EntroRouter: Learning Efficient Model Routing via Entropy Regulation

Mixture of Experts (MoE) Large Language Models (LLMs) achieve strong performance at scale. However, reinforcement learning (RL) on MoE-based LLMs often suffers from training instability. A root cause is router drift, i.e., expert activations can change drastically across model updates and differ between disaggregated rollout and training phases, causing large rollout--training mismatch and unstable importance sampling weights in PPO-style RL algorithms. Routing replay mitigates this issue by freezing the replay route within each reasoning trajectory, but it ignores how the router evolves under off-policy updates and thus causes router staleness. To address this limitation, we propose Predictive Routing Replay (PR2), which augments each router with a lightweight evolution predictor that learns to anticipate short-horizon router evolution. During the rollout phase, we use the predictive routing distribution to apply top-$k$ routing, enabling gradients to reach experts that are likely to become active after updates. During the training phase, we replay the resulting predicted route to retain consistency for stable importance estimation. Theoretical analysis and experiments support that PR2 reduces routing-induced mismatch, improves RL stability, and yields stronger performance across various reasoning benchmarks.

The rapid development of large language models, each with distinct capabilities and inference costs, raises a practical deployment question: given an incoming request, which model should handle it? We present OrcaRouter, a production-oriented LLM router that combines a LinUCB-based contextual bandit over lexical and sentence-embedding features with a hybrid offline-online learning protocol. Offline, OrcaRouter obtains full-information feedback by evaluating each candidate model on a curated set of routing prompts, yielding a reward matrix used to fit one ridge regressor per arm. At deployment time, it initializes from these parameters and can optionally continue learning from bandit feedback, updating only the selected model's arm after observing its reward. At the time of our RouterArena submission (May 20, 2026), OrcaRouter-Adaptive ranked second on the public RouterArena leaderboard with an arena score of 72.08, achieving 75.54% accuracy at a cost of USD 1.00 per 1,000 queries.

A key strategy for balancing performance and cost in modern machine learning systems is to dynamically route queries to either a low-cost model or a more expensive oracle (such as a large pretrained model or human expert), an approach known as model routing. In this work we present a new uncertainty-aware router that (1) avoids unnecessary oracle calls on inherently ambiguous queries, and (2) adapts dynamically to different loss functions and cost parameters through simple hyperparameter changes, without retraining. Our method, applicable to any classification setting where multiple independent annotations per input are available, is based on decomposing total uncertainty into irreducible and reducible components using higher-order predictors [Ahdritz et al., 2025]. This enables a unified approach to both routing and abstention: predict with the weak model when uncertainty is low, route to the oracle when reducible uncertainty is high, and abstain when irreducible uncertainty is high. Our router comes with strong theoretical guarantees bounding regret relative to optimal task-specific routers. We conduct experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets that demonstrate the benefits of our approach in suitable regimes -- in particular, whenever reducible and irreducible uncertainty are not too correlated.