatisfaction, weight preoccupation) at ceiling regardless of case severity. Additional conversational context does not improve accuracy; it compounds the overshoot. LLMs can portray severe eating pathology but lack a representation of moderate clinical presentations, a "missing middle".
Recent evidence shows that people with eating disorders (EDs) are increasingly seeking guidance, advice, and emotional support from Large Language Model (LLM)-based chat systems. Although these systems are not designed to provide clinical advice, their perceived expertise, neutrality and accessibility make them a frequent, albeit risky, source of support. This paper investigates potential patterns of interaction between users with EDs and LLMs, focusing on the potential harms arising from models that uncritically adapt to, and facilitate unsafe or self-harming user requests. We find, in consultation with clinical ED experts, that specific linguistic cues in prompts increase the likelihood of unsafe responses and, through systematically varying the degree of potential risk present in the user prompt, report the extent to which LLMs uncritically adapt to problematic, and potentially dangerous user inputs.
Large language models are increasingly deployed to simulate patients for clinical training, research, and mental health tools, yet population-level validity remains largely untested. We introduce PsychBench, the first epidemiological audit of LLM patient simulation: 28,800 profiles from four frontier models (GPT-4o-mini, DeepSeek-V3, Gemini-3-Flash, GLM-4.7) evaluated against NHANES and NESARC-III baselines across 120 intersectional cohorts. The central finding is a coherence-fidelity dissociation: models produce clinically plausible individuals while misrepresenting the populations they are drawn from. Variance compression ranges from 14 percent (GLM-4.7) to 62 percent (DeepSeek-V3), eliminating the distributional tails of clinical reality. Despite test-retest correlations above r = 0.90, 36.66 percent of cases cross diagnostic thresholds between runs. Symptom correlation matrices diverge across demographic groups beyond split-half noise, with transgender populations diverging three to five times more than racial differences. Calibration bias is systematic and asymmetric. Models overestimate depression severity for most groups by 3.6 to 6.1 points (Cohen d = 1.13 to 1.91), consistent with training on clinical corpora with elevated base rates. For transgender women the direction inverts: models capture only 8 to 46 percent of documented minority stress elevation, yielding a -5.42 residual (d = -1.55). Models also attribute irritability to Black men and fatigue to women beyond matched controls, encoding racialized and gendered assumptions. Patterns replicate across US and Chinese architectures, indicating failures tied to current training paradigms rather than isolated implementations. For most users, LLM mental health tools risk pathologizing ordinary distress; for transgender users, algorithmic erasure of genuine need. The patients look right. They do not represent real populations.
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to simulate human populations via persona prompting, often under the assumptions that richer persona descriptions improve behavioral fidelity, similarly sized attribute combinations are equally simulatable, and persona definitions generalize across tasks. In this work, we formalize these assumptions and systematically evaluate them across multiple architectures, scales, and simulation settings. We identify a fundamental limitation we term persona manifold collapse, where increasingly expressive persona specifications lead to systematic contraction of representational and behavioral diversity. Across models, increasing persona complexity consistently reduces inter-persona separation in latent space and weakens behavioral differentiation in downstream simulation tasks. These effects persist across multiple analyses as richer personas fail to preserve human subgroup disagreement, performance varies across attribute combinations of similar size, and adding descriptive detail often degrades rather than improves simulation fidelity. Surprisingly, simple Age-Gender personas consistently outperform richly specified Ideal Customer Profiles (ICPs) across industries, achieving substantially higher downstream prediction accuracy. We find that collapse is not uniform across attributes. Certain combinations remain behaviorally stable and preserve stronger alignment with human responses, forming localized regions we term alignment bridges. Together, our results provide empirical and conceptual foundations for understanding the limits of persona-conditioned simulation, highlighting the need for representation-aware persona construction rather than increasing persona expressivity alone.
Aanisha Bhattacharyya, Yaman Kumar Singla, Rajiv Ratn Shah +2