Distributed Air-Gap Flux and Rotor-Current Fusion for Operating-Regime Identification in a 10-MW Kaplan Hydrogenerator

This study presents a statistical and machine learning framework for characterizing a hydrogen-based multi-energy system (H-MES) using one year of high-resolution operational data. Statistical analysis revealed a binary operation driven by renewable surplus, with solar irradiance explaining 45.7% of rank-based variance in hydrogen production, a large effect by conventional standards. Only high-irradiance periods triggered meaningful electrolyzer engagement, while electricity demand exerted a weaker inverse suppression effect ($ε^2 = 0.126$). Multiple regression confirmed electrolyzer power as the dominant linear predictor, with a synergistic solar-wind interaction. Notably, Random Forest analysis ranked wind output first in predictive importance despite its weak bivariate correlation (r = 0.167), revealing non-linear dynamics invisible to parametric methods. A sequence model exploited strong 24-hour autocorrelation (r = 0.845) for operational forecasting, while a reinforcement learning agent optimized hydrogen revenue dispatch. The core contribution is demonstrating that statistical and machine learning approaches are complementary for H-MES modeling and control.

With the increasing scale and number of wind farms, wind turbines' daily operation and maintenance costs are increasing. To reduce operation and maintenance costs and enhance the reliability of wind turbine and system operation data before reaching catastrophic failures, monitoring the operating status of the equipment and detecting failures at an early stage is crucial. It is of great practical significance to utilize the working condition data for abnormal assessment of the operating status of wind turbines to realize abnormal monitoring of the operating status of wind turbines. However, the existing anomaly detection methods can neither perform effective relational modeling in data filled with a large amount of redundant information nor reasonably utilize the valuable anomaly data. For this reason, this paper proposes an anomaly detection model that fuses a Transformer and a generative adversarial network. Firstly, it reduces the leakage detection rate of minor deviation anomalies by amplifying the reconstruction error. Secondly, it uses autoregressive inference to extract multimodal features to enhance the stability and generalization ability of training. Finally, the temporal feature extraction module is constructed to promote the interactive learning between features of different time scales and effectively reduce the time redundancy. The results of multiple sets of experiments conducted on real WTG datasets show that TransGAN-WT achieves an average F1 score of 96.10% across multiple wind turbine datasets, which is 5.84% and 2.89% higher than several other state-of-the-art baseline methods. It also realizes a false positive rate (FPR) of 0.06%, and is verified by the Wilcoxon signed-rank test to have achieved a statistically significant performance enhancement compared to the state-of-the-art baseline methods, effectively ensuring the stable operation of wind turbines.

Normal behavior models have shown promise for reliable fault detection in wind turbines. However, these unsupervised anomaly detection models require sufficient fault-free training data to learn the normal operation behavior of turbines. Under data scarcity, for example in newly deployed wind turbines, these models may result in poor fault detection performance. In this work, we propose a multi-domain generative domain mapping approach based on Star Generative Adversarial Networks (StarGAN) to improve fault detection on data-scarce wind turbines. Our model maps SCADA measurements from a data-scarce turbine to resemble those of several data-rich turbines. By preserving the operational state during translation, faults occurring in a data-scarce domain can be mapped and detected by reliable pre-trained normal behavior models of data-rich domains. Highlighting the benefits of an ensemble fusion strategy, we show that under severe data scarcity our method can produce anomaly scores comparable to models trained on large representative datasets. Our approach can consistently outperform models trained on scarce data when less than 2 weeks of training data are available. With just 2 weeks of accumulated training data, we achieve an anomaly score similarity that is, on average, +16% higher than conventional fine-tuning, and +10% higher than single-source domain mapping. As a step towards unsupervised model selection, we propose a proxy metric that detects poor performance at training time, despite an absence of anomalies. Our study presents the potential and challenges of multi-domain mapping for wind turbine fault detection under unrepresentative training data.